Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/aston-villa-v-tottenham/winner

spurs played Thursday, Sunday and now Tuesday in a competition that is way down the list of priorities for them.  Villa, have the cups and that is it.

villa at home, 5/2with most seems like a reasonable bet?

5/2, at home, & Spurs (away) have to play their third game in 6 days in a "not very interesting" Cup?

I'm not a football expert, but to me, that looks a must bet.

I'll need some advice from the grown-ups, but I've had a little bet for myself on the strength of your suggestion.

Views anyone?

The bookies have the same info as we do, perhaps I'm missing something here?

Meh.

Thursday was barely a training exercise and Spurs now has a big squad. Much deeper than Villa's, who - if they are going to win on Tuesday - will need to start most of the side that played on Saturday.

Real value might depend on the fitness of Benteke and Defoe.

I'd really be surprised if our players were exhausted tomorrow night, having spent most of yesterday making ten yard passes to each other.

As we all know, I'm no assessor of prices, but I would think the price to progress on the night might offer more interest than the price to win in 90.

Advice from Spurs Supporters, who include the exciteable Paulinho, is not deemed impartial, Jeff would not approve.

[tikay]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/aston-villa-v-tottenham/winner

spurs played Thursday, Sunday and now Tuesday in a competition that is way down the list of priorities for them.  Villa, have the cups and that is it.

villa at home, 5/2with most seems like a reasonable bet?

We decided to climb aboard at a shade better price than recommended. Thanks, & good luck all who sail in her.

Steer clear of Paulinho if he scores though, could get messy. 

We have £50 @ 13/5, BetFred, Villa to beat Spurs in 90 minutes, Tuesday.

ON

Bet placed, its reference is 183/196
 
Bet ref: 183/196 £50.00 Single

Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur
Match Result


Aston Villa

13/5

Total stake

£ 50.00

Estimated return

£ 180.00

Full stake

£ 50.00

Full estimated return

£ 180.00

[Karabiner]

Have to agree that a Benteke-less Villa are not nearly as appealing.

Mind you if he can get some of Stenson's magic salve....

[tikay]

Have to agree that a Benteke-less Villa are not nearly as appealing.

Mind you if he can get some of Stenson's magic salve....

Works miracles, that stuff.

[Waz1892]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/aston-villa-v-tottenham/winner

spurs played Thursday, Sunday and now Tuesday in a competition that is way down the list of priorities for them.  Villa, have the cups and that is it.

villa at home, 5/2with most seems like a reasonable bet?

We decided to climb aboard at a shade better price than recommended. Thanks, & good luck all who sail in her.

Steer clear of Paulinho if he scores though, could get messy. 

We have £50 @ 13/5, BetFred, Villa to beat Spurs in 90 minutes, Tuesday.

ON

Bet placed, its reference is 183/196
 
Bet ref: 183/196 £50.00 Single

Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur
Match Result


Aston Villa

13/5

Total stake

£ 50.00

Estimated return

£ 180.00

Full stake

£ 50.00

Full estimated return

£ 180.00

excellent, best of luck to us all.

[Tal]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/aston-villa-v-tottenham/winner

spurs played Thursday, Sunday and now Tuesday in a competition that is way down the list of priorities for them.  Villa, have the cups and that is it.

villa at home, 5/2with most seems like a reasonable bet?

5/2, at home, & Spurs (away) have to play their third game in 6 days in a "not very interesting" Cup?

I'm not a football expert, but to me, that looks a must bet.

I'll need some advice from the grown-ups, but I've had a little bet for myself on the strength of your suggestion.

Views anyone?

The bookies have the same info as we do, perhaps I'm missing something here?

Meh.

Thursday was barely a training exercise and Spurs now has a big squad. Much deeper than Villa's, who - if they are going to win on Tuesday - will need to start most of the side that played on Saturday.

Real value might depend on the fitness of Benteke and Defoe.

I'd really be surprised if our players were exhausted tomorrow night, having spent most of yesterday making ten yard passes to each other.

As we all know, I'm no assessor of prices, but I would think the price to progress on the night might offer more interest than the price to win in 90.

Advice from Spurs Supporters, who include the exciteable Paulinho, is not deemed impartial, Jeff would not approve.

If this was A***nal, the bet would never be accepted. Fred is putting his gooner loving heart before his head, here.

Bloody clique, this place.

Secret handshakes. Masonic lodges. Sacred orders, the works.


Joking aside...

What price do the Elders think Villa should be tomorrow?

[tikay]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/aston-villa-v-tottenham/winner

spurs played Thursday, Sunday and now Tuesday in a competition that is way down the list of priorities for them.  Villa, have the cups and that is it.

villa at home, 5/2with most seems like a reasonable bet?

5/2, at home, & Spurs (away) have to play their third game in 6 days in a "not very interesting" Cup?

I'm not a football expert, but to me, that looks a must bet.

I'll need some advice from the grown-ups, but I've had a little bet for myself on the strength of your suggestion.

Views anyone?

The bookies have the same info as we do, perhaps I'm missing something here?

Meh.

Thursday was barely a training exercise and Spurs now has a big squad. Much deeper than Villa's, who - if they are going to win on Tuesday - will need to start most of the side that played on Saturday.

Real value might depend on the fitness of Benteke and Defoe.

I'd really be surprised if our players were exhausted tomorrow night, having spent most of yesterday making ten yard passes to each other.

As we all know, I'm no assessor of prices, but I would think the price to progress on the night might offer more interest than the price to win in 90.

Advice from Spurs Supporters, who include the exciteable Paulinho, is not deemed impartial, Jeff would not approve.

If this was A***nal, the bet would never be accepted. Fred is putting his gooner loving heart before his head, here.

Bloody clique, this place.

Secret handshakes. Masonic lodges. Sacred orders, the works.


Joking aside...

What price do the Elders think Villa should be tomorrow?

Ha, very good.....

It was always the way with Forums, the easy line is always "clique".

[Tal]

One more bite and I'm done. Promise.

We have just put the same amount on this as we did on Neil's deeply-analysed 8point NFL bets. Must be looking at a big price differential to warrant that kind of bet.

I should just say - in case anyone misunderstands the post above - I really don't mind a bet against spurs (much of Fred would like to see us lose every week!), but I would like to learn the difference between a good bet and a bad one. The odds setter ladt week would have known the schedules and would have sorted his price out accordingly. Since then, spurs have had two relatively easy games on the legs and Villa might have lost their star player (at least, he got a knock). This should push the price out so, if it hasn't, why would that warrant a bet?

Again - and I cannot emphasise this enough for fear of reprisals - I am asking because this is how my mind works and I need help to think correctly on these matters. I am not as such disagreeing with Waz's post or that Villa aren't really 2/1 shots or whatever; I just can't square the circle in my head and not just because of my lily whiteness.

Thanks in advance.

Mildly Grumpy of Birmingham

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

There is yet another T20 cricket competition occurring in India, basically the World cup for club sides but with no English teams. Our old favourites Mumbai Indians play the Otago Volts today, but for some reason I keep thinking of them as the Otago Voles. Mumbai still have the OAP Tendulkar wielding his zimmer frame and also do not have the services of Malinga. Otago had to qualify for the actual tournament in a mini league and did so winning all 3 matches. They have Rutherford, McCullum and Ten Doeschate in their batting line up so are capable of scoring at a rapid rate. I make it a pick'em game.

Suggest £20 Otago Voles @ 31/20 with Sportingbet.

[tikay]

One more bite and I'm done. Promise.

We have just put the same amount on this as we did on Neil's deeply-analysed 8point NFL bets. Must be looking at a big price differential to warrant that kind of bet.

I should just say - in case anyone misunderstands the post above - I really don't mind a bet against spurs (much of Fred would like to see us lose every week!), but I would like to learn the difference between a good bet and a bad one. The odds setter ladt week would have known the schedules and would have sorted his price out accordingly. Since then, spurs have had two relatively easy games on the legs and Villa might have lost their star player (at least, he got a knock). This should push the price out so, if it hasn't, why would that warrant a bet?

Again - and I cannot emphasise this enough for fear of reprisals - I am asking because this is how my mind works and I need help to think correctly on these matters. I am not as such disagreeing with Waz's post or that Villa aren't really 2/1 shots or whatever; I just can't square the circle in my head and not just because of my lily whiteness.

Thanks in advance.

Mildly Grumpy of Birmingham

Dearest Mildly Grumpy,

I do hope this note finds you well, & in good heart.

Neil's deeply analysed 8 point bets warranted an £88 investment, this was £50.

I genuinely would have expected, for all the reasons Waz explained, that Villa would be something like 2/1. In addition, Team Maths seemed to concur.

It is, of course, more than likely that whilst I will use many a pigs ear, I dont make many silk purses.

I do hope your mild grumpyness clears with alacrity. We don't like grumpy, he can FRO.

Best regards,

Happy Chappie.   

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

There is yet another T20 cricket competition occurring in India, basically the World cup for club sides but with no English teams. Our old favourites Mumbai Indians play the Otago Volts today, but for some reason I keep thinking of them as the Otago Voles. Mumbai still have the OAP Tendulkar wielding his zimmer frame and also do not have the services of Malinga. Otago had to qualify for the actual tournament in a mini league and did so winning all 3 matches. They have Rutherford, McCullum and Ten Doeschate in their batting line up so are capable of scoring at a rapid rate. I make it a pick'em game.

Suggest £20 Otago Voles @ 31/20 with Sportingbet.

Hector!

Good morning. Grand to see you, the weekend has been a tad fractious, we need your calming influence.

We are safely aboard, £20 @ 31/20, Sporting Bet, The Voles to beat OAP Tendulker & Co, Bishy Bashy Boshy.

ON

Bet Type: Single
Mumbai Indians v Otago Volts Match PricesOtago Volts31/20

 Possible Payout 51.00 GBP

1 bet @
20.00 GBP


Total Cost: 20.00 GBP
Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 51.00 GBP

Click to see full-size image.

[Tal]

One more bite and I'm done. Promise.

We have just put the same amount on this as we did on Neil's deeply-analysed 8point NFL bets. Must be looking at a big price differential to warrant that kind of bet.

I should just say - in case anyone misunderstands the post above - I really don't mind a bet against spurs (much of Fred would like to see us lose every week!), but I would like to learn the difference between a good bet and a bad one. The odds setter ladt week would have known the schedules and would have sorted his price out accordingly. Since then, spurs have had two relatively easy games on the legs and Villa might have lost their star player (at least, he got a knock). This should push the price out so, if it hasn't, why would that warrant a bet?

Again - and I cannot emphasise this enough for fear of reprisals - I am asking because this is how my mind works and I need help to think correctly on these matters. I am not as such disagreeing with Waz's post or that Villa aren't really 2/1 shots or whatever; I just can't square the circle in my head and not just because of my lily whiteness.

Thanks in advance.

Mildly Grumpy of Birmingham

Dearest Mildly Grumpy,

I do hope this note finds you well, & in good heart.

Neil's deeply analysed 8 point bets warranted an £88 investment, this was £50.

I genuinely would have expected, for all the reasons Waz explained, that Villa would be something like 2/1. In addition, Team Maths seemed to concur.

It is, of course, more than likely that whilst I will use many a pigs ear, I dont make many silk purses.

I do hope your mild grumpyness clears with alacrity. We don't like grumpy, he can FRO.

Best regards,

Happy Chappie.   

Was just logging on to delete my post. It was far more critical than I intended. Of course the answer was "I agreed and so did people who understand the numbers". That is what happens with dozens of other bets every week ITT and it should be enough.

Apologies all round.

Still not wishing you luck on this one, tho...

[superwomble]

Great report as always Tighty. No mention of Burton this week though? 

By the way, Ozil was unfortunately not tipped by anyone for the assists market. Someone did mention last week (I did, but I think someone else said he was a shoe-in before my post too) that he was going to win it. Unfortunately the assist market seemed to be taken down by all bookies when the season started so we could never get on him. Don't get why they did this - what is the difference between this and the top goalscorer market, which is still live?

[tikay]

One more bite and I'm done. Promise.

We have just put the same amount on this as we did on Neil's deeply-analysed 8point NFL bets. Must be looking at a big price differential to warrant that kind of bet.

I should just say - in case anyone misunderstands the post above - I really don't mind a bet against spurs (much of Fred would like to see us lose every week!), but I would like to learn the difference between a good bet and a bad one. The odds setter ladt week would have known the schedules and would have sorted his price out accordingly. Since then, spurs have had two relatively easy games on the legs and Villa might have lost their star player (at least, he got a knock). This should push the price out so, if it hasn't, why would that warrant a bet?

Again - and I cannot emphasise this enough for fear of reprisals - I am asking because this is how my mind works and I need help to think correctly on these matters. I am not as such disagreeing with Waz's post or that Villa aren't really 2/1 shots or whatever; I just can't square the circle in my head and not just because of my lily whiteness.

Thanks in advance.

Mildly Grumpy of Birmingham

Dearest Mildly Grumpy,

I do hope this note finds you well, & in good heart.

Neil's deeply analysed 8 point bets warranted an £88 investment, this was £50.

I genuinely would have expected, for all the reasons Waz explained, that Villa would be something like 2/1. In addition, Team Maths seemed to concur.

It is, of course, more than likely that whilst I will use many a pigs ear, I dont make many silk purses.

I do hope your mild grumpyness clears with alacrity. We don't like grumpy, he can FRO.

Best regards,

Happy Chappie.   

Was just logging on to delete my post. It was far more critical than I intended. Of course the answer was "I agreed and so did people who understand the numbers". That is what happens with dozens of other bets every week ITT and it should be enough.

Apologies all round.

Still not wishing you luck on this one, tho...

Ha, no need to apologise. The written word, as you well know, is capable of all sorts of subtle misunderstoodments.

I never have a problem with "challenging" bets I have placed just so long as it is done politely, & in good spirit. Etiquette, even on a betting thread, is very important. 

[Waz1892]

One more bite and I'm done. Promise.

We have just put the same amount on this as we did on Neil's deeply-analysed 8point NFL bets. Must be looking at a big price differential to warrant that kind of bet.

I should just say - in case anyone misunderstands the post above - I really don't mind a bet against spurs (much of Fred would like to see us lose every week!), but I would like to learn the difference between a good bet and a bad one. The odds setter ladt week would have known the schedules and would have sorted his price out accordingly. Since then, spurs have had two relatively easy games on the legs and Villa might have lost their star player (at least, he got a knock). This should push the price out so, if it hasn't, why would that warrant a bet?

Again - and I cannot emphasise this enough for fear of reprisals - I am asking because this is how my mind works and I need help to think correctly on these matters. I am not as such disagreeing with Waz's post or that Villa aren't really 2/1 shots or whatever; I just can't square the circle in my head and not just because of my lily whiteness.

Thanks in advance.

Mildly Grumpy of Birmingham

Disappointed you don't feel I've put the same amount of thought in my bet then Neil has.

My research was impeccable, taking into account, players training regime with fitness, club strategic positional aspects to competition order, venue, and right down to the period of games in between!


I will seek to improve my level of postings!  Lol