Tips for Tikay

[kpnuts]

Fred running good in Ranchi.
Bailey 50no after being dropped twice, on zero & 35.
More than 100 ahead now.

[Snowball]

I don't think the Pakistan bet could have started any worse.
Pakistan all out for under 100 and SA starting to smash tge Ball about while Pakistan have used their 2 reviews after 5 overs.

[Doobs]

I don't think the Pakistan bet could have started any worse.
Pakistan all out for under 100 and SA starting to smash tge Ball about while Pakistan have used their 2 reviews after 5 overs.

Bailey 61 no tho

[JaffaCake]

Bailey is whacking them round the ground, just put it on (is the Pak v SA on anywhere?).

Have to say win of lose that bet is up there with the very best Tighty, great shout

[kpnuts]

Bailey is whacking them round the ground, just put it on (is the Pak v SA on anywhere?).

Have to say win of lose that bet is up there with the very best Tighty, great shout

Hear, hear. Super call, Tighty.
BMU, with whom I took 60 @ 11/2 thanks to Tighty's rec, shut me down a few days ago so it'll be all the sweeter if the account pays dividend(s) posthumously!

[superwomble]

Yuh, looking at him for sure. Seven leads and McGurk is only one off.

I've kept an eye on him for a couple of weeks. 25/1.

had a collapsed lung whilst at tranmere which i believe partly is why they did not renew his contract (fitness doubts)

Has had problems and read on the Burton forum that he might be a bit lightweight. That's all that's putting me off tbh. Shocking division this season.

40/1 with Vic.

[TightEnd]

The Good

Bailey top scored with 98 today, having been dropped first ball and then on 35

So after 4 innings, of 7 total

GJ Bailey (Aus)    318
GJ Maxwell (Aus) 179    
AJ Finch (Aus)    165    
PJ Hughes (Aus)  163
JP Faulkner (Aus) 114    
AC Voges (Aus) 101
SR Watson (Aus) 86

So we are 139 ahead, and in a position where someone has to hit a couple of 50+ innings whilst Bailey fails twice for it to be close going to the last game

The Interesting

Maldini has us on Elgar 10/1 top SA bat in Dubai. Currently 15* out of 67-1

The Lets Gloss over it

Pakistan 99, South Africa 67-1 is the archetypal inconsistent Pakistani day. A long way back from here, even though it is spinning sharply.

[TightEnd]

The Rugby League World Cup is imminent

RL is not really my sport, but it struck me that there had to be an opportunity in the Tryscorer markets, so here are the results of a couple of hours of research

There are 4 groups, 8 through to the QF. 3 from the 2 strong groups and 1 each from the "also ran" groups

Australia win their group, you would expect, then play an also ran group winner in the QF and then the team that finishes second in the NZ group in the semi final

Its all on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Rugby_League_World_Cup

Meanwhile in the other half NZ would be expected to play Eng in the semi


The point I am making here is that top try scorer should be Australian. They will play, you would think, 6 matches. QF and SF against lesser teams. RL games can be very one sided, becuase in mismatch games the impact of the side conceding the try having to kick off can be enormous

So to the Australian side.

They have a winger who has 13 tries in 13 Tests

In the NRL he has 98 tries in 153 appearances

Inside him he has the best centre around, Michael Jennings (my research tells me)

The playmaker Thurston likes to kick to his wing (my research tells me)

So what price an Australian winger, first choice it appears, for the best side in the tournament with 4 of 6 games against inferior oppostiion?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brett_Morris

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-league/world-cup/rugby-league-world-cup/top-tournament-try-scorer

10-1 Ladbrokes is the answer (5/2 top 4 on each way terms)  just behind his teammater Slater at fullback and Josh Charnley of England. I know Charnley is a finisher, but I suspect the central case has to be he plays a game less than the Australians, and has to play against Australia and New Zealand in those 5 games

This the most likely scenario as the RLWC isn't the most competitive competition you'll see in terms of depth, so many results and therefore paths through the tournament are quite predictable for the big three sides


Hector, Kinboshi etc to sense test this please.

[Acidmouse]

I would be worried they don't rotate key players in dead games or games against lesser opposition in the RL world cup.

[aaron1867]

I can only see a backlash from Man utd tonight at home to Real sociedad.

They are 13/8 on the handicaps for -1

[BorntoBubble]

I can only see a backlash from Man utd tonight at home to Real sociedad.

They are 13/8 on the handicaps for -1

They also have looked good in champions league so far despite looking shocking in the league.

[youthnkzR]

I can only see a backlash from Man utd tonight at home to Real sociedad.

They are 13/8 on the handicaps for -1

They also have looked good in champions league so far despite looking shocking in the league.

This may be true but how often do you see them squeeze wins out by just one goal vs weaker opposition? (Not got the stats for it but these 1-0 / 2-1....etc wins must be a huge % of their winning results).

*I hope they win 10-0 being a united fan myself

[Chompy]

Yuh, looking at him for sure. Seven leads and McGurk is only one off.

I've kept an eye on him for a couple of weeks. 25/1.

had a collapsed lung whilst at tranmere which i believe partly is why they did not renew his contract (fitness doubts)

Has had problems and read on the Burton forum that he might be a bit lightweight. That's all that's putting me off tbh. Shocking division this season.

40/1 with Vic.

Not any more

[a.sparrow]

Bet365 have some standout prices on the first goal scorer market in the bayern munich game tonight.  Obviously you expect Bayern to score a few goals, so this looks like the perfect oppertunity to hit them for some each way value.  If Doobs is around and wouldn't mind then maybe he can give an optimal staking plan for them?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/bayern-munich-v-plzen/first-goalscorer

[Doobs]

Bet365 have some standout prices on the first goal scorer market in the bayern munich game tonight.  Obviously you expect Bayern to score a few goals, so this looks like the perfect oppertunity to hit them for some each way value.  If Doobs is around and wouldn't mind then maybe he can give an optimal staking plan for them?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/bayern-munich-v-plzen/first-goalscorer

Arjen Robben is not only top priced with them but is attack minded and scores pretty frequently (better than 1 in 2 games for Bayern).  Can't believe he is 11/2 and you get each way.    Is that a plan?  Tony can get his usual £8.36 each way for thread.