Tips for Tikay

[Killerkilsby]

Yes was backing up your point, should be 200/1 couldnt see any value in 66/1

[maldini32]

Fiorentina update:

Both Napoli and Fiorentina are away today and both ko at 2. Fiorentina away to Catania and Napoli away to Bologna and they are on btsport.

Transfer news I'm sure everyone's heard of Anderson going to Fiorentina, more importantly for me is the signing of Alessandro Matri on loan. He's a striker and is just what the Florence club need with Rossi and Gomez injured. Matri's not as good as Rossi or Gomez but he's better than what they have.

For those of you who fancy an early morning tickle I think Lazio are too big @ 9/4 away to Udinese today. ko's @ 11.30 on btsport.

Good day for the bet.

Fiorentina won 3-0, Matri scored 2 and then went off injured. Having absolutely no luck with strikers atm.

Napoli drew 2-2.

Lazio got home in the last minute for those that got on.

[JaffaCake]

Feels harsh backing a guy to win the golf and 26 under not being good enough. A fine day for clutching defeat from the jaws...

[tikay]

Fiorentina update:

Both Napoli and Fiorentina are away today and both ko at 2. Fiorentina away to Catania and Napoli away to Bologna and they are on btsport.

Transfer news I'm sure everyone's heard of Anderson going to Fiorentina, more importantly for me is the signing of Alessandro Matri on loan. He's a striker and is just what the Florence club need with Rossi and Gomez injured. Matri's not as good as Rossi or Gomez but he's better than what they have.

For those of you who fancy an early morning tickle I think Lazio are too big @ 9/4 away to Udinese today. ko's @ 11.30 on btsport.

Good day for the bet.

Fiorentina won 3-0, Matri scored 2 and then went off injured. Having absolutely no luck with strikers atm.

Napoli drew 2-2.

Lazio got home in the last minute for those that got on.

Thanks, & good to know that at least one of our bets ran well today then.

[tikay]

I have returned, by my sums and from 80 bets placed:

40 free bets at £25 a pop
4 returns of £25 from 'x no bet' markets
36 winners returning £1570.05

I actually had a £400 hedge with @ 11/10 on ' BTTS - no' when they were 11/10 Friday afternoon as an approximate hedge.

I reckoned my average expectation was c£400. As it is I am £270 in front but in free bets...from which I will prob nick 80-90% back if I'm savvy so not a tremendous result but alright. Always have enjoyed taking money off Lads since they restricted my dad's account for the temerity to be related to me, pathetic shower.

I'll do a similar summary if anyone's interested ? Just waiting for one more ' husband ' to bring me the betting slips.

one more husband

Just gets better & better.

And yes, I'd be interested in that summary, please.

[tikay]

Bear with me on this. I am probably an idiot, but as to the best of my knowledge Marky hasn't posted about this yet I am probably safe from the knockers

Aston Villa are 14-1 to win at Anfield tomorrow

- We know their style is more suited to playing on the counter away from home with (preferably) Agbonlahor and Weimann playing off Benteke

- We know that with Vlaar back, a defensive organiser, they are more robust at the back

- We have seen the first flickerings of a return to form from Benteke, against Arsenal

The record this season is Home P11 W 2 D 2 L7, Away W4 D 3 L3, 8 goals scored at home, 12 goals scored away

..so this does back up they are more effective when they don't have to come on to the game and can counter


Everyone knows Liverpool's home record - won 10 of their last 11 home league games (W10 D0 L1) and won the last seven in a row. Thats priced in at Liverpool 1/5

Is there any argument at all for going contrarian and laying Liverpool, backing Villa, Villa on the handicap (13/10 +2 is available)?

I think I like Villa +2. I shall now go for a long walk to clear my head.

I think it is a nonsensical hype price (the 1/5 Liverpool).  Its quite nice to know that the market still comes up with them to be honest. 

It was heartily endorsed by Redarmi !

So it was, apologies, I missed that completely.

[tikay]

Hi junior,

Good to see you back on blonde after an absence of nearly 2 years, even gooder to welcome you to Fred.

Tell us something about yourself, are you a regular punter, do you follow a particular sport, or team, do you admire my blidey legs?

ty

I'm a regular punter, bet a ton on icelandic footy mainly and do q well. Haven't posted on blonde in a few years though since I stopped playing poker but recently got linked to this thread by a few lads who bet and post here so thought I'd check it out

Just been over to laddies to collect, the bloke paid out on all the winners in the one shop without too much fuss, even though I had about 15 Chelsea 4/5 slips. Can't see people having too many problems with this tbh.

You bet on Icelandic football? Wow!

You must be unique here, don't think we have too many who specialise in that.

Presumably, you mean these guys?.......

http://www.uefa.com/memberassociations/association=isl/domesticleague/index.html

Incred.

[tikay]

tikay did you get on Donny?

No, because that price (7/2) was standout best with Boyles, who declined my bet, (my Boyles Account is effectvely closed now) & the other firms were all way shorter.

As of now, Boyles remain best price @ 11/4, along with Sky Bet, so I can't bet with either, the next best available is 13/5 with BMU, which is nearly a point shorter than the 7/2 you suggested, so I've left it for now, & unlesss you suggest otherwise.

[BigAdz]

Bear with me on this. I am probably an idiot, but as to the best of my knowledge Marky hasn't posted about this yet I am probably safe from the knockers

Aston Villa are 14-1 to win at Anfield tomorrow

- We know their style is more suited to playing on the counter away from home with (preferably) Agbonlahor and Weimann playing off Benteke

- We know that with Vlaar back, a defensive organiser, they are more robust at the back

- We have seen the first flickerings of a return to form from Benteke, against Arsenal

The record this season is Home P11 W 2 D 2 L7, Away W4 D 3 L3, 8 goals scored at home, 12 goals scored away

..so this does back up they are more effective when they don't have to come on to the game and can counter


Everyone knows Liverpool's home record - won 10 of their last 11 home league games (W10 D0 L1) and won the last seven in a row. Thats priced in at Liverpool 1/5

Is there any argument at all for going contrarian and laying Liverpool, backing Villa, Villa on the handicap (13/10 +2 is available)?

I think I like Villa +2. I shall now go for a long walk to clear my head.

I prefer BANTER, over knocker, but you say tomato etc

Anyway,

Villas away record vs Liverpool last 3 seasons is two 1-3 wins and a 1-1 draw in about 5 games. Seems better than a 14-1 chance to me, even based on what we know.

Should have gone to Specsavers Tikay

[tikay]

Cue lots of arguments with Ladbrokes

Got to feel for Peter the Bandit

New shoes required soon

Don't forget all the other husbands of our resident bigamist.

[Tal]

Edelman receiving yards line at 77.5. I know what has been said about running the ball, but surely the patriots can't win without him or Amendola having a big game, against the 7th ranked defence against the run and with the injuries Denver have had in the secondary and with Von Miller not bearing down on Brady?

Just thinking out loud, really. I'm sat at a table in a comp in Brum where the discussion is over whether man United were just lucky for sixteen years. I needed a diversion.

Mr Edelman had ten receptions (double what anyone else had in his team, the New England Turtlesnatchers) for a total of 89 yards.

Just incase anyone follows me blind, you know. Gets the Bute money back

He couldn't prevent the Turtlesnatchers losing to the Denver Cuttlefish, though.

[tikay]

Am I missing something here?  BMU have 4/5 a first time winner for the Masters.  Taking the prices of any past winner less than 1000-1 and backing them plus backing the 4/5 seems to be a 93% book?

as   17   5.9
bw   67   1.5
cs   34   2.9
pm   15   6.7
ac   81   1.2
ti   200   0.5
zj   41   2.4
tw   6.5   15.4
vs   300   0.3
1st   1.8   55.6
      
                92.4


Surely a max bet?  (unless I'm missing something obv)

I forgot to report back on  this, I've had a bit of a busy weekend.

I had £100 @ 4/5, with BetVictor, as soon as you Posted.

Subsequently, dearest Chomps suggested we invest £500, but luckily, the price has now contracted to 8/11, so I was obliged to decline his kind suggestion.

BET PLACED

[horseplayer]

tikay did you get on Donny?

No, because that price (7/2) was standout best with Boyles, who declined my bet, (my Boyles Account is effectvely closed now) & the other firms were all way shorter.

As of now, Boyles remain best price @ 11/4, along with Sky Bet, so I can't bet with either, the next best available is 13/5 with BMU, which is nearly a point shorter than the 7/2 you suggested, so I've left it for now, & unlesss you suggest otherwise.

apologies forgot boyles was shut down

[Tal]

Will this lady be the subject of a Fred bet soon? I predict no, but why could she be?

[BigAdz]

Sounds to me like they have massaged the times to get her qualification.