Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

ends 5-0

not quite sure how robben  and/or kroos did not get one but way it goes

thanks to original poster was a superb game amazed 365 went so big all the main 4

[tikay]

ends 5-0

not quite sure how robben  and/or kroos did not get one but way it goes

thanks to original poster was a superb game amazed 365 went so big all the main 4

Dubai did, too. 

[tikay]

The Rugby League World Cup is imminent

RL is not really my sport, but it struck me that there had to be an opportunity in the Tryscorer markets, so here are the results of a couple of hours of research

There are 4 groups, 8 through to the QF. 3 from the 2 strong groups and 1 each from the "also ran" groups

Australia win their group, you would expect, then play an also ran group winner in the QF and then the team that finishes second in the NZ group in the semi final

Its all on http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Rugby_League_World_Cup

Meanwhile in the other half NZ would be expected to play Eng in the semi


The point I am making here is that top try scorer should be Australian. They will play, you would think, 6 matches. QF and SF against lesser teams. RL games can be very one sided, becuase in mismatch games the impact of the side conceding the try having to kick off can be enormous

So to the Australian side.

They have a winger who has 13 tries in 13 Tests

In the NRL he has 98 tries in 153 appearances

Inside him he has the best centre around, Michael Jennings (my research tells me)

The playmaker Thurston likes to kick to his wing (my research tells me)

So what price an Australian winger, first choice it appears, for the best side in the tournament with 4 of 6 games against inferior oppostiion?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brett_Morris

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-league/world-cup/rugby-league-world-cup/top-tournament-try-scorer

10-1 Ladbrokes is the answer (5/2 top 4 on each way terms)  just behind his teammater Slater at fullback and Josh Charnley of England. I know Charnley is a finisher, but I suspect the central case has to be he plays a game less than the Australians, and has to play against Australia and New Zealand in those 5 games

This the most likely scenario as the RLWC isn't the most competitive competition you'll see in terms of depth, so many results and therefore paths through the tournament are quite predictable for the big three sides


Hector, Kinboshi etc to sense test this please.

Brett Morris is 14/1 with Betfred

Had not even seen this, just as well, much better price! Well done, thanks.

Views as to whether Win or EW? 14/1 EW looks juicy.

[TightEnd]

35 shots to 1, and over 700 completed Bayern passes tonight

Touch unlucky that every bet didn't win I thought, still ended £68 up

Click to see full-size image.

[tikay]

Blimey, Tighty is in stat-heaven!

[aaron1867]

I'm very late & bet has already been placed, but Blades don't have a top six squad. They've been a team dependent on one player for do long & been found out. They've been out of form for a very long time and the position they are in at the moment is not a fake one, they've been having a poor season. The only out for the bet is that the new chairman spends in January.

[horseplayer]

ends 5-0

not quite sure how robben  and/or kroos did not get one but way it goes

thanks to original poster was a superb game amazed 365 went so big all the main 4

Dubai did, too. 

he appears to have broken  the 365 site as well

[TightEnd]

I'm very late & bet has already been placed, but Blades don't have a top six squad. They've been a team dependent on one player for do long & been found out. They've been out of form for a very long time and the position they are in at the moment is not a fake one, they've been having a poor season. The only out for the bet is that the new chairman spends in January.

This is why they are 11/1 top 6 and 13/8 top half

You are telling us what the consensus knows. It might be right, but if its a false position...thats the bet

[horseplayer]

i did not state they were in a false position

have seen them three times twice been awful actually worse than that

However as pointed out if they are within a sniff of the play offs come Jan (and there next six fixtures gives them as good a chance as any 6 would imo) then they have the ability to spend which most others will not

If they cant get near the mid table pack after the next six games they wont deserve to be in contention and the bet will be dead

[bobby1]

I'm very late & bet has already been placed, but Blades don't have a top six squad. They've been a team dependent on one player for do long & been found out. They've been out of form for a very long time and the position they are in at the moment is not a fake one, they've been having a poor season. The only out for the bet is that the new chairman spends in January.

In your opinion which player have they been dependent on Aaron?

[RickBFA]

I'd much prefer to be on the 13/8 top half finish than Aaron's 6/1 relegation bet on Sheff Utd.

Top 6 is possibly a step too far but the price reflects that.

United will definitely improve.

Especially after 2 good results, new manager appointed and some potential money to spend.

[tikay]

Am a bit behind with Fred Admin, and have placed several bets today which may not be on here yet, will update everything in the morning.

[bobby1]

I'd much prefer to be on the 13/8 top half finish than Aaron's 6/1 relegation bet on Sheff Utd.

Top 6 is possibly a step too far but the price reflects that.

United will definitely improve.

Especially after 2 good results, new manager appointed and some potential money to spend.

Cheers Rick,

I have had my eye on this market for about 5 weeks with this bet in mind, ten days ago Utd were about the same price to be in the top half as they are today, despite being 10 or11 behind 12th place then and only 8 now.

Wanted to wait until the Wolves, Coventry and Peterboro away games were played to see how it stood before betting. I didn't think we would get much from those games. What might help is Miler and Murphy are now fit again which gives then a lot more variation going forward.

Of the 7 away games played so far 6 of them were against teams in he top ten( I included Coventry there as they are in the top ten points scoring teams) so the away schedule has been v tough and is much easier going forward.

The next few fixtures are against lesser teams in the league and tho I was waiting for this for a few weeks can't see any downside in getting Clough in as manager today, in fact it should be a plus.


I don't think Sheff Utd are a good team but even the squad they have now is better than its current position, we can add new manager, cash to spend in January with the new guy putting some money in and more cash for wages for loan players too.

It feels like the nut best time to get with them as if they are going to improve their league position there are a lot of plus points in their favour that were not there a few weeks ago, manager, attacking players returning, upcoming fixtures, hardest away games played etc.

[Doobs]

Is Nigel Clough such a good manager?  His team at Derby just seemed to be inconsistent and never really went anywhere whilst he was there.  I don't think most of the Derby fans rated him at all.

[Ant040689]

Is Nigel Clough such a good manager?  His team at Derby just seemed to be inconsistent and never really went anywhere whilst he was there.  I don't think most of the Derby fans rated him at all.

There is something about him that reeks of a lack of heart.