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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16382222 times)
Tal
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« Reply #50280 on: August 24, 2013, 10:03:04 AM »

Lunchtime kickoff is Fulham v Havearsenalspentanymoneyyet.com

Dimitar Berbatov scored first nine times last season; more than anyone else.

He's 9/1 with Paddy P and Billy Hilly. Some go as stingy as 13/2 6/1.

Each way love for a tenner?

More than anyone else who has scored less than 9 goals?  

Of course. Top 20 all scored at least 11, so would think 24 players who netted 9 or more times.

9/1 when there is 6/1 about doesn't seem like a grave error of judgment.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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« Reply #50281 on: August 24, 2013, 10:06:00 AM »

Ladbrokes have Rickie Lambert enhanced FGS odds from 12pm at 8/1 for a max of £25.

Recommend £25, EW if they will let you but can't see the T's & C's yet.
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pleno1
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« Reply #50282 on: August 24, 2013, 10:08:19 AM »

Sunderland next home games

Man United
Chelsea
Arsenal
Newcastle
City
Liverpool
Spurs

Definitely possible they could lose all of the above, Id say average points would be 4. Away from home is always hard in the premiership and if they are bottom of the league after 15 games the fans will likely turn on Di Canio. He can blow at any moment and with a new chairman that brought in 13 new players so far he could easily shit himself and make a panic decision.


He is 8-1 so perhaps not value, but I feel like he is certain to fall to at least 4-1 or perhaps better so would be an excellant spot to punt big now with the intention of laying in the future?

What do people think?


August 2013
Sat 24   15:00   A   Southampton   0.5   .... 0      
Sat 31   17:30   A   Crystal Palace    2   .....3
September 2013
Sat 14   15:00   H   Arsenal    0.5   ....0
Sat 21   15:00   A   West Brom   1   .....1   
Sun 29   16:00   H   Liverpool    0.5   ......0   
October 2013
Sat 05   17:30   H   Manchester United 0.25   ....0   
Sat 19   15:00   A   Swansea City    0.8      .....0
Sun 27   16:00   H   Newcastle United 1.5      .....1
November 2013
Sat 02   15:00   A   Hull City      2.5           .....3
Sun 10   14:05   H   Manchester City    0.25      ......0
Sat 23   15:00   A   Stoke City      1.5            ......1
Sat 30   15:00   A   Aston Villa      0.8            ......1
December 2013
Wed 04   19:45   H   Chelsea      0.25           .......0
Sat 07   15:00   H   Tottenham Hotspur   0.25   .......0   
Sat 14   15:00   A   West Ham United   0.8   ......1   
Sat 21   15:00   H   Norwich City      1.5   .......1
Thu 26   15:00   A   Everton                  0.8       .......0

So the "average" scores that I have gave with little thought would give them 15.7 points after 18 games which would be very scary for the chairmain.

The "what I would predict" would give them 12 points and almost certainly bottom of the table. Even if they picked up 3 extra wins in this tough run of games they would have 21 points and really "below par"

All the players they have brought in are unproven. Its likely Di Canio will cause some rift and they lack a lot of quality in defence and midfield.
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Worst playcalling I have ever seen. Bunch of  fucking jokers . Run the bloody ball. 18 rushes all game? You have to be kidding me. Fuck off lol
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« Reply #50283 on: August 24, 2013, 10:14:13 AM »

Ted Veale now as low as in a place, likely go off favourite at this rate!
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Did i ever mention that Napoli won a match once???
a.sparrow
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« Reply #50284 on: August 24, 2013, 10:24:15 AM »

Just an FYI for the money back if second offer, i've just joined totesport to make a bet, and it appears they do it also.
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Marky147
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« Reply #50285 on: August 24, 2013, 10:28:45 AM »

Ted Veale now as low as in a place, likely go off favourite at this rate!

Thank god the race is today Wink
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a.sparrow
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« Reply #50286 on: August 24, 2013, 10:29:50 AM »

Only applies on these races: York 2:40, Goodwood 2:55 and York 3:50

Can i suggest 25 ew on totesport for mister impatience in the 2:40?  Along with best365 totesport are the only bookie who pay 1/4 of the odds. There has been a lot of money for this hourse pre hugh taylor putting it up this morning so their is faith in it, also being a hugh taylor selection it may well have been overbet so im unsure as to their being value in the current price.

However current top price with bookies, (its only 7.2 on betfair) place market on betfair is 1.95.  1/4 odds on a 6/1 shot beats that, plus if it is second you get £25 back as a free bet, 3rd you make a small profit but without the money back for second and first then its a nice winner.

I'm sure some maths  guys would be able to explain it better than I have, or even tell me if its wrong, but it looks like a nice bet to me.
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BigAdz
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« Reply #50287 on: August 24, 2013, 10:31:01 AM »

Sunderland next home games

Man United
Chelsea
Arsenal
Newcastle
City
Liverpool
Spurs

Definitely possible they could lose all of the above, Id say average points would be 4. Away from home is always hard in the premiership and if they are bottom of the league after 15 games the fans will likely turn on Di Canio. He can blow at any moment and with a new chairman that brought in 13 new players so far he could easily shit himself and make a panic decision.


He is 8-1 so perhaps not value, but I feel like he is certain to fall to at least 4-1 or perhaps better so would be an excellant spot to punt big now with the intention of laying in the future?

What do people think?


August 2013
Sat 24   15:00   A   Southampton   0.5   .... 0      
Sat 31   17:30   A   Crystal Palace    2   .....3
September 2013
Sat 14   15:00   H   Arsenal    0.5   ....0
Sat 21   15:00   A   West Brom   1   .....1   
Sun 29   16:00   H   Liverpool    0.5   ......0   
October 2013
Sat 05   17:30   H   Manchester United 0.25   ....0   
Sat 19   15:00   A   Swansea City    0.8      .....0
Sun 27   16:00   H   Newcastle United 1.5      .....1
November 2013
Sat 02   15:00   A   Hull City      2.5           .....3
Sun 10   14:05   H   Manchester City    0.25      ......0
Sat 23   15:00   A   Stoke City      1.5            ......1
Sat 30   15:00   A   Aston Villa      0.8            ......1
December 2013
Wed 04   19:45   H   Chelsea      0.25           .......0
Sat 07   15:00   H   Tottenham Hotspur   0.25   .......0   
Sat 14   15:00   A   West Ham United   0.8   ......1   
Sat 21   15:00   H   Norwich City      1.5   .......1
Thu 26   15:00   A   Everton                  0.8       .......0

So the "average" scores that I have gave with little thought would give them 15.7 points after 18 games which would be very scary for the chairmain.

The "what I would predict" would give them 12 points and almost certainly bottom of the table. Even if they picked up 3 extra wins in this tough run of games they would have 21 points and really "below par"

All the players they have brought in are unproven. Its likely Di Canio will cause some rift and they lack a lot of quality in defence and midfield.


Like the logic. I have had a dabble ty
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Good evenink. I wish I had a girlfriend.......
kpnuts
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« Reply #50288 on: August 24, 2013, 10:31:24 AM »

Dont know if anyone/thread is interested, but Ted Veale runs tonight 1950 Bellewstown. Horse must win to have realistic chance of entry into the Ebor on Saturday. otherwise it is balloted out. Suggest evens is good value against what looks like mediocrity tonight, and may well go onto win the Ebor in a few days time.

Almighty gamble on this one, you can actually watch price contract in real time on oddschecker page it's getting pumped with such violence, 15/2 13/2 all sold out in last hour, more exciting than most TV shows!
took a tenner at 14s the other day after Spudy put it up, great spot...
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« Reply #50289 on: August 24, 2013, 10:37:55 AM »

Dont know if anyone/thread is interested, but Ted Veale runs tonight 1950 Bellewstown. Horse must win to have realistic chance of entry into the Ebor on Saturday. otherwise it is balloted out. Suggest evens is good value against what looks like mediocrity tonight, and may well go onto win the Ebor in a few days time.

Almighty gamble on this one, you can actually watch price contract in real time on oddschecker page it's getting pumped with such violence, 15/2 13/2 all sold out in last hour, more exciting than most TV shows!
took a tenner at 14s the other day after Spudy put it up, great spot...

for anyone who havent backed it you can get 11/2 skybet (not best priced currently but in line with betfair and also not best odds guarenteed) but you get top 4 1/4 odds rather tan top 3.  May be of interest to some.
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Spudy
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« Reply #50290 on: August 24, 2013, 10:52:42 AM »

Cheers KP hoping he does the business today, not often martin fails when the money is down.
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Did i ever mention that Napoli won a match once???
Spudy
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« Reply #50291 on: August 24, 2013, 10:54:41 AM »

Coral committing suicide by offering a standout

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/york/15:50/winner
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Did i ever mention that Napoli won a match once???
Dubai
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« Reply #50292 on: August 24, 2013, 11:04:28 AM »

Lay Arsenal (sigh) £70@1.9
Lay Liverpool £125@1.91
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Ant040689
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« Reply #50293 on: August 24, 2013, 11:08:22 AM »

Anyone think Sheff weds are long at a little over evens against Millwall at home? The oppo haven't scored yet in the league.
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The Camel
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« Reply #50294 on: August 24, 2013, 11:09:03 AM »

Lay Arsenal (sigh) £70@1.9
Lay Liverpool £125@1.91

Better to play on the Asian handicaps if you are going to play here as I assume Tikay is on 5% commish
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Congratulations to the 2012 League Champion - Stapleton Atheists

"Keith The Camel, a true champion!" - Brent Horner 30th December 2012

"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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