Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Nice start for our Jordan.

-4 after round 1, in tied 4th.


Shiv on just started but -1 after 5, solid.

jordan had a double and two bogeys in that total!

[Doobs]

Nice start for our Jordan.

-4 after round 1, in tied 4th.


Shiv on just started but -1 after 5, solid.

Team Jordan signing in.  Still 66/1 for the Masters with Betway, but no account.  

[Waz1892]

Not a bet I'm saying should be done, but struggling to see why Roma are 2/7 in places for tonight games?

Roma 9/0/0 vs cheivo 1/1/7.  Roma at home, only let in 1 goal in the 9 games, cheivo only scored 7 in theirs.

Surely should be 1/5+?

You can get 5/6 Roma scoring only with hills, haven't checked others on that scernrio

[Tal]

Tighty and other cricket folk, how have the Aussies managed to slow down the WACA pitch? Our tall seamers can't get any zip and we are struggling to get wickets. Is this some sort of Hallowe'en dark arts?

[TightEnd]

Tighty and other cricket folk, how have the Aussies managed to slow down the WACA pitch? Our tall seamers can't get any zip and we are struggling to get wickets. Is this some sort of Hallowe'en dark arts?

1 Sacked the groundsman two months ago

2 want to give England no exposure to a fast bouncy wicket the like of which they'll see in the Perth test

3 game doesn't matter anyway, glorified net practice

[Nico29]

Not a bet I'm saying should be done, but struggling to see why Roma are 2/7 in places for tonight games?

Roma 9/0/0 vs cheivo 1/1/7.  Roma at home, only let in 1 goal in the 9 games, cheivo only scored 7 in theirs.

Surely should be 1/5+?

You can get 5/6 Roma scoring only with hills, haven't checked others on that scernrio

No opinion on this at all just thought wld check Oddschecker for you.

10/11 Roma to win to nil with pp is pretty standout.

[Tal]

Rare for me to moot an NFL bet, but I’m interested in thoughts on this.
 
The Monday Night/Tuesday Morning game is Green Bay v Chicago. Chicago used to have a pretty fearsome defence but they’ve lost their defensive coordinator and their star man since then, now leaking almost 30 points a game.
 
They face a Packers side in the top 5 for both passing and rushing yards and, in Aaron Rodgers, a QB capable of making consistently good decisions under pressure. Green Bay have scored 30 points a game despite having three of Rodgers’s favoured targets – James Jones, Randall Cobb and Jermichael Finley – out for portions of the season. On the ground, the match-up is probably even more unpleasant: Green Bay are putting up numbers far in excess of last season and James Starks and Eddie Lacy have been able to get yards and points against better defences than the Bears will offer.  
 
According to the Bleacher Report (where I have got most of these stats from...), Chicago have allowed the fourth most rushing touchdowns this season (eight). If they somehow manage to do what Cincinnati, Baltimore, Cleveland, San Francisco, Minnesota, Washington and Detroit couldn’t and control the running game, the list of receiving options Rodgers has at his disposal suggests he will have a field day against the already-exposed Bears secondary.
 
The Packers have covered the spread in 12 of their last 13 divisional games, where Chicago are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8. Rodgers is also 8-0 ATS in his last eight at home and the Packers have won their last 8 against Chicago.
 
Against that, although Jay Cutler (the Bears QB) is out, the chap who came in to cover him against Washington did a decent job and the Bears are crucially coming off a bye, so have had an extra week to get some coordination going. That Washington game ended 41-45, so let’s not kid ourselves that this fella can’t deliver against a Green Bay side missing Clay Matthews.
 
The points line is 49.5 and the spread is Packers -10.5. I’m thinking of saying the Bears will cover the spread, getting within 10.5 points, but that the total will go well into the fifties, so to take the Overs on the total points.
 
What does Fred think? Again, I don't know enough about NFL to suggest this is a "recommend"; I know my place.

[redarmi]

My biggest question mark about your bets here would be going over a fairly high total in a game where both teams have important offensive injuries.  Green Bay did okay against the Vikings without Cobb and Finley in terms of points but Rodgers only actually got 285 yards through the air and two TD's.  The Bears have a run defense that is at least as bad as the Vikings (they are pretty bad overall defensively) but if they do rely on the run as much as they did against the Vikings it is hard to go over.  I'm not saying it won't go over but there are a few too many questions for me.

[Tal]

My biggest question mark about your bets here would be going over a fairly high total in a game where both teams have important offensive injuries.  Green Bay did okay against the Vikings without Cobb and Finley in terms of points but Rodgers only actually got 285 yards through the air and two TD's.  The Bears have a run defense that is at least as bad as the Vikings (they are pretty bad overall defensively) but if they do rely on the run as much as they did against the Vikings it is hard to go over.  I'm not saying it won't go over but there are a few too many questions for me.

That's fair enough, red. It's exactly the sort of response I'm after, to try to contextualize the markets. Thanks

[Ant040689]

On the Keith Millen 100/1 bet, he has come into 66/1 but that doesn't matter much. What does is the fact it looks likely he will be in charge for our next two games. If he can get 6 points which isn't completely beyond the realms of possibility he may keep the job, particularly as Pulis is waiting on us to offer him £1.5m a year, and I don't know if we will be doing that.

[Marky147]

I see that Martin O' Neill has come in substantially for the ROI job, and is now clear favourite.

[aaron1867]

Not much to bet on this weekend in my view, but looking at everything Barnsley, think I am very happy to get on Barnsley 9/2 away at Ipswich in a couple of spots.

Lost 3 of last 6 have Barnsley, but they have been against QPR, Leicester and Watford....

Not a recc, but thoughts from either side would be good. They are 23/20 +1 too.

[tikay]

MCW finishes with 22/12/9/7 as worst team in league beats best....not a bad start, his 9 steals an all-time record in a first game

edit oioi
Earvin Magic Johnson ‏@MagicJohnson 15m
I just got done watching the guy I think will be the Rookie of The Year, Michael Carter-Williams of the 76ers.

What exactly does that mean, Jeff?

[JaffaCake]

Sorry I was excited. MCW is Michael Carter-Williams, rookie for Philadelphia 76ers. He made his debut yesterday in a tevelvised game against Miami, obv the best team.

He scored 22 points, had 12 assists, nine steals (a record in a first game and the joint most ever by a 76er and seven rebounds. Hard to put into context but Magic Johnson says he's gonna win Rookie of the Year now after watching that game, lots of places calling it the best debut in years.

Last year Damian Lillard, also a point guard, won rookie of the year with averages of 19 points, 6.1 assists, 3.1 rebounds, not sure on steals, probably about 1.5, the best in the league is always around 3 per game so u can see that was freakishly good. Just google Michael Carter-Williams and read some of the superlatives being used.

Bet is good because he's on a terrible team and has stated his aim is to win rookie of the year. He's 6'6, pretty big for a PG (they're always the shortest on team) and his long arms means he'll get plenty of steals and some blocks, all bonuses when his first job is assists then points.

Fred backed him at 14/1 I think, recommend was at 16s possibly, told u on Saturday he was the one to press having watched a lot of pre-season. On the flip side, it looks like our other 14/1 shot Olynyk, who was actually backed into 7/1 before the off, is gonna have to fight for court time so defo won't set the world on fire yet, might take him a while to make his mark at Boston.

As an aside, there's defo a few ricks in the player markets in the early season, lots of lazy bookies just using career or last season averages to set lines, when some players are on new teams or have new roles where they're playing a different game. Watch this space

[Karabiner]

Would it be possible to link this 

When being used in an aftertimey way to this

www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkqfa-kaRFM