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Newportlad
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« Reply #44175 on: June 26, 2013, 09:27:36 PM » |
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Paddy Power still offering to refund all losing bets if Andy Murray wins Wimbledon.
Djokovic is currently 8/11. Can be got at Evens on several other sites without the Murray refund
Should we not be betting on Djokovic here?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #44176 on: June 26, 2013, 09:31:15 PM » |
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Paddy Power still offering to refund all losing bets if Andy Murray wins Wimbledon.
Djokovic is currently 8/11. Can be got at Evens on several other sites without the Murray refund
Should we not be betting on Djokovic here?
Yes. With the offers if we genuinely think only the two players can possibly win it we should back them, as for the one that loses we get money back/free bets Djok at 8/11 feels like max material to me if you are refunded if Murray beats him |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Newportlad
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« Reply #44177 on: June 26, 2013, 09:37:40 PM » |
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Paddy Power still offering to refund all losing bets if Andy Murray wins Wimbledon.
Djokovic is currently 8/11. Can be got at Evens on several other sites without the Murray refund
Should we not be betting on Djokovic here?
Yes. With the offers if we genuinely think only the two players can possibly win it we should back them, as for the one that loses we get money back/free bets Djok at 8/11 feels like max material to me if you are refunded if Murray beats him In that case, I would like to recommend that we take up Paddys offer. Max seems a bit much for my first bet, so suggest £50 on Djokovic to win Wimbledon 8/11 on Paddy Power. |
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Dubai
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« Reply #44178 on: June 26, 2013, 09:46:29 PM » |
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Obv have £100 as that's max refund.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #44179 on: June 26, 2013, 09:47:22 PM » |
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Obv have £100 as that's max refund.
Yes. An absolute must |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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doubleup
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« Reply #44180 on: June 26, 2013, 10:07:56 PM » |
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Paddy Power still offering to refund all losing bets if Andy Murray wins Wimbledon.
Djokovic is currently 8/11. Can be got at Evens on several other sites without the Murray refund
Should we not be betting on Djokovic here?
Yes. With the offers if we genuinely think only the two players can possibly win it we should back them, as for the one that loses we get money back/free bets Djok at 8/11 feels like max material to me if you are refunded if Murray beats him I went through this earlier Just wondered what people thought of the Paddy Power "Money back Murray offer" (upto £100 cash refund if Murray wins) as a companion to our Murray bet ?. They go 5/6 Djokovic.
Is it a free bet or actual cash back? Think its a bet, if it's cash back, as if we take BFs odds Djok will win about 44%, murray 26%, so neither 30%. The return (at 5/6) is 1.83 x .44 plus 1 x .26 - so a return of 1.06 for 1 staked. Not a bet if its a free bet, as you would need to get 100% equity from the free bet and that will be difficult. (All assuming my sums are right) Its now a roi of 1.18 based on betfair odds |
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MereNovice
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« Reply #44181 on: June 26, 2013, 10:21:29 PM » |
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So, basically, in this year of huge upsets you're recommending that Fred bets at 8/11 that Djokovic wins 6 matches in a row with the back-up that if he doesn't we can get a free bet if Murray wins 5 matches in a row?
I am yet to be convinced.
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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Dubai
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« Reply #44182 on: June 26, 2013, 10:23:54 PM » |
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We could bet the same price and same offer with you instead of Paddypower Mere? Take on the Fred and allcomers! I will get the ball rolling, 1 maximum for me please sir  |
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superwomble
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« Reply #44183 on: June 26, 2013, 10:24:59 PM » |
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Brazil won 2-1 but no goal for Neymar  |
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tikay
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« Reply #44184 on: June 26, 2013, 10:25:32 PM » |
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Obv have £100 as that's max refund.
Yeah, obv........any excuse for a Max! |
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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016). |
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doubleup
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« Reply #44185 on: June 26, 2013, 10:27:03 PM » |
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So, basically, in this year of huge upsets you're recommending that Fred bets at 8/11 that Djokovic wins 6 matches in a row with the back-up that if he doesn't we can get a free bet if Murray wins 5 matches in a row?
I am yet to be convinced.
It isn't a free bet its cashback. Do you think Betfairs odds are so far out? |
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MereNovice
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« Reply #44186 on: June 26, 2013, 10:37:02 PM » |
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So, basically, in this year of huge upsets you're recommending that Fred bets at 8/11 that Djokovic wins 6 matches in a row with the back-up that if he doesn't we can get a free bet if Murray wins 5 matches in a row?
I am yet to be convinced.
It isn't a free bet its cashback. Do you think Betfairs odds are so far out? Having watched two matches at Wimbledon concurrently for most of 11:30am to 9pm for the last three days (admittedly mostly women) i'm of the opinion that there are far too many opportunities for shock results this year. It may just be shell shock on my part. I'll think some more. |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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MereNovice
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« Reply #44187 on: June 26, 2013, 10:38:58 PM » |
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Brazil won 2-1 but no goal for Neymar We had valoooo. Good news is that the bet was credited to Fred as it was an enhanced offer on a specific player so it won't look bad on your record, |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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MereNovice
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« Reply #44188 on: June 26, 2013, 10:42:50 PM » |
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We could bet the same price and same offer with you instead of Paddypower Mere? Take on the Fred and allcomers! I will get the ball rolling, 1 maximum for me please sir I'll just take the one bet but you can have it. You can have £110 at 8/11 on Djokovic winning Wimbledon with the bet being void if Murray wins the championship. Confirm on here before midday tomorrow if you want it. Settle up when the result is known. |
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Reigning Blonde Fantasy Ashes and Super League Champions
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doubleup
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« Reply #44189 on: June 26, 2013, 10:45:17 PM » |
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If you want to take a low risk route you could back djok with PP £100 - lay £85 or so on bf. Then
Murray wins = plus 80
Djok wins = minus 13
AN Other wins minus 20
you obv lose a bit of ev and if bad beat finds out you're toast
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« Last Edit: June 26, 2013, 10:48:17 PM by doubleup »
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