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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16379434 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #70170 on: March 07, 2014, 08:48:20 PM »

Not good news at Gigg Lane tonight

16:55 Substitution

Substitution, Rochdale. George Donnelly replaces Scott Hogan because of an injury.
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« Reply #70171 on: March 07, 2014, 09:17:29 PM »

BOD fans, Betfair sportsbook go 13-1 first try in his farewell to egg chasing testimonial against the Italians....best price 10-1 elsewhere PLUS they double the price for a second try n treble for a hattrick, £25 max for the offer. Car bonnet.

Ps gone under paul george points in tonight's Indiana game, he's playing terribley of late n has a dodgy back, ice packed after training, not for Fred but if anyone fancies a lil punt

You should bet the maximum and find several husbands/wives who can do the same.

https://promotions.betfair.com/bodalmighty/?rfr=798967&mpch=ads
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« Reply #70172 on: March 07, 2014, 09:40:59 PM »

I'm not sure if anyone has managed to find any offers for the Cheltenham Festival (it's a race meeting that happens next week) but BetDAQ do the following:

Double your Dough every day of Cheltenham!

It's nearly here! You don't need us to tell you that the greatest horse racing festival on Earth kicks off at Cheltenham Racecourse this Tuesday 11th March.
   
Cheltenham Preview powered by Racing Post

   
   With at least 6 top class races each day, there is never a better week to pick up some winning doubles.

To make this earning potential even greater we want to help you 'Double your Dough' every day of the festival.
   
     Login to your BETDAQ Account each day of the festival, place a double on any 2 Cheltenham Races that day and if it wins we'll DOUBLE your winnings!* What's better than a 10/1 Double? We'll tell you, a 20/1 Double! That's a 100% bonus in the bag!

Let's make it a good one, best of luck!


&Cs:

*Double Your Dough Daily on the 'Daq Terms & Conditions: • Applies to new and existing customers. • Minimum qualifying stake €/£1. • Maximum qualifying stake €/£10 or the first €/£10 of a larger stake.• Maximum bonus payment to any customer on any one day is €/£1,000. • Bonus payment applies to a first placed double placed on any two races on each day of the Cheltenham Festival. • Bets can only be placed after 8am on the day of the two races and both races must take place on that day. • Bonus will be applied within 12 hours of last leg settlement. • Does not apply to bets placed on antepost markets. • Does not apply to doubles that are part of a larger multiple bet . • In the event of either selection becoming a Non-Runner, the bonus will not apply. • BETDAQ Horse Racing rules apply. • Offer is not available to BETDAQ API or RDT customers. • New customers qualifying for this bonus offer can also avail of the €/£25 no lose mobile bet in addition to the €/£500 in free bets offer. • BETDAQ normal terms and conditions apply. *Customers must place a first mobile bet of up to €\£\$25 through the BETDAQ+ Mobile App and if it loses we will credit the account with up to €\£\$25 in free bets. See site for full terms. Please bet sensibly,
« Last Edit: March 07, 2014, 09:46:35 PM by MereNovice » Logged

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« Reply #70173 on: March 07, 2014, 10:30:18 PM »

From my point of view id rather read a 100 line essay from Ant about a palace game than any mention of offers/arbing/free bets etc- just a personal preference. Give me opinions and bets over the other stuff any day of the week

Will clarify- once we've all understood that offers and free bets are +ev then there isn't much more to bring to the discussion, the offers and free bets are usually small stakes anyway.

As for arbing- it's a hard way to make an easy living and not a route I want to go down. Feels like it's the last resort of a gambler when the game is getting to hard and can't be beaten anymore. Compare it to poker and if you are good you play online cash, when can't beat they move to online mtts/sngs. When can't beat that live cash, eventually end up live mtts and assume last resort is live sngs during wsop. Arbing is the equivalent of having to sit in the rio playing for lammers in sngs, undoubtably profitable , but the last resort for a means to an end.

I like this post, don't mention it to Galloway though, think he spends 5 weeks a year lammering away


As ever someone else has been more succinct in saying what I was trying too. IE, that we aint getting enough people giving their thoughts.
Within the next 24 hours we have thoughts from all directions, BINGO.

However, still can't believe there are not more people with strong thoughts on the Festival.

Just because we have offers galore and Neils private service, doesn't mean anyone should refrain from posting horses they really fancy, sub market bets etc etc.

Great stuff today chaps.

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« Reply #70174 on: March 07, 2014, 10:35:15 PM »

Women's Tennis - Indian Wells.

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wta-indian-wells/wta-bnp-paribas-open/winner

Angelique CareBear is 20/1 in two spots to win the tournament. Don't take less than 17/1.
She looks to have a decent draw and the number two seed Agnieska Radwanska is definitely struggling with form.
I recommend £20 with a possibility to trade later if we get lily-livered.

There are really no stand-out favourites for this tournament. Serena Williams doesn't play for (understandable) personal reasons and Azarenka has not competed since the Australian Open.
I expect Kerber to progress through two rounds with ease and then we can re-assess as to value for the tournament if she meets Ivanovic. Personally, I'd make her at least evens on this match-up - she has a higher ranker (6 v 13) although Ivanovic beat her in three sets last time.
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« Reply #70175 on: March 07, 2014, 10:39:24 PM »

From my point of view id rather read a 100 line essay from Ant about a palace game than any mention of offers/arbing/free bets etc- just a personal preference. Give me opinions and bets over the other stuff any day of the week

Will clarify- once we've all understood that offers and free bets are +ev then there isn't much more to bring to the discussion, the offers and free bets are usually small stakes anyway.

As for arbing- it's a hard way to make an easy living and not a route I want to go down. Feels like it's the last resort of a gambler when the game is getting to hard and can't be beaten anymore. Compare it to poker and if you are good you play online cash, when can't beat they move to online mtts/sngs. When can't beat that live cash, eventually end up live mtts and assume last resort is live sngs during wsop. Arbing is the equivalent of having to sit in the rio playing for lammers in sngs, undoubtably profitable , but the last resort for a means to an end.

I like this post, don't mention it to Galloway though, think he spends 5 weeks a year lammering away


As ever someone else has been more succinct in saying what I was trying too. IE, that we aint getting enough people giving their thoughts.
Within the next 24 hours we have thoughts from all directions, BINGO.

However, still can't believe there are not more people with strong thoughts on the Festival.

Just because we have offers galore and Neils private service, doesn't mean anyone should refrain from posting horses they really fancy, sub market bets etc etc.

Great stuff today chaps.



Agree

Could you post your big Cheltenham stuff in here as well as the Cheltenham thread please, if any more are due in the enxt few days? Very good write ups.
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« Reply #70176 on: March 07, 2014, 11:04:39 PM »

I shall stick some thoughts on the Tuesday handicaps when I get home Monday afternoon.

In the meantime, without any big write up, I just cant see any way in which Big Shu can be out of the frame in the Cross Country on Weds, and any 4-1 ew should be mopped up.
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« Reply #70177 on: March 07, 2014, 11:54:59 PM »

Lyreen Legend has been refunded as nrnb for Ryanair for those that done it with 365.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #70178 on: March 08, 2014, 12:31:20 AM »

Lyreen Legend has been refunded as nrnb for Ryanair for those that done it with 365.

Is it definitely in the Gold Cup, out of the Ryanair declarations? (admin question)
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« Reply #70179 on: March 08, 2014, 12:50:32 AM »

Goddamit!

http://www.fansnetwork.co.uk/members/rochdale/forum/105629/hogans-knee/#15.

If he's done a ligament we're in trouble, but we'd be punting on how bad it is if we scramble a cover bet on Winnall now.

Not sure Joke Choral would be too happy with the bet either if it turns out Hogan is buggered. Whatever, I can't get a bean on with those clowns.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/league-2/top-goalscorer

If Hogan is out for the season there's every chance 17 will be enough to get him in the top three.

http://www.sportinglife.com/football/league-two/top-scorers

We have a hundo each-way, 1/4 1-2-3 @ 4/1.

If we want to have £110 to win £100 on Winnall @ 10/11, that'd be fine. Will leave it up to the gong polisher.
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« Reply #70180 on: March 08, 2014, 12:54:02 AM »

T'Blades have a killer schedule upcoming...

Their next seven league fixtures after Carlisle are:

Preston away
Wolves home
Crawley away
Swindon away
Brentford home
Leyton Orient home
Rotherham home.

Plus they could easily beat Charlton in the Cup and that comp to deal with also.

I might be looking to play this market after tomorrow's round of matches.
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« Reply #70181 on: March 08, 2014, 02:30:35 AM »

No daily reports the last two days as no bets have completed. The keen eyed amongst you may have noted that the forward book is now £4072, first time it has crept over £4k that I know of

The Hogan news is unfortunate, see above

Waiting for confirmation on Lyreen legend please

These bets:

15-Feb   BigAdz   Betfred   Mar-2014   Horses   Ryanair Chase   Lyreen Legend   33/1   14.2   £7.10 EW
10-Feb   BigAdz   Betfred   Mar-2014   Horses   Ryanair chase   Lyreen Legend   33/1   10   £5 e/w  qtr odds 1,2,3.
10-Feb   BigAdz   SportingBet Mar-2014   Horses Ryanair chase   Lyreen Legend   33/1   6.06   £3.03 e/w qtr odds 1,2,3.

do not appear to be NRNB or NRFB. Worth checking please tikay

Is there any reason why Lyreen Legend would be bypassing the Ryanair for the GC? Can't get home/won't stay in the Gold Cup can it?

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« Reply #70182 on: March 08, 2014, 02:43:06 AM »

Think it's just a case of the trainer being off his nut...

Or maybe that it will stay on good ground?
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« Reply #70183 on: March 08, 2014, 02:47:27 AM »

what you are looking for on Saturday/Saturday





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« Last Edit: March 08, 2014, 03:01:19 AM by TightEnd » Logged

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« Reply #70184 on: March 08, 2014, 02:56:32 AM »

Big Rob Jones is injured so certainly not him. I'd like to win the million, a lot less players hoping for the same thing this week...

P.S Leeds United to lose 1-0 in a game with 1 shot.
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