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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13333945 times)
Tal
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« Reply #84675 on: August 05, 2014, 12:00:07 PM »

Fulham 11/1 at coral to win league
Coral are best price bunch of teams to win leagues and Fulham is just one of the arbs

Are they really going to keep Ruiz and Rodellega?
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« Reply #84676 on: August 05, 2014, 12:03:33 PM »

Fulham 11/1 at coral to win league
Coral are best price bunch of teams to win leagues and Fulham is just one of the arbs

why fulham?

they are top price any team in the top half of any major league...so we can have a fundamental view on top and know we are getting a good price on any..
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« Reply #84677 on: August 05, 2014, 12:21:22 PM »

Fulham 11/1 at coral to win league
Coral are best price bunch of teams to win leagues and Fulham is just one of the arbs

why fulham?

they are top price any team in the top half of any major league...so we can have a fundamental view on top and know we are getting a good price on any..

Just an example of one the arbs. No actual view
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« Reply #84678 on: August 05, 2014, 12:22:39 PM »

Super filthy each-way bet in the last at Kempton tomo.

Sleep Walk will probably end up better than this class but they're not machines etc, and she's drawn wide on her Polytrack debut.

Dinneratmidnight is lightly raced, on the up, a 6f Poly winner and well drawn.

Eleven runners isn't ideal before arbboy starts being patronising (joke) but it's 4/5, 6/1, 10 Bar.

Flick in a score each-way at 6-1 with Billies or the Barking boys.

Just got even dirtier, 2 non runners 10-1 bar, suggestions?

Give it a miss?  Surely accounts are too valuable to have bets like this on them?  


The selection is one of the NRs
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« Reply #84679 on: August 05, 2014, 12:23:23 PM »

Fulham 11/1 at coral to win league
Coral are best price bunch of teams to win leagues and Fulham is just one of the arbs

why fulham?

they are top price any team in the top half of any major league...so we can have a fundamental view on top and know we are getting a good price on any..

Just an example of one the arbs. No actual view


ok

so when the views come i will go to coral first given their prices
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« Reply #84680 on: August 05, 2014, 12:53:57 PM »

Super filthy each-way bet in the last at Kempton tomo.

Sleep Walk will probably end up better than this class but they're not machines etc, and she's drawn wide on her Polytrack debut.

Dinneratmidnight is lightly raced, on the up, a 6f Poly winner and well drawn.

Eleven runners isn't ideal before arbboy starts being patronising (joke) but it's 4/5, 6/1, 10 Bar.

Flick in a score each-way at 6-1 with Billies or the Barking boys.

Just got even dirtier, 2 non runners 10-1 bar, suggestions?

Give it a miss?  Surely accounts are too valuable to have bets like this on them?  


The selection is one of the NRs

I get that, but it just seems a dangerous race to bet each way on with an online account.  It is ok if you are going to trawl the shops obviously.  Betting 2nd, 3rd and 4th favourite each way and getting 5/2 the place rather than 5/4 is going to be clearly good.  I just wouldn't do it online.   If I just new someone with lots of husbands sure I'd be good to go.

Maybe there are loads of people betting races like this* with online accounts, and getting away with it, but that doesn't match my experience.  All a bit lolsamplesize for me though. 

* I'd say races at smaller meetings with an odds on favourite are the ones you should definitely avoid and isn't the same as backing each way in a big handicap at Ascot with a 2/1 favourite.  I guess both bets could cost you am account, but one seems much more likely than the other.
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« Reply #84681 on: August 05, 2014, 01:00:16 PM »

4/11*5/6*8/13*4/11=9/2

to use the different prices for away games

if we then shorten the QPR game to 1/3 we get 4.38/1 or 1/4 then 4-1 the first four wins

Sky chuck in the Leicester game for 13/2 first 5 games as well. What price do you make that one?  Wink
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« Reply #84682 on: August 05, 2014, 01:44:19 PM »

4/11*5/6*8/13*4/11=9/2

to use the different prices for away games

if we then shorten the QPR game to 1/3 we get 4.38/1 or 1/4 then 4-1 the first four wins

Sky chuck in the Leicester game for 13/2 first 5 games as well. What price do you make that one?  Wink

8/13 United?

chuck it in makes a 8-1 five fold

think 5-1 first four is at worst modest value
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« Reply #84683 on: August 05, 2014, 02:05:17 PM »


Betfair Sports seem a bit out of line with a few players in the Top Ten uspga market.  Not sure how long it will last. 

I've gone for Dubuisson, Pat Reed, Jimmy Walker and Leishman - suggest a bet to return ~£100 if any make the top ten

£9 Dubuisson @ 10-1
£10 Reed @ 8.5-1
£14 Walker @ 6-1
£16 Leishman @ 5-1

They are top price a few shorter ones as well if anyone has a view on these.





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« Reply #84684 on: August 05, 2014, 02:24:35 PM »


Betfair Sports seem a bit out of line with a few players in the Top Ten uspga market.  Not sure how long it will last. 

I've gone for Dubuisson, Pat Reed, Jimmy Walker and Leishman - suggest a bet to return ~£100 if any make the top ten

£9 Dubuisson @ 10-1
£10 Reed @ 8.5-1
£14 Walker @ 6-1
£16 Leishman @ 5-1

They are top price a few shorter ones as well if anyone has a view on these.








Like Patrick Reed for Top Ten, could be a breakthrough week for him, as he is back in the groove.


To your earlier point double, I put the Rose bet up on Monday before the scribes pointed out his excellent Ryder cup record at Valhalla, a course on which we will find scarce recent form. I expected the price to go as a result.

As it happens, Jerry Chapman, from the Outlook, who is probably the best Golf tipster out there (picked the winner of Us/Euro/Senior event in same week a fortnight ago) has Rose as his headline selection, and 20s now gone
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« Reply #84685 on: August 05, 2014, 02:36:48 PM »

Super filthy each-way bet in the last at Kempton tomo.

Sleep Walk will probably end up better than this class but they're not machines etc, and she's drawn wide on her Polytrack debut.

Dinneratmidnight is lightly raced, on the up, a 6f Poly winner and well drawn.

Eleven runners isn't ideal before arbboy starts being patronising (joke) but it's 4/5, 6/1, 10 Bar.

Flick in a score each-way at 6-1 with Billies or the Barking boys.

Just got even dirtier, 2 non runners 10-1 bar, suggestions?

Give it a miss?  Surely accounts are too valuable to have bets like this on them? 


The selection is one of the NRs

I get that, but it just seems a dangerous race to bet each way on with an online account.  It is ok if you are going to trawl the shops obviously.  Betting 2nd, 3rd and 4th favourite each way and getting 5/2 the place rather than 5/4 is going to be clearly good.  I just wouldn't do it online.   If I just new someone with lots of husbands sure I'd be good to go.

Maybe there are loads of people betting races like this* with online accounts, and getting away with it, but that doesn't match my experience.  All a bit lolsamplesize for me though. 

* I'd say races at smaller meetings with an odds on favourite are the ones you should definitely avoid and isn't the same as backing each way in a big handicap at Ascot with a 2/1 favourite.  I guess both bets could cost you am account, but one seems much more likely than the other.

ok i am tempted to bet on this as i just want to say i have a restricted account tempted to bet on my sky my billy my unfairsp and my lads £5 ew on 4 horses and see if any of my accounts get restricted by seeing as most of my previous bets have been bus driver bets i dont think £5 ew will do it so if anyone wants a chuinky bet let me know
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« Reply #84686 on: August 05, 2014, 02:44:11 PM »


US PGA Championship 2014

    6/1 £14
    £98.00
    Jimmy Walker
    Top 10 Finish

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000079

    5/1 £16
    £96.00
    Marc Leishman
    Top 10 Finish

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000080

    17/2 £10
    £95.00
    Patrick Reed
    Top 10 Finish

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000081

    9/1 £10
    £100.00
    Victor Dubuisson
    Top 10 Finish

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000082

£50 invested

total invested on USPGA £109

Total invested on Nordic coincidences £0. So far

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #84687 on: August 05, 2014, 02:53:16 PM »

Super filthy each-way bet in the last at Kempton tomo.

Sleep Walk will probably end up better than this class but they're not machines etc, and she's drawn wide on her Polytrack debut.

Dinneratmidnight is lightly raced, on the up, a 6f Poly winner and well drawn.

Eleven runners isn't ideal before arbboy starts being patronising (joke) but it's 4/5, 6/1, 10 Bar.

Flick in a score each-way at 6-1 with Billies or the Barking boys.

Just got even dirtier, 2 non runners 10-1 bar, suggestions?

Give it a miss?  Surely accounts are too valuable to have bets like this on them? 


The selection is one of the NRs

I get that, but it just seems a dangerous race to bet each way on with an online account.  It is ok if you are going to trawl the shops obviously.  Betting 2nd, 3rd and 4th favourite each way and getting 5/2 the place rather than 5/4 is going to be clearly good.  I just wouldn't do it online.   If I just new someone with lots of husbands sure I'd be good to go.

Maybe there are loads of people betting races like this* with online accounts, and getting away with it, but that doesn't match my experience.  All a bit lolsamplesize for me though. 

* I'd say races at smaller meetings with an odds on favourite are the ones you should definitely avoid and isn't the same as backing each way in a big handicap at Ascot with a 2/1 favourite.  I guess both bets could cost you am account, but one seems much more likely than the other.

ok i am tempted to bet on this as i just want to say i have a restricted account tempted to bet on my sky my billy my unfairsp and my lads £5 ew on 4 horses and see if any of my accounts get restricted by seeing as most of my previous bets have been bus driver bets i dont think £5 ew will do it so if anyone wants a chuinky bet let me know

Would be a good test for sure.  I'd be interested to see who would restrict you after a £5 each way.  Kind of sad if they do, but can't say I'd be surprised. 
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« Reply #84688 on: August 05, 2014, 02:58:20 PM »


Betfair Sports seem a bit out of line with a few players in the Top Ten uspga market.  Not sure how long it will last. 

I've gone for Dubuisson, Pat Reed, Jimmy Walker and Leishman - suggest a bet to return ~£100 if any make the top ten

£9 Dubuisson @ 10-1
£10 Reed @ 8.5-1
£14 Walker @ 6-1
£16 Leishman @ 5-1

They are top price a few shorter ones as well if anyone has a view on these.








Like Patrick Reed for Top Ten, could be a breakthrough week for him, as he is back in the groove.


To your earlier point double, I put the Rose bet up on Monday before the scribes pointed out his excellent Ryder cup record at Valhalla, a course on which we will find scarce recent form. I expected the price to go as a result.

As it happens, Jerry Chapman, from the Outlook, who is probably the best Golf tipster out there (picked the winner of Us/Euro/Senior event in same week a fortnight ago) has Rose as his headline selection, and 20s now gone

I said that its fine imo to bet OOL stuff early (eg my above post - I think these are OOL) but form picks are better left till the weather/draw is known (once again just imo).

Having said that, it seems like there might be storms delays etc, so its prob going to be a complete guess even on thursday morning.  Doesn't look very windy is all that appears likely.

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« Reply #84689 on: August 05, 2014, 03:08:36 PM »

Super filthy each-way bet in the last at Kempton tomo.

Sleep Walk will probably end up better than this class but they're not machines etc, and she's drawn wide on her Polytrack debut.

Dinneratmidnight is lightly raced, on the up, a 6f Poly winner and well drawn.

Eleven runners isn't ideal before arbboy starts being patronising (joke) but it's 4/5, 6/1, 10 Bar.

Flick in a score each-way at 6-1 with Billies or the Barking boys.

Just got even dirtier, 2 non runners 10-1 bar, suggestions?

Give it a miss?  Surely accounts are too valuable to have bets like this on them? 


The selection is one of the NRs

I get that, but it just seems a dangerous race to bet each way on with an online account.  It is ok if you are going to trawl the shops obviously.  Betting 2nd, 3rd and 4th favourite each way and getting 5/2 the place rather than 5/4 is going to be clearly good.  I just wouldn't do it online.   If I just new someone with lots of husbands sure I'd be good to go.

Maybe there are loads of people betting races like this* with online accounts, and getting away with it, but that doesn't match my experience.  All a bit lolsamplesize for me though. 

* I'd say races at smaller meetings with an odds on favourite are the ones you should definitely avoid and isn't the same as backing each way in a big handicap at Ascot with a 2/1 favourite.  I guess both bets could cost you am account, but one seems much more likely than the other.

ok i am tempted to bet on this as i just want to say i have a restricted account tempted to bet on my sky my billy my unfairsp and my lads £5 ew on 4 horses and see if any of my accounts get restricted by seeing as most of my previous bets have been bus driver bets i dont think £5 ew will do it so if anyone wants a chuinky bet let me know

Would be a good test for sure.  I'd be interested to see who would restrict you after a £5 each way.  Kind of sad if they do, but can't say I'd be surprised. 

It's def not worth risking an account for as it's not even that good a race ew after u iron out some ev on the win part of the bet you dont actually get that much gain on the place.  I could think of much better low grade spots to risk losing an account for than this race.
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