Tips for Tikay

[The Camel]

Just catching up with my admin after a busy weekend (ie reading every post ever made on Fred, as I have since day one!) and wanted to post thanks to u lovely chaps wishing me well/congratulating me after the GUKPT.

Sometimes I forget that everyone here is also a poker player as well as a sports betting ice cream or elder, it's like reading and contributing to Fred is what I do away from poker....not sure that's the message teeks wants on a poker forum lol.

Loved your report today Tighty, am on Desmond Decker in this NFL, let's gogogo

Congratulations Mr Cake

[redarmi]

Glad a few of you got on.  Had a pretty horrendous day in NFL yesterday and that repairs some of the damage.

[JaffaCake]

Just catching up with my admin after a busy weekend (ie reading every post ever made on Fred, as I have since day one!) and wanted to post thanks to u lovely chaps wishing me well/congratulating me after the GUKPT.

Sometimes I forget that everyone here is also a poker player as well as a sports betting ice cream or elder, it's like reading and contributing to Fred is what I do away from poker....not sure that's the message teeks wants on a poker forum lol.

Loved your report today Tighty, am on Desmond Decker in this NFL, let's gogogo

Congratulations Mr Cake

Thanks Keith, riding the hot streak!

http://youtu.be/83Y2hv-3UCM

[tikay]

Wait, what? Decker got the 1st TD?
Sheeesh, you do something nice for someone, go for a snooze, wake up and you owe Tikay £65. Such is life
Funny actually now that I look at my post. I actually posted that I backed Thomas x 2 but I can confirm (after a nervous check) that I backed Thomas and Decker.

As the world sleeps, Fred will awake.........£65 richer.
Pm me your Stars name Teeks.

Cheers Red.

Incredible!

Thank you very much.

Cliffs:

I go to bed.

redarmi finds one of his Maths Specials

Dazzler rightly assumes I want the action for Fred & backs it.

Bet wins.

I wake up none the wiser but £65 (or whatever) richer.

Thanks dazzler, ditto to redarmi for some amazing insight.

Shame I missed the sweat, but I'll take it!

[tikay]

Glad a few of you got on.  Had a pretty horrendous day in NFL yesterday and that repairs some of the damage.

Much appreciated Stu, you seem to be our Monday Night Hero

It was our only winner yesterday. We backed 2 horses (£20 each), Brentford (Lost) & the last of the Betting Emporium bets (lost), so that came in very handy.

[tikay]

Slightly late to the party but the trend of rookies not winning at The Masters stretches back over 30 years. Obviously a very talented guy and clearly plays well in Georgia but I wouldn't go crazy on a first timer there. Average winner at Augusta is 32 and has had 7 prev starts there.

I did not comment last night, as I was busy elsewhere, but this was my first thought, too.

However, for balance, the guy might be a bit special, potentially one of the greatest judging by his recent progress & tender years, & I think, at 66/1, we are not in too bad shape.

This was also why I asked the "ew?" question, I think, in this case, it makes much more sense. 

Anyways.....we are on now, so orf we jolly well go on the Spieth Masters Adventure.

[tikay]

Nowhere near his Tightness in depth of research but got a Presidents Cup recommend.

£10 ew Hunter Mahan top American points scorer 10-1 general or 12-1 if you can get owt on.

Normally seems to be Captains pick for these team events but easily made it on his own merits this time, which in itself shows his progress.

A steady and sometimes spectacular player, he was second to Kuchar in the Accenture Matchplay earlier in the year, and has a fair record in 4 PC matches so far winning 8 of 14 games.

With his straight driving, ranked 3rd of the players here behind Stricker and Speith, he must have every chance of getting plenty of chances of playing the foursomes. A good show in them normally gives you a fourball game too, so I think he will see some action.

He played a few games in last Presidents Cup with Stricker, and that looks like a good solid combo again with both in form.

As a player on the up, and one of the true "U.S.A" brigade he looks a solid proposition at a decent price.

CONFIRMATION ONLY

Thanks Adzy, we got on this last night.

Hunter Mahan, £10 EW @ 10/1, (qtr 1,2,3), BetVictor, TOP AMERICAN, Presidents Cup.

ON

Betid 34021830800 Time: 23:10 Bet Type: Single Stake: £ 20.00


23/09/2013 GBP 10.00 Each Way Single: HUNTER MAHAN @ 10/1

Top American Points Scorer 2013 Presidents Cup
Top American Points Scorer - Tournament

Hunter Mahan

10/1

EW 1/4 1,2,3

None

Unsettled 

[tikay]

Hey Adz, what price would you want on Jordan Spieth for next year's masters?

FWIW He isn't in every betting list, but gets in on top 30 in this year's money list.

I have already backed him.

Evening Sir.

Seems to keep progressing up that curve nicely. Was thinking I might have to think again about an acceptable price as the 33s seems like wishful t.

Looked at the prices for US Open first and thought 40s was fair. When I saw 66s for the masters had to have the max each would let me. May look foolish in 9 months time but cant see it being a bigger price unless he goes all David Duval on us. Great spot Doobs.

Glad you think so.  The Masters comes first so less of a wait.  Looking at the others at 66/1, you wouldn't back any above Speight.

Suggest Tikay gets £20 on the nose Jordan Spieth for the long sweat on the US Masters.

You can get 66/1 on BET365, Boylesports or Paddy Power.  The thinking is I can't see him starting at 66/1 any time soon in a US golf tournament and this price looks a bit stale.

Thanks Guys.

We have £20 EW @ 66/1, Boylesports, Jordan Spieth, 2014 US Masters

ON

23 Sep 2013 22:07

116/115

US Masters 2014 - Tournament Outright

Spieth, Jordan

e/w Single

66/1

40.00

 

[tikay]

Hey Adz, what price would you want on Jordan Spieth for next year's masters?

FWIW He isn't in every betting list, but gets in on top 30 in this year's money list.

I have already backed him.

Evening Sir.

Seems to keep progressing up that curve nicely. Was thinking I might have to think again about an acceptable price as the 33s seems like wishful t.

Looked at the prices for US Open first and thought 40s was fair. When I saw 66s for the masters had to have the max each would let me. May look foolish in 9 months time but cant see it being a bigger price unless he goes all David Duval on us. Great spot Doobs.

Funny you should mention David Duval, currently 949 on betfair for the Alfred Dunhill links championship, what a fall from grace for a once very successful golfer.

I well remember his glory years too. He had a bit of an odd swing & head posture. After winning The Open in 2001, he has never won another Tourney. Astonishingly, he should have won the 2009 US Open but for some ill fortune.

A very sad personal story, before & after his US Open win, too. Life seems like it has always been a battle for him, especially after early tragedy.

He was always a bit offhand with the Media, but I suppose this was understandable.

"nobody knows" as the saying goes.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Duval

[tikay]

Paddy Power have made another rick tonight with the First TD market imo.  The Broncos have got about a 72% chance of scoring the first TD by my estimation.  So far of 12 TD's they have scored nine have been passing TD's.  I think this is a bit high but it probably isn't horribly off.  Lets assume 65% as this is what it was last year.  He has so far shared his receptions amongst his receivers fairly equally with Welker 12 for 3 TD's, Julius Thomas 11 for 3 TD's, Eric Decker 11 for 0 TD's and Demaryius Thomas 10 for 2 TD's from 57 completed passes.  Manning does like to give all of his receivers action so it is fair to assume all four will be get 18-20% of the chances which would make them all 72%*65%*20% so about 9.3% each or roughly 10/1 each true odds. 

I think there is an argument that Welker might get a few more of the better quality chances but an injury in the Oakland corners to Tyvon Branch who normally covers their tight ends means Thomas might get more chances too and also Decker given he hasn't had a TD.  Irrespective I think you couldn't go wrong having a small bet on Thomas at 12/1 and Decker at 14/1.  Both are much shorter at firms that have a clue.  Realise Fred is limited with Paddy power but figured some regulars here might be looking for an interest.

Cheers Red, small sweat for me.
I'll put £5 on both for Fred as I'm sure Tikay would want them. We can settle up in the morning.
 
£5 win Thomas @ 12/1 + £5 Thomas @ 14/1 for first TD scorer in Oakland @ Denver for Fred with Paddy Power.

CONFIRMATION ONLY (for Tighty).

Dazzler placed these 2 bets on behalf of Fred, whilst the beauty slept.

ON

[tikay]

Morning Guys!!

Having a quick look at the the +points and what does everyone think about Leyton Orient +20 points at 14/1 is screaming out at us?

So far they have won 5-1 away and 3-0 at home,  last season then finished  7th on 71 points +20 would of given them 91 points were Donny picked up only 84 points

God i am loving this bet now!!!! please please please tell me you backed it??

Sadly not. I don't think there was any feedback at all. At this juncture, it looks the bet of the century!

[tikay]

Wait, what? Decker got the 1st TD?
Sheeesh, you do something nice for someone, go for a snooze, wake up and you owe Tikay £65. Such is life
Funny actually now that I look at my post. I actually posted that I backed Thomas x 2 but I can confirm (after a nervous check) that I backed Thomas and Decker.

As the world sleeps, Fred will awake.........£65 richer.
Pm me your Stars name Teeks.

Cheers Red.

My 'Stars account has been dormant for a good few years I'm afraid.

Can we perhaps sort it via a third party who has a "live" 'Stars account, or alternatively, we can settle it at the Fred Bash perhaps?

Sorry to be a pain.

[tikay]

Just catching up with my admin after a busy weekend (ie reading every post ever made on Fred, as I have since day one!) and wanted to post thanks to u lovely chaps wishing me well/congratulating me after the GUKPT.

Sometimes I forget that everyone here is also a poker player as well as a sports betting ice cream or elder, it's like reading and contributing to Fred is what I do away from poker....not sure that's the message teeks wants on a poker forum lol.

Loved your report today Tighty, am on Desmond Decker in this NFL, let's gogogo

Nice one Jeff. The "sweat" would ordinarily belong on the main Poker Boards, but it seemed somehow more appropriate here, amongst "family". Rather you won it than anyone. (Except Thewy, vested interest & all that....).

The thanks to Tighty for his Report is really appreciated, too, the bloke really works hard on those, & they are a proper pain to do, as I know from having done them myself for a year.

All good, invest those winnings wisely.

I just had a look at your THM page, (yet to include your latest conquest), bit weird as I specifically recall the very first two entries on it. Marky might remember the 2nd one, too.


 http://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com/player.php?a=r&n=43205


Here's a memory jerker for you. You look proper mean there.....

[tikay]

Man Utd are available at 5/4 tomorrow, to beat Liverpool in the League Cup, at Old Trafford. Quite rare to see them that price at home.

Yes yes, they don't take the League Cup seriously, but there ought surely be a backlash after Sunday's debacle v Man City? Hard to imagine they won't be trying to salvage some pride. Back to back defeats to Man C & Liverpool would not go down too well.

 

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-cup/man-utd-v-liverpool/winner

[BigAdz]

I probably remember them better than most, as I used to spend loads of time with Mr K in them days.

Sadly I couldn't hold a candle to his game, but strangely used to run well in h/u situations. From there our journeys took us in different directions.

He has a THM page longer than my latest bookie invoice, and me? I just have a bookies invoice.

And for all this time He stayed a modest quiet chap you would be unlikely to notice.

Well done old mate!!