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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16361604 times)
tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75660 on:
April 26, 2014, 12:47:52 PM »
Quote from: Tal on April 26, 2014, 12:38:41 PM
Quote from: tikay on April 26, 2014, 12:35:55 PM
Ronnie needs 1 frame (12-11) and is 1.14 on Betfair.
That seems very short.
That price won't last long!
Imperious.
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Nico29
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75661 on:
April 26, 2014, 12:56:30 PM »
Havig said what I have above, Red's point is very interesting.
Often wondered why so many real shorties seem so long comparatively in the place market, suppose that explains it.
«
Last Edit: April 26, 2014, 01:06:54 PM by Nico29
»
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redarmi
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75662 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:17:27 PM »
Quote from: Nico29 on April 26, 2014, 12:56:30 PM
Havig said what I have above, Red's point is very interesting.
Often wondered why so many real shorties seem so long comparatively in the place market, suppose that explains it.
I think it is probably fairly close. I don't have time right now but I will run the numbers later and report back. It does make a fairly big difference that we are taking a lot worse, in relation to betfair, than is usual for a shorty.
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simonnatur
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75663 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:20:11 PM »
Anyone else out there think Gabrials Kaka is a lay at < 3/1 in a very competitive 16 runner handicap 15.25 Haydock. Love the horse and was given a brilliant ride by Spencer last time, but seems very little margin for error at this price? Example of recency bias?
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kpnuts
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75664 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:30:53 PM »
In last 15 minutes, Ken finally looks like a man who has been at a snooker table before. Rattled in a 93 and straight back in.
8 reds 8 blacks. on a max!
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75665 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:32:11 PM »
Quote from: simonnatur on April 26, 2014, 01:20:11 PM
Anyone else out there think Gabrials Kaka is a lay at < 3/1 in a very competitive 16 runner handicap 15.25 Haydock. Love the horse and was given a brilliant ride by Spencer last time, but seems very little margin for error at this price? Example of recency bias?
ffs no bokking on this thread either
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Bad Beat
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75666 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:36:11 PM »
I agree Simon. It won readily last time and I could see it winning here of course but I don't think laying it at 3/1+ is the best way to oppose it...
This is a race where some horses are off a long lay-off, may not love the ground or may be drawn poorly. I'd rather pick something solid that doesn't fit in that group and bet each-way. 16-runner handicaps are great from a place point of view and that is made even better by a favourite skewing the market. You could back three or four ew and you wouldn't be making an error.
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Ironside
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75667 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:36:38 PM »
Glad Fred didn't get on my Everton tip saints found a way round not scoring,
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simonnatur
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75668 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:44:35 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on April 26, 2014, 01:32:11 PM
Quote from: simonnatur on April 26, 2014, 01:20:11 PM
Anyone else out there think Gabrials Kaka is a lay at < 3/1 in a very competitive 16 runner handicap 15.25 Haydock. Love the horse and was given a brilliant ride by Spencer last time, but seems very little margin for error at this price? Example of recency bias?
ffs no bokking on this thread either
Had to post that to ensure it bolts up for Scoop 6 purposes obv lol, (have done a couple e/w though)
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superwomble
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75669 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:48:18 PM »
Quote from: Ironside on April 26, 2014, 01:36:38 PM
Glad Fred didn't get on my Everton tip saints found a way round not scoring,
Saints fans singing, "Who needs Rodriguez, we've got your back four!"
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horseplayer
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75670 on:
April 26, 2014, 01:54:35 PM »
Quote from: simonnatur on April 26, 2014, 01:44:35 PM
Quote from: Doobs on April 26, 2014, 01:32:11 PM
Quote from: simonnatur on April 26, 2014, 01:20:11 PM
Anyone else out there think Gabrials Kaka is a lay at < 3/1 in a very competitive 16 runner handicap 15.25 Haydock. Love the horse and was given a brilliant ride by Spencer last time, but seems very little margin for error at this price? Example of recency bias?
ffs no bokking on this thread either
Had to post that to ensure it bolts up for Scoop 6 purposes obv lol, (have done a couple e/w though)
looks very short now i had it about a 9/2 shot
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75671 on:
April 26, 2014, 02:08:45 PM »
Tighty has been in touch, he became most unwell yesterday, and was hospitalised overnight.
He is back home now, and ok, but has been told to rest up for a few days.
He is much missed, and I'm sure I speak on behalf of all of us in wishing him a speedy recovery.
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redarmi
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75672 on:
April 26, 2014, 02:10:17 PM »
Quote from: tikay on April 26, 2014, 02:08:45 PM
Tighty has been in touch, he became most unwell yesterday, and was hospitalised overnight.
He is back home now, and ok, but has been told to rest up for a few days.
He is much missed, and I'm sure I speak on behalf of all of us in wishing him a speedy recovery.
That's not good. Get well soon Tighty.
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Bad Beat
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75673 on:
April 26, 2014, 02:11:23 PM »
Good wishes to Tighty, we need you back mate.
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Tal
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #75674 on:
April 26, 2014, 02:11:35 PM »
Get well soon, Sir
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