Tips for Tikay

[sonour]

The PP NBA offer is on again tonight, and for the next couple.

Tonight's game is Indiana Pacers @ Miami Heat, the two top sides in the east, so it's likely to be close (and likely to trigger the money back as points in the last 10 secs happen much more in close games, where they foul opponents to stop the clock.

No price up yet as Lebron, Miami's star, is a game-time decision with an ankle injury. I'll be very surprised if he doesn't play tbh, seems fine. They lost to the Pacers last week and don't play them again for months so it's got some importance. Indiana also have the better record, so tie-breakers may come into it in the playoffs way down the line.

I'll be online and follow all the guys on twitter who will have Lebron news when it comes, stay tuned!

(tbh with the concession whichever side we pick is a value bet I reckon, but they won't price it while he's uncertain by the looks of it, tho this train wifi is patchy so might be there somehwhere)

Thanks for this Jaffa. Can you keep reminding us when these are on please ?

Two more tonight Sonour, will take a look later, but first it's confession time....I thought we won the first bet at Indiana +3.5...it was actually +3 and we pushed! This is quite ridic, we were 11 up at half time and 16 up at one point in the second half, meaning we had 13 and 18 points in hand. We were still 8 up late in the 4th, so 10 points in hand, and somehow Miami sneaked it. Even at the last minute, Indiana tried a three pointer where their player was defo fouled by LBJ but there was no call. Was sure we couldn't lose, Miami hadn't been 3 up all game until the last second, and Indiana had a chance to score after that, they had no way of extending. What a travesty.

Anyway, will be on later with two coins to flip, if teeks wants to guess them first, it may well influence me on going t'other way

Sigh, I was so unlucky last night.

I will be offline, & working, unable to place bets between 6pm & just after Midnight, so for Fred purposes, if you could bear that in mind I'd appreciate it. Dunno what time kick off is, but I can place the bets after 0030 OK, or before 6pm.

Jeff,

I can't place those NBA bets now until 0030 earliest, but if they kick off (@) later than that, I will get on them.

Stick them up if you get a chance, please, Mrs Bandit likes them too. And she is NOT a woman to cross.

I like to think I've mellowed with age :-)

[JaffaCake]

OKC become even hotter favourites, team news related, Britain's (!) Luol Deng injured for the Bulls. Plus the public love OKC and this is nationally televised. Hope u got on tikay

[tikay]

OKC become even hotter favourites, team news related, Britain's (!) Luol Deng injured for the Bulls. Plus the public love OKC and this is nationally televised. Hope u got on tikay

We got on the first in the nick of time......

The line had moved badly, but the way the bet works, I don't think it makes TOO much difference.

We had £13.79 (MAXED) on OKC @ 10/11. However, the line was OKC -13.5. (NOT -12.5)

And £16.50 (MAXED) on GSW @ 10/11. The line has moved to -7 I'm afraid.

Hope I've not messed up, but it's 0120, & I'm too tired to think straight.

2 BETS PLACED

[tikay]

Darts Update

Still no 100+ averages as the first round came to a conclusion, almost got there in the last match when Painter needed a 12 darter in the last leg to get over but could only muster a 15 darter.  We still however have 62 chances remaining and all the players that are capable of 100+ averages are still in the tournament with the exception of Chisnall.  Round two starts tomorrow with Taylor, Barney and Snakebite in action so hopefully we will get off the mark then.  If we draw a blank we are up against it.

Darren Webster missed 6 match darts to beat Wade.  It wouldn't have done Lewis' hopes any harm had he taken one of them as Wade is in his quarter.

Thanks Bazza.

We really do need to get this one started!

We also have three real prospects Outright, so bring on Round 2.

[Ant040689]

OKC become even hotter favourites, team news related, Britain's (!) Luol Deng injured for the Bulls. Plus the public love OKC and this is nationally televised. Hope u got on tikay

He started his career at Brixton Basketball Club no less. Maybe you should pop down and see if there are any stars in the making?

[tikay]

If you don't have a home for the free Hills bet. Hales top run scorer in the Big Bash seems fair.

Hills top price and at 14's thread has a bit of interest in the tournament and should get a decent sweat. He's not in the ODI squad so wont miss any matches.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-big-bash/top-batsman

Thanks.

That looks almost the optimal way to use our Hills Free Bet, (it expries Saturday I think) so we are on, using our £25 Free Bet.

If you could keep us updated, it'd help Tighty & we'd all appreciate it.

Looking forward to this, we have 2 nice BIG BASH sweats now.

FREE BET PLACED

[tikay]

Mackay leaving imminent. 2/5 now. See @ bbcsport_David for details

Wow! Terrific spot by horsey. Fingers crossed the ending is quick.

Incredible news.

The BBC story is here.....


http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/25457024

[tikay]

NBA Scores

Bulls 95, Thunder 107

No points scored in the last 10 seconds, the last point was scored with 50 seconds remaining.

I missed the recomended line by a point, but as it happens, I think it would have lost by ONE POINT anyway.

Spurs 104, Warriors 102

I missed the line as Recommended by a whopping FOUR points, but in the nature of these bets, I don't think that's necessarily terrible. Anyway, the bet was Recommended @ -3, & that lost anyway, so same difference really.

However.......a point WAS scored in the last 10 seconds, BOOM! The final two-pointer was scored with TWO seconds remaining.

So we lost one, & got our Money Back on the other. 

[tikay]

Tighty,

The FRED BETS thread is a bit behind, last couple of days have been manic Next Door, but I'll Update later this morning.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on the Month £267.62

Outstanding Bets £3436.76

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=33

A loss of £13.79 yesterday with another modest loss on one of the two basketball games, with one offer refund

We appear to be quite close to scooping £20 at 5-1 on Malky Mackay to be the next Premier League boss to leave

Last night Kidderminster lost again, a real downturn in form for them in the last three weeks as they went to Cleethorpes and lost 3-1 to Grimsby

The Big Bash starts about now. Do I read somehwere that Dwayne Smith may not be playing for Perth? Will check that.

[Tonji]

http://www.oddschecker.com/winter-sports/alpine-skiing/mens-alpine:-val-gardena-downhill/winner

Possible men's skiing bet in coming.

Svindal is dominant in the speed events (downhill & super G), but downhill is not as strong & the 7/4 is too short imo.

World Cup downhill results for past last year: 1 4 2 5 9 DNF 3 5

World Cup super G results: 7 1 1 1 1 2 1

Next two days all the men are training on the downhill at Val Gardena, the timings may show who if any can beat Svindal on Saturday.

The women also are downhill training, but at Val d Isere. But 4 or 5 girls are closely matched.

Svindal has been the standout racer in training.

Erik Guay looks to be the only skier with the speed to compete with Svindal. He topped the time sheet in yesterdays training. He's had an erratic bunch of results over the years, a scattering of top fives, & his last Word Cup downhill win came back in 2007. World downhill champ in 2011, so can win on the big occasions when it all comes together.

Hard to recommend confidently. However, I think he's due a win & a 3rd last year at Val Gradena gives some boost.

7/1 in couple of places, tiddlearse up to a tenner imo 

Click to see full-size image.

He's a flying Canuck!

[tikay]

http://www.oddschecker.com/winter-sports/alpine-skiing/mens-alpine:-val-gardena-downhill/winner

Possible men's skiing bet in coming.

Svindal is dominant in the speed events (downhill & super G), but downhill is not as strong & the 7/4 is too short imo.

World Cup downhill results for past last year: 1 4 2 5 9 DNF 3 5

World Cup super G results: 7 1 1 1 1 2 1

Next two days all the men are training on the downhill at Val Gardena, the timings may show who if any can beat Svindal on Saturday.

The women also are downhill training, but at Val d Isere. But 4 or 5 girls are closely matched.

Svindal has been the standout racer in training.

Erik Guay looks to be the only skier with the speed to compete with Svindal. He topped the time sheet in yesterdays training. He's had an erratic bunch of results over the years, a scattering of top fives, & his last Word Cup downhill win came back in 2007. World downhill champ in 2011, so can win on the big occasions when it all comes together.

Hard to recommend confidently. However, I think he's due a win & a 3rd last year at Val Gradena gives some boost.

7/1 in couple of places, tiddlearse up to a tenner imo 

Click to see full-size image.

He's a flying Canuck!

Thanks Tonji.

I'm afraid Mr Bet365 was particularly tiddlearsey on this, presumably the market is super-thin, so we only managed a MAXED £1.43 @ 7/1.

I also took a MAXED £3.96 @ 11/2 with PaddyPower.

It's not much if we win, but if you saw it blowing down the street, you'd soon pick it up....

Those planning to get on should be careful not to confuse this market with the Super G, whatever that is. Eric Guay is as high as 15/1 for that. I'd not be at all surprised if some idiots took that 15/1 in error, if you get my drift.

BETS PLACED

[tikay]

Daily Report

Profit on the Month £267.62

Outstanding Bets £3436.76

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=33

A loss of £13.79 yesterday with another modest loss on one of the two basketball games, with one offer refund

We appear to be quite close to scooping £20 at 5-1 on Malky Mackay to be the next Premier League boss to leave

Last night Kidderminster lost again, a real downturn in form for them in the last three weeks as they went to Cleethorpes and lost 3-1 to Grimsby

The Big Bash starts about now. Do I read somehwere that Dwayne Smith may not be playing for Perth? Will check that.

Big Bash started today, see....

http://www.espncricinfo.com/big-bash-league-2013/engine/current/match/654031.html

Melbourne Renegades are currently playing, but as far as I can see, Alex Hales, who we have as Top Batsman, is not on the Teamsheet. Maybe he plays for another team now?

Perth's Scorchers first game is on Sunday, againjst Brisbane Heat, see....


http://www.bigbash.com.au/match-centre/fixture

No idea yet if Dwayne Smith is in the team.

I do wish they would not use these daft team names.

[Tal]

£1.43 at 7/1

Brilliant. Double figure return if it pays out...

[KarmaDope]

Hales plays for the Adelaide Strikers.