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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16427761 times)
JoeBeevers
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« Reply #59505 on: November 17, 2013, 11:19:53 AM »

Tighty, I have a spready at work with all the starting Conf handicaps and current standings - is that what you're after?

the BetVictor one with Kidd+7 at the start please

alder +38
alfre +32
barnet +14
braint +28
cam utd +12
chester +12
dartf +28
f green 0
gatesh +18
grims +6
halx +22
heref +18
hyde +34
kidder +7
linc +22
luton 0
maccles +20
nun +34
sal city +28
sport +32
tamw +34
welli +28
woki +28
wrex +8
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Doobs
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« Reply #59506 on: November 17, 2013, 11:32:51 AM »

Hills mobile offer is back at Cheltenham for channel 4 today.

Sire De Grugy in the 2.40 at 5/6 is obvious

Ted Veale in the 2.10 isn't so obvious, but he is abets price with Hills and I like the horse.  He has been backed for this too.  Suggest £25 Ted Veale at 11/4.

We should definitely have one of the top 2 in the 1.35, but 3 horse races void the offer, so people should back them close to the race.  Will probably back Sea Lord myself, but will be busy at that time and may not be able to post.

Cheers





Thanks Doobs, we are on both, & we got 10/11 Sire de Grugy.

If anyone has a strong view on the 1.35 nearer the time, let me know please. As stated, it would NOT be an "OFFER" bet, though.

2 BETS PLACED

There are currently 4 in that 1.35, I just wanted to be sure 4 were going before putting the bet on.  I think 4 is fine, 3 is bad.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #59507 on: November 17, 2013, 11:38:39 AM »

Hills mobile offer is back at Cheltenham for channel 4 today.

Sire De Grugy in the 2.40 at 5/6 is obvious

Ted Veale in the 2.10 isn't so obvious, but he is abets price with Hills and I like the horse.  He has been backed for this too.  Suggest £25 Ted Veale at 11/4.

We should definitely have one of the top 2 in the 1.35, but 3 horse races void the offer, so people should back them close to the race.  Will probably back Sea Lord myself, but will be busy at that time and may not be able to post.

Cheers





Thanks Doobs, we are on both, & we got 10/11 Sire de Grugy.

If anyone has a strong view on the 1.35 nearer the time, let me know please. As stated, it would NOT be an "OFFER" bet, though.

2 BETS PLACED

There are currently 4 in that 1.35, I just wanted to be sure 4 were going before putting the bet on.  I think 4 is fine, 3 is bad.

Ahh, now I get it, thanks.

I'll keep an eye on it, & if there remain 4 runners, I'll have £25 on Sea Lord.
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« Reply #59508 on: November 17, 2013, 11:54:05 AM »

Morning Mr T.

Good to see the month ticking along nicely. I have a big priced value bet today in the rugby league between Fiji and Samoa. I want to suggest a small bet on the first points to be scored to be a Fijian penalty. The Samoan defence is very good, if somewhat brutal. I expect Samoa to win by 1- 12 points but I don't think there will be many points scored. If Fiji can get early position then I can see them winning a penalty, probably for a huge late tackle.

In an earlier match v Australia, Fiji got an early penalty and kicked it. It turned out to be their only points. I can't make this price any bigger than 10's but we can get 20.

Suggest first points scored to be a Fiji penalty £10 @ 20-1 with Paddy Power.
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tikay
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« Reply #59509 on: November 17, 2013, 12:16:12 PM »

Morning Mr T.

Good to see the month ticking along nicely. I have a big priced value bet today in the rugby league between Fiji and Samoa. I want to suggest a small bet on the first points to be scored to be a Fijian penalty. The Samoan defence is very good, if somewhat brutal. I expect Samoa to win by 1- 12 points but I don't think there will be many points scored. If Fiji can get early position then I can see them winning a penalty, probably for a huge late tackle.

In an earlier match v Australia, Fiji got an early penalty and kicked it. It turned out to be their only points. I can't make this price any bigger than 10's but we can get 20.

Suggest first points scored to be a Fiji penalty £10 @ 20-1 with Paddy Power.

Afternoon hector, yes, we are ticking along very nicely. We seem to have one big winner every month, (Mr Bailey this month) & that sort of pays for the month & allows us some freeroll dabbling. Long may it last.

That is a VERY unusual bet you've proposed!

However.....PP now go 12/1, which is smack in line with every other Book. That's also much nearer to your "target" real price of 10/1. Still a bet, or best to leave?
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« Reply #59510 on: November 17, 2013, 12:25:00 PM »

I am going to take that as a sign that we should do the other bet of Samoa to win by 1-12 points.

Suggest £20 @ 11-5 with Ladbrokes.

I hope the person who stole Fred's price has the decency to come clean. 4-7 it was Big Adz.
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« Reply #59511 on: November 17, 2013, 12:30:31 PM »

I am going to take that as a sign that we should do the other bet of Samoa to win by 1-12 points.

Suggest £20 @ 11-5 with Ladbrokes.

I hope the person who stole Fred's price has the decency to come clean. 4-7 it was Big Adz.

Ha! I hope it was, that's the whole idea, & I hope he gets the lot. Victory to the fleet of foot & all that.
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« Reply #59512 on: November 17, 2013, 12:33:45 PM »

I am going to take that as a sign that we should do the other bet of Samoa to win by 1-12 points.

Suggest £20 @ 11-5 with Ladbrokes.

I hope the person who stole Fred's price has the decency to come clean. 4-7 it was Big Adz.

Thanks, we are on.



BET PLACED
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« Reply #59513 on: November 17, 2013, 12:54:04 PM »

Hi tikay,

I've had a little success following NASCAR this season, far from an expert, but been following some blogs in the States looking for small edges, that the UK books miss or are late in picking up.

Ford EcoBoost 400. Final race of the season.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/race-of-champions/ford-ecoboost-400/winner

Quote
The driver I like a lot in this race is Martin Truex Jr., and it's not just because of his 20-to-1 odds. He has a great history at Homestead with a 9.9 average finish and also had the fastest 10-consecutive lap average in Saturday's early practice session. His best type of track over the past three seasons has been on 1.5-mile tracks. This looks like the perfect spot for him to grab a win, even though winning races have been a rare occurrence for him.

He starts 8th on the grid. 36 season starts with 1 win, 6 top 5, & 14 top 10.

PP provide value, & are out of line @ 25/1. Suggest a small £5.00 EW (top 4, quarter odds) investment.
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tikay
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« Reply #59514 on: November 17, 2013, 01:03:15 PM »

Hi tikay,

I've had a little success following NASCAR this season, far from an expert, but been following some blogs in the States looking for small edges, that the UK books miss or are late in picking up.

Ford EcoBoost 400. Final race of the season.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/race-of-champions/ford-ecoboost-400/winner

Quote
The driver I like a lot in this race is Martin Truex Jr., and it's not just because of his 20-to-1 odds. He has a great history at Homestead with a 9.9 average finish and also had the fastest 10-consecutive lap average in Saturday's early practice session. His best type of track over the past three seasons has been on 1.5-mile tracks. This looks like the perfect spot for him to grab a win, even though winning races have been a rare occurrence for him.

He starts 8th on the grid. 36 season starts with 1 win, 6 top 5, & 14 top 10.

PP provide value, & are out of line @ 25/1. Suggest a small £5.00 EW (top 4, quarter odds) investment.

Thanks Tonji.

Don't recall Fred ever having a NASCAR bet previously. Love the way there are always folks who have "deep" stats on stuff like this, the Americans seem to major on stat-based betting, as in MLB & NFL, for example.

Inevitably, PP restricted me to £1.04 EW, but it'd still be a handy £30 or more, & if you saw a £30 note blowing down the road, you'd pick it up pdq.

BET PLACED
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Tonji
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« Reply #59515 on: November 17, 2013, 01:24:55 PM »

Hi tikay,

I've had a little success following NASCAR this season, far from an expert, but been following some blogs in the States looking for small edges, that the UK books miss or are late in picking up.

Ford EcoBoost 400. Final race of the season.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/race-of-champions/ford-ecoboost-400/winner

Quote
The driver I like a lot in this race is Martin Truex Jr., and it's not just because of his 20-to-1 odds. He has a great history at Homestead with a 9.9 average finish and also had the fastest 10-consecutive lap average in Saturday's early practice session. His best type of track over the past three seasons has been on 1.5-mile tracks. This looks like the perfect spot for him to grab a win, even though winning races have been a rare occurrence for him.

He starts 8th on the grid. 36 season starts with 1 win, 6 top 5, & 14 top 10.

PP provide value, & are out of line @ 25/1. Suggest a small £5.00 EW (top 4, quarter odds) investment.

Thanks Tonji.

Don't recall Fred ever having a NASCAR bet previously. Love the way there are always folks who have "deep" stats on stuff like this, the Americans seem to major on stat-based betting, as in MLB & NFL, for example.

Inevitably, PP restricted me to £1.04 EW, but it'd still be a handy £30 or more, & if you saw a £30 note blowing down the road, you'd pick it up pdq.

BET PLACED

Not an easy sport to follow & watch to be honest, hours & hours of racing round & round, continuously pitting for tyres. Not sure even diehard fans can follow it with out a few beers. The US TV coverage is pretty cool though with multi in car footage & interviews with drivers & teams during the racing.

"fastest 10-consecutive lap average" has been the key stat I've been using this year.

Also started dabbling in Alpine skiing & have been reading up on Ski Jumping & the dominant Gregor Schlierenzauer, such a cool mad sport.  Cheesy
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« Reply #59516 on: November 17, 2013, 01:26:13 PM »

Tonji starting the Winter Olympics Elder Challenge 2014.
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« Reply #59517 on: November 17, 2013, 01:30:58 PM »

Ski-jumping died for me post Eddie the Eagle.
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« Reply #59518 on: November 17, 2013, 01:36:42 PM »

Hi tikay,

I've had a little success following NASCAR this season, far from an expert, but been following some blogs in the States looking for small edges, that the UK books miss or are late in picking up.

Ford EcoBoost 400. Final race of the season.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/race-of-champions/ford-ecoboost-400/winner

Quote
The driver I like a lot in this race is Martin Truex Jr., and it's not just because of his 20-to-1 odds. He has a great history at Homestead with a 9.9 average finish and also had the fastest 10-consecutive lap average in Saturday's early practice session. His best type of track over the past three seasons has been on 1.5-mile tracks. This looks like the perfect spot for him to grab a win, even though winning races have been a rare occurrence for him.

He starts 8th on the grid. 36 season starts with 1 win, 6 top 5, & 14 top 10.

PP provide value, & are out of line @ 25/1. Suggest a small £5.00 EW (top 4, quarter odds) investment.

Thanks Tonji.

Don't recall Fred ever having a NASCAR bet previously. Love the way there are always folks who have "deep" stats on stuff like this, the Americans seem to major on stat-based betting, as in MLB & NFL, for example.

Inevitably, PP restricted me to £1.04 EW, but it'd still be a handy £30 or more, & if you saw a £30 note blowing down the road, you'd pick it up pdq.

BET PLACED

Not an easy sport to follow & watch to be honest, hours & hours of racing round & round, continuously pitting for tyres. Not sure even diehard fans can follow it with out a few beers. The US TV coverage is pretty cool though with multi in car footage & interviews with drivers & teams during the racing.

"fastest 10-consecutive lap average" has been the key stat I've been using this year.

Also started dabbling in Alpine skiing & have been reading up on Ski Jumping & the dominant Gregor Schlierenzauer, such a cool mad sport.  Cheesy

I used to watch NASCAR a lot when Sky Sports covered it, who covers it now, & is it available in the UK?
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« Reply #59519 on: November 17, 2013, 01:42:14 PM »

Hills mobile offer is back at Cheltenham for channel 4 today.

Sire De Grugy in the 2.40 at 5/6 is obvious

Ted Veale in the 2.10 isn't so obvious, but he is abets price with Hills and I like the horse.  He has been backed for this too.  Suggest £25 Ted Veale at 11/4.

We should definitely have one of the top 2 in the 1.35, but 3 horse races void the offer, so people should back them close to the race.  Will probably back Sea Lord myself, but will be busy at that time and may not be able to post.

Cheers






4 runners confirmed, so....

BET PLACED
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