Tips for Tikay

[Doobs]

What Tighty said. I'd further add that I think Susannah is better than Chris Hollins, although the competition is stronger this year than it was the year he won it.

Really?  She doesn't look a great price to me right now.  She could have been bottom 2 this week?  The other 5 combined aren't far off her price.  She may be backable again at some point, but not sure it is right now.

She isn't the best dancer in the competition, but she is a solid allrounder who had a bad week with a dance on a technical issue that won't really be a problem going forward. Sophie has a few very good dances and then the rest are fair-to-middling. Ashley and Patrick have technical weaknesses that span half a dozen or more dances and will likely keep being mentioned by the judges. I think the biggest rival will be Abbey, although I personally think Susannah is more likely to win on the night, because she has a little more pizzazz (not a technical term, but you know what I mean).

Sophie 7/1 PP, Boyles, Coral and Hills (oh for a free bet), last price matched on Betfair 5.6/1.  Topped digital spy on this week's dance (Ashley 2nd).  Just saying.

Question for you Tal; Sophie's Charleston, you spent most of the time watching Sophie, right?  Susanna's Paso, were you mostly watching Susanna?  

  

[Tal]

If you want to know where the "Millen for Manger" market is, go to Oddschecker -> Sports A-Z -> Nativity

Just above the Spurs for Premiership Top 4 market

Play nicely, children. Only twelve months ago you were all crying about your manager.

[pleno1]

Fwiw I was talking to ray (lol) and a friend from home (lol) about this exact thing this week. I have it down as


Certainty finishing ahead of us

Man U
Man c
Liverpool
Chelsea
Arsenal
Spurs

I think we are fighting for the next spots with

Southampton
Everton
Swansea

I think we are v likely to finish ahead of

Palace
Sunderland
Hull
Cardiff
West brom
Norwich
Stoke
West ham
Fulham


So three reasons why I think we can finish higher than projected (no idea on value)

- the teams predicted to,finish around or above us such as fulham/west ham/Norwich/sunderlandmare almost certainly finishing below us and re performing bad
- the two teams competition for a position with us are Everton and Southampton. Southampton have a very young squad who are overperformingmright now, their bench this weekend was also suspiciously weak, I think a few injuries and they will be struggling big time.

Substitutes
03 Yoshida
08 Davis
17 Osvaldo
22 Chambers
25 Gazzaniga
38 Reed
40 Gallagher

Bolder especially are nowhere near prem class ATM.

You then have Everton who are performing well but trying to adapt toa new system and rely on Lukaku so much. Teams will start just focusing on him so much, this happened with Ben arfa and we eventually subbed him. I think Gareth Barry and McCarthy is way too static for a central,midfield partnership.

I would say we were probably favourites to finish ahed of Southampton and underdogs to finish above Everton.' Newcastle started the season very slowly and lost around 6 points that we definitely shouldn't have.

One of the reasons we re placed so bad with the bookies is because of our away record last season, weve already recorded more points away from home this season than the whole of,last season with wins at Cardiff/spurs/villa away which are two very tough places to go and win.

We've already played a lot,of,the big teams and done well vs Chelsea and Liverpool at home.

Ray questioned our squad depth but outside of the starting 11 we have

- Ben arfa, fit but can't get a game he is genuinely really good
- Anita, really tidy and dependable
- Gutierrez works hard
- cisse, meh but has proven record
- marveaux, one of our best players last yer
-'debauchee, back from,suspension now probably player of season so far
- Taylor, solid centre half
- Sammy ameobi/Adam Campbell/dummet young promising players

I think we look in very good shape if Ashley signs anybody in January (probably wont) we could really push on.

[pleno1]

Oh we also have the best keeper in the prem who can win games for us that we lost last year with our reserve keeper playing tail end of the season.

[BigAdz]

What Tighty said. I'd further add that I think Susannah is better than Chris Hollins, although the competition is stronger this year than it was the year he won it.

Really?  She doesn't look a great price to me right now.  She could have been bottom 2 this week?  The other 5 combined aren't far off her price.  She may be backable again at some point, but not sure it is right now.

She isn't the best dancer in the competition, but she is a solid allrounder who had a bad week with a dance on a technical issue that won't really be a problem going forward. Sophie has a few very good dances and then the rest are fair-to-middling. Ashley and Patrick have technical weaknesses that span half a dozen or more dances and will likely keep being mentioned by the judges. I think the biggest rival will be Abbey, although I personally think Susannah is more likely to win on the night, because she has a little more pizzazz (not a technical term, but you know what I mean).

Sophie 7/1 PP, Boyles, Coral and Hills (oh for a free bet), last price matched on Betfair 5.6/1.  Topped digital spy on this week's dance (Ashley 2nd).  Just saying.

Question for you Tal; Sophie's Charleston, you spent most of the time watching Sophie, right?  Susanna's Paso, were you mostly watching Susanna?  

  

This is just teed up too high to hit!!!!

[DungBeetle]

Speaking of relegation, does anybody else think that Norwich (12/5) and West Ham (5/1) look a little big for relegation on their displays so far?

Norwich have been pretty poor on the few times I have seen them and look hopeless away from home, and West Ham really do seem to have shot themselves in the foot by putting all their eggs in the Andy Carrol basket.

I haven't put too much thought into this yet, but those prices just seemed a bit off to me.

[exstream]

Alan Cook is 20/1 to score anytime for Arbroath tonight on Bet365, 66/1 first, has scored 9 in 10 including the first against rangers last time out, he's 4/1 FGS everywhere else

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/scottish/league-1/arbroath-v-rangers/first-goalscorer
So out of line

[Karabiner]

If you want to know where the "Millen for Manger" market is, go to Oddschecker -> Sports A-Z -> Nativity

Just above the Spurs for Premiership Top 4 market

Play nicely, children. Only twelve months ago you were all crying about your manager.

*ahem* Not quite all of us.

[Chompy]

Re: Gumball, we have £50 @ 8/1. She can be laid at 3.2, or Susie can be backed at 9/4 in a couple of spots. It's 7/1 bar two.

Think if we're planning on trading, now would be the time. I'm letting my bet ride though.

[Doobs]

Re: Gumball, we have £50 @ 8/1. She can be laid at 3.2, or Susie can be backed at 9/4 in a couple of spots. It's 7/1 bar two.

Think if we're planning on trading, now would be the time. I'm letting my bet ride though.

I think we have 25 each way.  £25 might be a bit tiddlearse to trade?  Would Jeff approve?
 

[Chompy]

Meh, can't trade £25 each-ways, that would be wayyyyyyyy too tiddlearsey. One time Gumball!

[tikay]

Alan Cook is 20/1 to score anytime for Arbroath tonight on Bet365, 66/1 first, has scored 9 in 10 including the first against rangers last time out, he's 4/1 FGS everywhere else

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/scottish/league-1/arbroath-v-rangers/first-goalscorer
So out of line

That looks like a palp to me. I'd avoid that if I were you.

But thank you, anyway.

[BorntoBubble]

Paddy power have got that top batsmen offer on again for the. 2nd test definitely some value to be had there!

[TightEnd]

No bets concluded yesterday and so far as I can tell no action on any of the longer term positions either

[JaffaCake]

I'm not greening out/laying Nat in Strictly, we came here to gamble right? Think we've got a very good bet at 8/1