Tips for Tikay

[JoeBeevers]

First Texan TD is actually 7/1 with PP. They name the market differently '1st team touchdown scorer'.

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/american-football/nfl-matches/Houston-Texans-At-San-Diego-Chargers-5746719.html

and scroll near bottom of page.

[Omm]

BMW Championship

Nick Watney with bwin is 13.5 (25/2) top ten finish and 6.3 top twenty finish, bwin seem to be the only ones with the top 20 market, but what is interesting is that nearly all the others have him priced top ten as  6 to 8/1.

On the face of it the 6 to 8/1 looks too short based on his results, so bwin might have the price right,  however just before the Barclays he got a new coach, in that tournament he finish 9th with some consistent scoring, in the next he finished 35th with 1 bad round of 72  but was within 3 shots of top 20.

By his own admission it has been his putting letting him down and is obviously working on this. He also has a history of finishing the season strong. (He won the Barclays last year and the another afterwards but had a weak start to the season)

I would recommend £10 top 10 bwin @ 13.5  £20 top 20 bwin @ 6.3 and £2.50 e/w @ 110/1 1st 5 with b365.

Others on here will have more experience than me on Golf and I may be well off the mark with whether the value is with bwin or the others have it wrong. Either way I've put it out there and it's up to the elders to decide, either way I'm on myself so good luck.

You can beat the prices on the e/w with Betfair 159/1 the win, 22/1 the place (has been laid at 25/1).  The top 10 might be some slight value looking at the top 5 prices.  He looks more likely to be 10th than 1st, but can't help much further.  The other bookies definitely look short.

Yeah good point about the win on betfair, I've edited the place top 5 on bwin 46.5 so beats betfair, agreed more likely to come 10 - 20 than 1 - 10 but possible worth a couple of quid considering the price for top 5 on bwin?

Can you clarify what the actual suggestion is, please, I'm a little confused.

BWin go.....

Top 20 @ 7.3

Top 10 @ 13.5

Top 5 @ 46.5

Betfair WIN Price is 160.

All of those? Staking suggestions?

Thanks.

For me Tikay he is more likely to be Top 20 so £20 top 20 with bwin.

Just Top 20, nothing else?

Happy to go ahead on that basis, just confirm please.

Just top 20.

[tikay]

Phils post yesterday about Arian Foster piqued my interest so I looked into it further and it does seem as though he will rotate carries with Ben Tate.  Tates stats aren't that great because he is traditionally used as a battering ram to run down the clock when they are ahead.  He had 69 rushing attempts last year but 39 were in the second half, 42 were whilst his team was ahead and only 10 were in the oppositions red zone and he managed to get 2 TDs from those 10 carries.  He should get a chance tonight and it seems to me he is a big price at 15/2 with Ladbrokes to be the Texans first TD scorer and also at 9/5 to score anytime.  If he gets double digit carries, which he surely will, they both have to be value.

Thanks reds.

Been working the last few hours, & seem to have missed this price badly - he is now 5/1 First TD, & 1/2 Anytime with Ladbrokes.

That is way below your suggestion, so unless you say otherwise, I'd best leave it I think.

I'll have a look elsewhere, but many of these Player Props are only on Ladbrokes.

You are looking at Foster not Tate. Lads now 7/5 anytime, best is 7/4 B365.

Aarrgghh!

Thanks Joe.

Off to have another look.

Related you should also take the 5/6 under 84.5 rushing yards Arian Foster. Most other firms have adjusted quotes but not PP, £60 suggested.

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/houston-texans-at-san-diego-chargers/total-rushing-yds-arian-foster

Thanks Joe.

I wish.......PP Restricted me to £10. I've taken it, but obv can't get the suggested £60.

Interestingly, advised by my man, I have an Off-Thread bet for decent money on Foster, UNDER 19.5 Carries, @ 10/11, but that is NOT a Fred bet. I would assume that is closely related to the Rushing Yards bet. Yup, I'm an expert now......

Foster, UNDER 84.5 Rushing Yards @ 5/6, Paddy Power.

ON


NFL Matches Houston Texans At San Diego Chargers Money-Back Special
 10-09-2013 03:20
 Player A Total Rushing Yards
Arian Foster Under (84.5) @ 5/6 
 
 
Your Bets

 

 Win 
 Single: Arian Foster Under (84.5) @ 5/6
 1 line at £10.00 per line
 Total stake for this bet: £10.00
 Potential returns: £18.33
 No: O/23146337/000035
 

[TightEnd]

Thread has £55 Foster under 19.5 carries, as posted by bobby1 yesterday (alongside BJGE Rushing yards)

[tikay]

Phils post yesterday about Arian Foster piqued my interest so I looked into it further and it does seem as though he will rotate carries with Ben Tate.  Tates stats aren't that great because he is traditionally used as a battering ram to run down the clock when they are ahead.  He had 69 rushing attempts last year but 39 were in the second half, 42 were whilst his team was ahead and only 10 were in the oppositions red zone and he managed to get 2 TDs from those 10 carries.  He should get a chance tonight and it seems to me he is a big price at 15/2 with Ladbrokes to be the Texans first TD scorer and also at 9/5 to score anytime.  If he gets double digit carries, which he surely will, they both have to be value.

Ladbrokes go 6/1 (Tate!) to be First Texans TD Scorer.

Bet365 go 7/4 Tate, anytime. (Thanks Joe).

Go with those prices?

I've gone with those prices, Joe mentioned 7/1 with PP, but I just don't have time right now, (& they'd likely Restrict me) as I'm working tonight, 4 Tabling poker, & this is all a bit much for me to cope with at the same time.

£20 @ 6/1, Ladbrokes, Tate, First Houston Texans TD Scorer

£20 @ 7/4, Bet365, Tate, ANYTIME Scorer.

ON

Ben Tate (HOU Texans) @ 7/4
£20.00  Single 09/09/2013 21:46:05 20.00 0.00

______
Ben Tate
Houston Texans at San Diego Chargers

Singles - 1st Touchdown Scorer - Houston

1 line @ £20.0 per line
.
Total Stake £20.00

Potential Return £140.00

Receipt No: O/142640973/0000427

[tikay]

Thread has £55 Foster under 19.5 carries, as posted by bobby1 yesterday (alongside BJGE Rushing yards)

Ahh, even better, so it WAS a Fred bet, sorry.

That pretty much covers Joe's suggested bet then, albeit in a different form. I just don't have time to sort it any other way right now, sorry.

[BigAdz]

Cooo. The mystery continues.......who could Tikay's "man" be??!!

[tikay]

The US Open tennis final has just begun on Sky Sports 1.

We are on Nadal, @ 3/1, thanks to hector.

[tikay]

Cooo. The mystery continues.......who could Tikay's "man" be??!!

Pretty easy to work that one out, but there are three Gents who help me, off thread, with NFL. No mystery, i just like to be discreet.

[Doobs]

BMW Championship

Nick Watney with bwin is 13.5 (25/2) top ten finish and 6.3 top twenty finish, bwin seem to be the only ones with the top 20 market, but what is interesting is that nearly all the others have him priced top ten as  6 to 8/1.

On the face of it the 6 to 8/1 looks too short based on his results, so bwin might have the price right,  however just before the Barclays he got a new coach, in that tournament he finish 9th with some consistent scoring, in the next he finished 35th with 1 bad round of 72  but was within 3 shots of top 20.

By his own admission it has been his putting letting him down and is obviously working on this. He also has a history of finishing the season strong. (He won the Barclays last year and the another afterwards but had a weak start to the season)

I would recommend £10 top 10 bwin @ 13.5  £20 top 20 bwin @ 6.3 and £2.50 e/w @ 110/1 1st 5 with b365.

Others on here will have more experience than me on Golf and I may be well off the mark with whether the value is with bwin or the others have it wrong. Either way I've put it out there and it's up to the elders to decide, either way I'm on myself so good luck.

You can beat the prices on the e/w with Betfair 159/1 the win, 22/1 the place (has been laid at 25/1).  The top 10 might be some slight value looking at the top 5 prices.  He looks more likely to be 10th than 1st, but can't help much further.  The other bookies definitely look short.

Yeah good point about the win on betfair, I've edited the place top 5 on bwin 46.5 so beats betfair, agreed more likely to come 10 - 20 than 1 - 10 but possible worth a couple of quid considering the price for top 5 on bwin?

Can you clarify what the actual suggestion is, please, I'm a little confused.

BWin go.....

Top 20 @ 7.3

Top 10 @ 13.5

Top 5 @ 46.5

Betfair WIN Price is 160.

All of those? Staking suggestions?

Thanks.

For me Tikay he is more likely to be Top 20 so £20 top 20 with bwin.

Just Top 20, nothing else?

Happy to go ahead on that basis, just confirm please.

Just top 20.

I just had a look at the BetWin prices on Nick Watney.  I suspect they are all errors, as he has been priced the same as Nicholas Thompson.  I think they have their NikNaks in a twist.

[BigAdz]

Cooo. The mystery continues.......who could Tikay's "man" be??!!

Pretty easy to work that one out, but there are three Gents who help me, off thread, with NFL. No mystery, i just like to be discrete.

Was being ironic

[Marky147]

I can get 40 on Foster <84.5 so do you want 36 Tikay?

[tikay]

I can get 40 on Tate, so do you want 36 Tikay?

Lovely, yes please Mark.

Really appreciate all these favours, thank you.

BOOKED

[a.sparrow]

Thread has £55 Foster under 19.5 carries, as posted by bobby1 yesterday (alongside BJGE Rushing yards)

Can someone link me to this bet please? having trouble finding it.  Its in the houston vs san diego game right?

[a.sparrow]

Thread has £55 Foster under 19.5 carries, as posted by bobby1 yesterday (alongside BJGE Rushing yards)

Can someone link me to this bet please? having trouble finding it.  Its in the houston vs san diego game right?

No worries, found the rushing yards one, prob missd the boat on the carries reading back, and even somewhat so this line but as fred is on i expect its still ok, gl