Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

Bugger off Jeff. You are like a mini-Chompy.

See you at the weekend.

[Tal]

Good stuff, Jaffa. Let's win stuff.

[TightEnd]

Advance copy of my draft for elsewhere

Recommendation

Baltimore Ravens +8.5 at 10/11 with x/+9.5 4/5 with x

The Denver Broncos are a tough nut to crack at home at altitude in Colorado. One of the fancied teams to go very deep into the play-offs they have a talented roster. On offense Peyton Manning remains one of the league's best quarterbacks and he has a slew of receivers headed by Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker, joined this year by Wes Welker from the Patriots. On defense they are slightly weakened by the suspension of all-pro rusher Von Miller, the injury to one of the best cornerbacks in the league Champ Bailey and the departure of Miller's cohort up front Elvis Dumervil to their opponents in this game the Ravens.

The Ravens, despite their success last season, are probably under-rated. They've lost some of last year's roster to free agency but remain well coached, well drafted and a team that always out-performs, especially quarterback Joe Flacco. In running back Ray Rice and a very good offensive line they have the ability to construct long drives, espeically with Von Miller absent, and at least keep the score close. Dumervil and his fellow pass-rushers will also be pressuring Manning

It is quite striking to see the Superbowl winner a near 10 point underdog for their first game after winning the title. This has to be interesting, as this should be a very close game. The battle between the two in the play-offs last season that the Ravens won, going into the game as big under-dogs, went to overtime to attest to this. Are the Ravens really nearly ten points worse than this six months later? I doubt it, and would be surprised to see them lose by more than a touchdown (seven points).

Since the 2005 campaign, only one Super Bowl winning team has lost the following year’s opener. That was the 2012 New York Giants, who also failed to cover the spread—something that has only happened twice in that eight-year span.None of those teams have had to start on the road, but the Ravens proved during their run through the AFC last year that travel is no detriment to their success



(sorry for the brevity, am limiting word count)

[tikay]

Brevity?

[tikay]

Advance copy of my draft for elsewhere

Recommendation

Baltimore Ravens +8.5 at 10/11 with x/+9.5 4/5 with x

The Denver Broncos are a tough nut to crack at home at altitude in Colorado. One of the fancied teams to go very deep into the play-offs they have a talented roster. On offense Peyton Manning remains one of the league's best quarterbacks and he has a slew of receivers headed by Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker, joined this year by Wes Welker from the Patriots. On defense they are slightly weakened by the suspension of all-pro rusher Von Miller, the injury to one of the best cornerbacks in the league Champ Bailey and the departure of Miller's cohort up front Elvis Dumervil to their opponents in this game the Ravens.

The Ravens, despite their success last season, are probably under-rated. They've lost some of last year's roster to free agency but remain well coached, well drafted and a team that always out-performs, especially quarterback Joe Flacco. In running back Ray Rice and a very good offensive line they have the ability to construct long drives, espeically with Von Miller absent, and at least keep the score close. Dumervil and his fellow pass-rushers will also be pressuring Manning

It is quite striking to see the Superbowl winner a near 10 point underdog for their first game after winning the title. This has to be interesting, as this should be a very close game. The battle between the two in the play-offs last season that the Ravens won, going into the game as big under-dogs, went to overtime to attest to this. Are the Ravens really nearly ten points worse than this six months later? I doubt it, and would be surprised to see them lose by more than a touchdown (seven points).

Since the 2005 campaign, only one Super Bowl winning team has lost the following year’s opener. That was the 2012 New York Giants, who also failed to cover the spread—something that has only happened twice in that eight-year span.None of those teams have had to start on the road, but the Ravens proved during their run through the AFC last year that travel is no detriment to their success



(sorry for the brevity, am limiting word count)

1) Was the earlier advice not to wait a day or two?


2) Is there much difference between +8.5 @ 10/11, & +9 @ 4/5?

[TightEnd]

yes we are waiting til Thursday.I 'm just keen as mustard


The key points spreads in the NFL are 7 and 10

7 being a touchdown

7+3 being a touchdown and a field goal

So in practice we can take the lower spread/higher price if its the differnece between 8 and 9 points

[Ant040689]

Just to let you guys know, Jerome was confirmed as per BBC reports on loan for us, so that means we got 4 players in at least. Which equals West Brom, so do not understand how we have lost our bet.

[BigAdz]

Really like the Horsey bet.

Same horse ran in same race 3 years ago and travelled very well under a claimer off a 14lb higher mark, so we know he copes with the surface.

He is joint top rated on SL ratings, and has a genius replacing an apprentice off a lower mark.

The trainer is in form with three seconds and a winner in last 6 runners. Now 4-1 with Butter me up.

Only question seems to be on Jockeys ability to cope with the beach.....!

[tikay]

Really like the Horsey bet.

Same horse ran in same race 3 years ago and travelled very well under a claimer off a 14lb higher mark, so we know he copes with the surface.

He is joint top rated on SL ratings, and has a genius replacing an apprentice off a lower mark.

The trainer is in form with three seconds and a winner in last 6 runners. Now 4-1 with Butter me up.

Only question seems to be on Jockeys ability to cope with the beach.....!

What meeting, time, please?

[tikay]

yes we are waiting til Thursday.I 'm just keen as mustard


The key points spreads in the NFL are 7 and 10

7 being a touchdown

7+3 being a touchdown and a field goal

So in practice we can take the lower spread/higher price if its the differnece between 8 and 9 points

Perfectly explained, thanks.

[BigAdz]

Bugger off Jeff. You are like a mini-Chompy.

See you at the weekend.

I wouldnt exactly say a "mini" Chompy....

[BigAdz]

5.25 Lay

[tikay]

Like Magic best priced 7/2

watching brief at that for all this may be a nice complete the set job for Murtagh

Win Only, I assume?

[tikay]

Like Magic best priced 7/2

watching brief at that for all this may be a nice complete the set job for Murtagh

Done.

Recommended by horsey, backed up by Adzy.

£25 WIN @ 4/1, BetVictor, Like Magic, 5.25 Laytown

ON

17:25LIKE MAGIC (Horse Racing Outright)Odds: 4/1 Stake: 25.00Possible Return:  125.00

[JaffaCake]

Bugger off Jeff. You are like a mini-Chompy.

See you at the weekend.

I wouldnt exactly say a "mini" Chompy....

Oi, I was enjoying that comparison! I'm gonna blank u at the TfT social and sit in the corner with Tal talking about Strictly, Chess and how tight Glenda's shorts used to be.

Did u know the first picture on google images if u look up Chompy is as follows. Seems somehow apt: