Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

bump for tikay

26-Dec   Chompy   WilliamHill   Jan 2014   Misc.   Colour of hair of Tindall baby   Brown   3/1   30

Hair looks brown, please check William Hill account

[TightEnd]

Louis Picamoles has been dropped by France for his apparent lack of respect towards referee Alain Rolland after Cardiff yellow card

A big blow

A worse blow was that France are now outsiders of the four SixN contenders as its likely to come down to points difference, and France lost 27-6 in cardiff, betraying yet more signs of an ability to form away from home

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/winner

England have Wales and Italy at home, look v v skinny to me

Can Wales win in London? If you think they can (they can) then 5-1 is an enormous price as they end with Scotland at home

[Tal]

Impromptu photo gallery time, anyone?

A new modus operandi for Fred?



Red Bull look to be struggling and Tighty and JoeBeevers think this young man can scoot past a grumpy Vettel this year:

Click to see full-size image.

Can't help but wonder whether there are power unit deficiencies for that car, but I'll leave that to the engineers.


BigAdz has the crowd eating out of the palms of his hands with his Cheltenham write ups:



A disappointing weekend for some of our medium term bets, with a gutless CESM display...



...matched only by the events at Carrow Road. The Arsenal collective and groupies had double helpings of prawn sandwiches I'm sure. Paulinho assures us he has a couple more goals in his locker, though:

Click to see full-size image.

No question about who has built Fred's bankroll most efficiently this weekend, though:

Click to see full-size image.

[sonour]

Tightly, thanks for the Sturridge FGS bet

Did Fred get on ?

[Chompy]

Brown?

http://www.hellomagazine.com/royalty/2014022417153/zara-phillips-mike-tindal-first-baby-pictures/

Looks brown to me

Which colour was Fred on?

Boooooom!

[Karabiner]

^^^^

Is ginger not still a runner?

[Snowball]

I take it the Hull team news is no good considering the drift?

[Rubbish2407]

Why do we love Yankees Tal?

[Rubbish2407]

I take it the Hull team news is no good considering the drift?

Jelavic and Long missing.

[The Camel]

Brighton playing pretty much a full strength team

FFS

[Snowball]

Brighton playing pretty much a full strength team

FFS

Did they not rest a lot of Players in the first game to?

[superwomble]

I take it the Hull team news is no good considering the drift?

Jelavic and Long missing.

Cup-tied though so that would have been known before team news.

[TightEnd]

Value Bet

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/six-nations/winner

Eng are 4/9 to beat Wales at Twick, Wales 2/1

France should win in Scotland

Ireland should win in Italy


I think, like the Eng-Ire game, Eng/Wales is 50-50.

If we postulate that Wales win, and the other results go as expected

With one game to go it will be

Wales 3-1
France 3-1
Ireland 3-1

Last game Wales host Scotland, France host Ireland

Wales will be 4-1
France will be 8/13 Ire 11/8 for the final game - as Twickenham odds for the Ireland game


So Wales and one of France/Ireland will be 4-1

Six Nations tiebreakers

1 Points difference
2 no of tries scored
3 shared

Currently

Ireland +42
Wales +6
France +1

Wales beat Eng, then Scotland the PD is up
France beat Scotland, then Ireland the GD is up

but, they go away to Scotland, Wales host Scotland

Ireland would be 3-2, Eng would be 3-2

So Wales for the SixN is a treble

2/1(England match)*1/5(Scotland match)*8/13(France to beat Ireland)= 4.82/1

Compared to 5.82, we can get 6.4 on bf

If we plug in a lower price than 2-1 Wales at Twickenham, my view, then we have more value

http://www.betfair.com/exchange/rugby-union/market?id=1.109590806&mpch=ads&rfr=63


This might even be a split bet....by laying England, who can beat Wales and Italy and still not win the SixN on PD..for example if Ireland win twice, or France win twice and overtake the points difference

Ireland host Italy, England go to Italy...and Ireland have 21 points advantage over England currently


Would like to suggest a split bet

Six Nations winner

Lay England liability £40 at 2.66 (lay of £25)

Back Wales £40 at 6.4

Betfair

[Tal]

Why do we love Yankees Tal?

Fred had a multiple over the weekend.

I don't think we've had an AL East bet, yet, for this coming season...(I do follow the Yankees, or at least I used to, when I was into baseball at uni. You have to say that quietly these days. You get less grief admitting to being a spurs fan!)

[The Camel]

Brighton playing pretty much a full strength team

FFS

Did they not rest a lot of Players in the first game to?

Maybe losing on Saturday means they are re prioritising the FA Cup as play off places seem unlikely now.