Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Ladbroke price bomb is in the 1.45pm at Worcester for 15 mins online only...

 Spice Hill you get 2/1 it trades at 6/4 on Betfair having been 2.5 out to 2.8 and back to a solid 2.5.

 I don't really fancy it at 6/4 but obv at 2/1 it's a bit different. Think it's £25 max.

 Apologies I think that is Corals not Ladbrokes.

Missed it, currently 6/4 with Corals, & 5/4 with Ladbrokes, so "no bet".

THIS might be the clue........!

Currently viewing this thread, at dinnertime on a Monday.....


tikay, Mark_Porter, McGlashan, a.sparrow, Marky147, redsimon, hector62, exstream, Jedwick, Bad Beat, Ironside, kpnuts, JaffaCake, Skippy, Simon Galloway, Nutter5932, Pab and 28 Guests are viewing this topic.

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[tikay]

Big Brother final tonight.

At the moment it's hard to see beyond...

1. Sam
2. Dexter
3. Gina
4. Fat and Joe
5. Charlie

Sam is now 4/6, Dex 3/1, Gina 8/1, Twins 20/1, Charlie 100/1.

There are worse 2/5 shots around than Charlie to finish fifth.

Charlie will get all boos, Twins mostly boos with the odd cheer, same for Gina and Dex, Sam mostly cheers with the odd boo.

It's almost certain that Sam, Dex and Gina will be the final three. Who finishes third and for how long they reopen voting after Dex or Gina gets the boot is key. If it's a decent amount of time, Gina voters will switch to Dex and vice versa.

If Dex goes third and the lines are reopened for a sensible amount of time, Gina will come into around 2/1 imo. If Gina goes third Dex will come into around 6/4, maybe a bit shorter.

Best result for thread now, realistically, is a Sam win.

Gina backers will want to keep a close eye on things and hope she gets to HU with Sam, as that would provide a trading spot. Tbh, though, I've given up on Gina. Callum getting the boot instead of Hazel, and the negative edit for the past few weeks has pretty much done for her.

If only I understood a single word of that, but thanks anyway Mr W.

I'll have blonde open all evening, & my 'phone on if urgent transactions are thought appropriate. But I will NOT be watching it, as I've just painted my fence, & I need to watch it dry.


 

[Ironside]

Big Brother final tonight.

At the moment it's hard to see beyond...

1. Sam
2. Dexter
3. Gina
4. Fat and Joe
5. Charlie

Sam is now 4/6, Dex 3/1, Gina 8/1, Twins 20/1, Charlie 100/1.

There are worse 2/5 shots around than Charlie to finish fifth.

Charlie will get all boos, Twins mostly boos with the odd cheer, same for Gina and Dex, Sam mostly cheers with the odd boo.

I think the 7/2 you can get for the twins to be 5th is more value remembering its now vote to win not vote to evict and charlie has more fans than the twins and ahead in most of the polls over the twins I think it will be very vlose between them when the votes are revealled and nowhere near a 7/2 shot more like a 3/2 or 5/4

[BigAdz]

I'm feeling generous so I'll give you another decent horse bet.

 The 2.00 at Thirsk is a pretty poor maiden 2-y-old race. Thirsk is a track where there is a big draw bias. Over 5f and 6f it's one of the biggest biases in the country. It's a high.

 The two favourites in this race are Inyordreams which is running for in-form James Given and which has decent form and Bretherton which has come from 4/1 into 2/1 this morning and is unraced for Richard Fahey. These are drawn 3 and 2 respectively.

 There are ten other runners, five of which I put a line through in seconds (nos 2,6,8,11,12), and a couple of which took a few seconds more to eliminate with confidence (7 & 13).

 We were left with four horses to take on the badly drawn favourites with...

 Missouri Spirit ran 3rd in it's only start on soft ground at Ayr. The form is nothing special but nor is this race. It is drawn low though. I'd be against.

 Pure Impressions is unraced for the stable of Karle Burke. Sold as a yearling for just 1000 is usually a bad sign, drawn pretty low and weak in the market. No thanks.

 Johara stayed on at Kempton over this 6f on debut. It's drawn high and it could easily be good enough. May not benefit from the draw if it starts slow and stays on and it isn't certain to be trying hard here. Bit weak in the market to think it's really going to win.

 We're left with one horse...

 Pennine Warrior ran OK at Windsor 1st time up when unfancied over 5f and then ran better in a slightly worse race than this at Southwell where it ran 2nd.

 I can't really see how this can be out of the frame from this draw if it runs to the form it showed last time.

 I took 8/1 each-way with Ladbrokes. I haven't had as big bet as the last few I put up because we are slightly guessing with these 2-y-olds but I still think it's decent. I would be happy with 6/1 and I see VC are still 15/2.

Quote from trainer

Scott Dixon
Pennine Warrior
Mon 19th Aug 2013
14:00, Thirsk
Ran a solid race at Southwell last time and looked as if he just needed the run. Came out of the race well and is in good form at home. This race looks tough however and we have come for the cut in the ground. The Fahey horse is meant to be useful, so I think he'll win with the James Given and our horse in behind.

[Tal]

Out of interest, what will Chompy be discussing after today? Does dancing on ice start soon?

[Ironside]

Out of interest, what will Chompy be discussing after today? Does dancing on ice start soon?

cbb starts on thursday I think

[tikay]

Out of interest, what will Chompy be discussing after today? Does dancing on ice start soon?

Bin Days in the Fens, should they be Tuesday or Wednesday, morning or afternoon?

VOTE NOW THIS IS IMPORTANT

[Ironside]

Has our horse won yet I have £2.50ew on it and only on my phone so cant see it

[Tal]

Out of interest, what will Chompy be discussing after today? Does dancing on ice start soon?

cbb starts on thursday I think

Surely that's too little space between the...err..great tv shows? Or is it just a clever way for Channel Four to keep the unwashed sorts occupied?

[horseplayer]

well done with the place Neil

Encouraged by the Wall run there

[TightEnd]

tkay was it 1/5 1,2,3 please, Neil's Pennine Warrior?

[tikay]

Neil's Nag (copyright) finished a comfy 3rd, so we made a nice little bit of profit there.

Thanks Mr G.

[DungBeetle]

At half time Barcelona 6 Levante 0, Paddy Power were going 125/1 on Levante.

You can't eat value

[Ironside]

Out of interest, what will Chompy be discussing after today? Does dancing on ice start soon?

cbb starts on thursday I think

Surely that's too little space between the...err..great tv shows? Or is it just a clever way for Channel Four to keep the unwashed sorts occupied?

where have you been for past 3 years when channel 4 stopped showing it

[Tal]

Oh hang on, even channel four gave up on it, didn't it? So it's now on channel five?

I assume it's now sandwiched between Family Affairs and The Jack Docherty Show