Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

I fancy a bet in the Denmark game at 5pm team news pending

I dont think it is a particularly good each way game especially with this news

Artur Petrosyan ‏@arturpetrosyan  32m
#Armenia to play 5-5-0 without a single fit striker at #Denmark in the first official match under Bernard Challandes.
RETWEETS
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FAVORITES
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Reliable journo be back on when i have team news

[doubleup]

Let's just preface this by saying I know nothing about Golf, but it seemed to me there was some decent e/w value about in the BMW with Rory being such a short priced fav.
I looked through the leaderboard and really liked Horschel 33-1. As I understand it nearly all players are unfamiliar with the course yet he has shot very decent amount of birdies and may improve on the holes that caused him difficulty in the first round. He has decent all round stats and recent form. He also has a good strokes gained putting stat which may be significant due to the way the greens are playing. We get great place terms and don't give up anything against Betfair on the win part.
Have also punted Fred fav Spieth @ 16-1 who is one of the few with decent previous experience of the course, and Matt Every, who seems to be exceptional in strokes gained putting in his first round,as my banzai @ 100-1
Hope this make some sense, if not blame insomnia.

Amazing stuff!


http://www.espn.co.uk/golf/sport/site/golflive.html

Hope he holds for you (and the Jim F can sneak a place for Fred)

[BigAdz]

I think Simon has been to see the Tipping Fairy, and she sprinkled him with special Winners Dust.

Good Luck tonight mate.

[TightEnd]

Interested in views on this one:

Bills @ Chicago.

Spread at the moment is about 6.5 in Chicago's favour, so that means Chicago is nearly a touchdown better than Buffalo. Let's assume that's not unfair, a few hours from kick off, when the market has had months to be bashed into place.

The Bills will rely on their running game, which is good on paper, to keep them competitive against a formidable Bears offence. A less extravagant version of Dallas, Chicago has a good offence and a less good defence, where the team will be looking to outscored, rather than stodge. The Bills' running game is helped by the blocking Tight End, Lee Smith, who is nursing a toe injury and might not play. Sammy Watkins is probably going to suit up, but the preparation on offence could hardly have been worse for this game.

The Bills are 1-6 away from home in their last seven week ones. Chicago are 6-1 at home for the opening fixture.

I think Chicago will win this game comfortably and Jeffery, Marshall and Forte will have too much for Buffalo. It won't be a rout, like the 40-7 (or something similar) last time out, but I think we can take a flyer on there being a little more leeway on the line.

A fair range, here, with the bookies. Best price 9/2 for Chicago to win by between 7 and 12 points is 9/2 with Billy Mountain. Scores in the region of 27-17 are hardly unfathomable. Minded to propose £20, but would like to hear opinions from the Elders.

the Bills look unbackable on offense

but Jay Cutler is 11-26 ATS as a home favourite

the Bears should cover here, but everyone knows that, the number started 5 is going to close north of 7 and actually the Bills defense might mean this is a big ask?

might we have more strategy, rather than guessing a supremacy, if we suggest that the first touchdown scorer should be a Bear, and realistically should be Forte, Marshall or Jeffrey?

that also Buffalo will put the excellent Leo McKelvin on Marshall and that actually Alshon against Gilmore at 7-1 might be a big price...

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-chicago-bears/first-touchdown-scorer

[horseplayer]

Interested in views on this one:

Bills @ Chicago.

Spread at the moment is about 6.5 in Chicago's favour, so that means Chicago is nearly a touchdown better than Buffalo. Let's assume that's not unfair, a few hours from kick off, when the market has had months to be bashed into place.

The Bills will rely on their running game, which is good on paper, to keep them competitive against a formidable Bears offence. A less extravagant version of Dallas, Chicago has a good offence and a less good defence, where the team will be looking to outscored, rather than stodge. The Bills' running game is helped by the blocking Tight End, Lee Smith, who is nursing a toe injury and might not play. Sammy Watkins is probably going to suit up, but the preparation on offence could hardly have been worse for this game.

The Bills are 1-6 away from home in their last seven week ones. Chicago are 6-1 at home for the opening fixture.

I think Chicago will win this game comfortably and Jeffery, Marshall and Forte will have too much for Buffalo. It won't be a rout, like the 40-7 (or something similar) last time out, but I think we can take a flyer on there being a little more leeway on the line.

A fair range, here, with the bookies. Best price 9/2 for Chicago to win by between 7 and 12 points is 9/2 with Billy Mountain. Scores in the region of 27-17 are hardly unfathomable. Minded to propose £20, but would like to hear opinions from the Elders.

the Bills look unbackable on offense

but Jay Cutler is 11-26 ATS as a home favourite

the Bears should cover here, but everyone knows that, the number started 5 is going to close north of 7 and actually the Bills defense might mean this is a big ask?

might we have more strategy, rather than guessing a supremacy, if we suggest that the first touchdown scorer should be a Bear, and realistically should be Forte, Marshall or Jeffrey?

that also Buffalo will put the excellent Leo McKelvin on Marshall and that actually Alshon against Gilmore at 7-1 might be a big price...

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-chicago-bears/first-touchdown-scorer

Any other bets tonight Tighty in the special markets? Working till 2am so will be nice to have a distraction to cheer on

cheers

[Tal]

Interested in views on this one:

Bills @ Chicago.

Spread at the moment is about 6.5 in Chicago's favour, so that means Chicago is nearly a touchdown better than Buffalo. Let's assume that's not unfair, a few hours from kick off, when the market has had months to be bashed into place.

The Bills will rely on their running game, which is good on paper, to keep them competitive against a formidable Bears offence. A less extravagant version of Dallas, Chicago has a good offence and a less good defence, where the team will be looking to outscored, rather than stodge. The Bills' running game is helped by the blocking Tight End, Lee Smith, who is nursing a toe injury and might not play. Sammy Watkins is probably going to suit up, but the preparation on offence could hardly have been worse for this game.

The Bills are 1-6 away from home in their last seven week ones. Chicago are 6-1 at home for the opening fixture.

I think Chicago will win this game comfortably and Jeffery, Marshall and Forte will have too much for Buffalo. It won't be a rout, like the 40-7 (or something similar) last time out, but I think we can take a flyer on there being a little more leeway on the line.

A fair range, here, with the bookies. Best price 9/2 for Chicago to win by between 7 and 12 points is 9/2 with Billy Mountain. Scores in the region of 27-17 are hardly unfathomable. Minded to propose £20, but would like to hear opinions from the Elders.

the Bills look unbackable on offense

but Jay Cutler is 11-26 ATS as a home favourite

the Bears should cover here, but everyone knows that, the number started 5 is going to close north of 7 and actually the Bills defense might mean this is a big ask?

might we have more strategy, rather than guessing a supremacy, if we suggest that the first touchdown scorer should be a Bear, and realistically should be Forte, Marshall or Jeffrey?

that also Buffalo will put the excellent Leo McKelvin on Marshall and that actually Alshon against Gilmore at 7-1 might be a big price...

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/buffalo-bills-at-chicago-bears/first-touchdown-scorer

Interestingly, I was going to suggest Fred Jackson anytime, as he's available at 7/5 and, owing to the injury to Dixon, he's going to get the nod for the goal line TD attempts. (Scuy is odds on). Only problem is it's with Paddy...

13/10 available with bet every day of the year, if you have any money left over after the Chompy Clearout.

[TightEnd]

I won't get on at bet1dayoutof365 or PP, Tal

horseplayer i put two up this morning. the Gore rushing yards is the later of the two games on sky

for the Ch4 game later the points quote started high and moved higher, the supremacy looks about right. could see montee ball having a huge night against the Indy run D

70-75 yards could easily be too low

www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/indianapolis-colts-at-denver-broncos/total-rushing-yds-montee-ball

[horseplayer]

Thanks forgot to read through yesterdays and this mornings stuff

[horseplayer]

BET SUGGESTION

£10 FIRST Pierre-Emil Hoejbjerg 16/1
£10 LAST Pierre-Emil Hoejbjerg 16/1
£10 ANYTIME Pierre-Emil Hoejbjerg 5/1

Betfred or goat, anytime is fine on betfair if no good


Denmark game

[TightEnd]

Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Denmark v Armenia
First Goalscorer
   Hojbjerg, Pierre    16/1    
Total stake   £ 10.00
Estimated return   £ 170.00
Bet ref: 410/450 £10.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Denmark v Armenia
Last Goalscorer
   Hojbjerg, Pierre    16/1    
Total stake   £ 10.00
Estimated return   £ 170.00
Bet ref: 410/451 £10.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Denmark v Armenia
Score Anytime
   Hojbjerg, Pierre    5/1    
Total stake   £ 10.00
Estimated return   £ 60.00
Full stake   £ 30.00
Full estimated return   £ 400.00

[horseplayer]

Bayern fringe player promising scored 7 in 8 for Denmark under 21's scored regularly for Bayerns second team last two seasons, personally i would have him about 10-12's in a game with this shape

[ripple11]

Ahead of the Switzerland England game tomorrow which is a key game

Isn't 5/2 Switzerland to top the group excellent value?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/euro-2016-group-e/winner

two horse group, top two qualify for Euro 2016.

Switzerland it could be argued are better than England. France game aside they showed that at the World Cup, albeit in an easier group...qualified for the world cup unbeaten

England rebuilding again, missing Sturridge at the start etc etc, tetchy manager sounding under pressure, no signs of form now for six months...

 

Think this is definite value.
Had a lump on, so if the price goes and Fred wants some just shout.

[tikay]

NFL Player Props for tonight

1. Frank Gore over 80 rushing yards

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/san-francisco-49ers-at-dallas-cowboys/total-rushing-yds-frank-gore

should go north of 100 against a Cowboys DL lacking talent and lacking run stuffers

over 9 years Gore consistently goes at 4 yards a carry, and around 20-25 carries a game. the current quotes make no allowance for the match up, which is hugely favourable

http://www.nfl.com/player/frankgore/2506404/careerstats


2 Jimmy Graham over 73 receiving yards

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-atlanta-falcons/total-receiving-yds-jimmy-graham

Graham is the player the Saints receiving offense revolves around, and they have developed new wrinkles for him this off-season

The Atlanta defense is slow, Graham is a match-up nightmare for them

six 100 yard plus games last year, only fit for 12 games.

http://www.nfl.com/player/jimmygraham/497236/careerstats

BUMPED for horsey.

[Dubai]

I've had a good bet at 5/2 as well- defo think too big in effectively a match. Fred can have some of mine if needed

[horseplayer]

Ty Tikay

Between that and the Denmark game that should provide the entertainment in the quiet spells

Nice work with G Force yesterday, somebody thought it wasnt unlucky. Cant remember who