Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Is there any mileage in Tighty's Homer Simpson NFL referee today ? I backed him the other week when the home team were hosting Denver and it came in and felt bad that Fred had missed out.

He has Carolina at the 49ers

Only problem is the 49ers are up to 7 point favourites on the spread, against a very under-rated defense

I didn't think that left any margin for error

So I left it this week

[bobby1]

You fecking miserable barstewards!

Last 3 weekends 10-1, 20-1 and 7-2 winners, and not a single PM.

Typical Brits the lot of you, build you up, just to knock you down.

Now I know how Helen Flanagan feels.

good stuff that Adz, well done mate.

[Doobs]

I think there is a small mistake in the golf bets.  £5 e/w at 14/1 returns £12.50 profit.  

[bobby1]

Is there any mileage in Tighty's Homer Simpson NFL referee today ? I backed him the other week when the home team were hosting Denver and it came in and felt bad that Fred had missed out.

He has Carolina at the 49ers

Only problem is the 49ers are up to 7 point favourites on the spread, against a very under-rated defense

I didn't think that left any margin for error

So I left it this week

That's good news coz I like 49ers there. Think Tal's bet is ok too if can get on.

[redarmi]

Texas A&M won 51-41, as expected and it is somewhat encouraging that defence is not improving. We would be very unlucky to not get home from here as they finish their schedule @lsu @missouri, both games I expect them to be slight underdogs in.

Our cover bet on Winston should still rock solid as Florida state thumped wake forest 59-3, though Winston has little to do and was pulled at some point in the 2nd half. In unsubtle bragging news I am going to live rail mr Winston next week as I am off to Florida and have a ticket for their home game against Syracuse next Saturday.

Have we just run bad with schedules then?

Or have Florida beaten a tough team that hasn't been mentioned?

They beat Miami last Saturday who were ranked , i think, #7 and Clemson who were #3 both very easily but their conference is pretty soft this year but they are covering 30+ point spreads in the first quarter and easing up.  It is hard to see them losing from here.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Just a couple of questions .

Isn't it time we put the Camel's bookings theory to the test in the Arsenal v Man Utd game?

Is there any mileage in Tighty's Homer Simpson NFL referee today ? I backed him the other week when the home team were hosting Denver and it came in and felt bad that Fred had missed out.

By the way Mr Adz top tipping. Could we by chance have a separate thread " Big Adz's tipping your way towards paying for Christmas? ". Sometimes people get deluged with all the tips on here and miss your gems.

Thanks hector (says Mr Grumpy).

In the NFL, the stars are not aligned today, so Tighty tells us, & in the Bookings, the train has apparently left the station without us, but I'll see if I can find the Market on that & will Post it up here when I do.

Still can't find that Bet365 "Teaser Teams" thing.

Welcome to the Adzy Fan club, you can be Chairman.

[Marky147]

Texas A&M won 51-41, as expected and it is somewhat encouraging that defence is not improving. We would be very unlucky to not get home from here as they finish their schedule @lsu @missouri, both games I expect them to be slight underdogs in.

Our cover bet on Winston should still rock solid as Florida state thumped wake forest 59-3, though Winston has little to do and was pulled at some point in the 2nd half. In unsubtle bragging news I am going to live rail mr Winston next week as I am off to Florida and have a ticket for their home game against Syracuse next Saturday.

Have we just run bad with schedules then?

Or have Florida beaten a tough team that hasn't been mentioned?

They beat Miami last Saturday who were ranked , i think, #7 and Clemson who were #3 both very easily but their conference is pretty soft this year but they are covering 30+ point spreads in the first quarter and easing up.  It is hard to see them losing from here.

Gotcha, thanks.

[tikay]

Morning Mr T.

Just a couple of questions .

Isn't it time we put the Camel's bookings theory to the test in the Arsenal v Man Utd game?

Is there any mileage in Tighty's Homer Simpson NFL referee today ? I backed him the other week when the home team were hosting Denver and it came in and felt bad that Fred had missed out.

By the way Mr Adz top tipping. Could we by chance have a separate thread " Big Adz's tipping your way towards paying for Christmas? ". Sometimes people get deluged with all the tips on here and miss your gems.

I have a feeling the train might have left the station for this particular market.

Prepared to give it one final shot as the line is so low today though.

Is this the Market,  & is "over 25 minutes" the suggestion?


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/man-utd-v-arsenal/time-of-first-booking

[tikay]

BETTING EMPORIUM

As those who follow Betting Emporium via their website will now know, their NFL section has moved to a subscription model.

That's not a matter for discussion on this thread really, but if you have any views, you are encouraged to Post them on the Betting Emporium thread, which is here....


http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=60211.0


Betting Emporium & Fred.

Joe had telephone discussions about this with both Tighty & myself earlier this week, mainly as to how it would affect FRED bets etc, & "spoilers" on Fred.

Advance "spoilers" are strongly discouraged, & will be Deleted if seen.

AS to FRED bets, we are not entirely sure yet, but it is possible that we will continue to back Neil's "Top Two" bets each week (time & memory permitting) to a £5 Unit Stake. The actual selections or bets would not be revealed until AFTER Kick Off in each respective game. The bets can be proofed by an independent arbitor or referee if necessary, one of the Elders ideally. I'm happy to give them access to my Accounts where needed to allow this.  (Mere, Camel, Doobs, Tighty etc). Joe Beevers was quite agreable to this method of doing Betting Emporium Bets if we so desire.

Whether we should do this or not is another matter. It sort of takes away the "Community Sweat" if nobody knows the bets in advance, as the regulars here tend to colectively follow certain Fred Bets & get on accordingly, so that would not work.

We shall need to invest in a considerable dither.

Meanwhile, that leaves more room for our regular & long-standing NFL chaps to put up recommendations.

No BE spoilers though, please.

[tikay]

Anyone seen Posh Bloke in the last 80 minutes? Seems to be conspicious by his absence.

Can't begin to imagine why.

[hector62]

Mr T.

That bookings bet is Camels baby I just brought it up as I like Fred to back things slightly off the wall.

A few weeks ago I read a Kevin Pullein article on betting, and it concerned improving your lot via negativa. The gist was that it is very hard to improve your performance by adding things to it. You can however dramatically improve things by getting rid of things you are bad at. I thought it perfectly summed up Fred's results on basketball. It's good to see we are on course for profitable month number 7 in a row.

[tikay]

Spurs 0 - Newcastle 1

[the sicilian]

Already put this on the NFL thread.. My fave bet of the week

Reggie Bush ( Detroit) quoted on Sky over 77.5 rushing yards... Bears run D pretty awful ranked 29th in the league avg allowed 127.5 ypg... anyone with a deese running game has gashed them for big numbers all season...5/8 games oppos lead RB has gone for 95 + inc Bush's 139 in this fixture in September...Lacy killed them for 150 on Monday and add to this 2 starting LB are out as well...Bears front seven allow runners through to the secondary a lot and the safeties miss tackles too.... Bears can't load the box as Stafford will shred them with Megatron in man to man...

77.5 looks a bargain even with Bell adding numbers whilst Reggie has a rest ..

Edit:  sky now 80.5... did blondes nfl people move ths ?? lol

victor still 78.5 @ 1.91


Im in for 8 points suggest the same

[Tal]

Anyone seen Posh Bloke in the last 80 minutes? Seems to be conspicious by his absence.

Can't begin to imagine why.

Poor team selection and some woeful shooting costing us dearly. Krul has played well but has been made to look like Lev Yashin because we keep shooting at him. Tactically naïve performance.

Didn't deserve more than we got. If you can't score goals, you don't deserve points.

Apart from that...

[tikay]

Anyone seen Posh Bloke in the last 80 minutes? Seems to be conspicious by his absence.

Can't begin to imagine why.

Poor team selection and some woeful shooting costing us dearly. Krul has played well but has been made to look like Lev Yashin because we keep shooting at him. Tactically naïve performance.

Didn't deserve more than we got. If you can't score goals, you don't deserve points.

Apart from that...

You escaped lightly - wait until Plinop arrives.....