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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13333129 times)
arbboy
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« Reply #89775 on: October 30, 2014, 02:41:15 PM »

Hard to have had a better start to the NBA season for the maximum bet Raptors.  


Brilliant first game of the NBA season for me. Hornets v Bucks. Went to overtime and ended up being the biggest ever comeback in Charlotte basketball history. Great match. Our rookie of the year pick was relatively quiet.

I used to live in Oakland so wondering what you think about the Warriors this season as you haven't mentioned them. Overrated? Priced about right by the bookies? Or the west is just too tough?

Raptors looking like a great bet in that division

You pretty much summed up the warriors.  They are not over rated they are the real deal but they are priced right in most markets and the West is brutally tough.  Maybe even more than usual.  New rookie coach in Steve Kerr will be interesting as he has played under the two greatest modern day coaches during his multiple title winning playing career.  I have no real views on them tbh.  I have backed the Clippers small in doubles with the Raptors to win their division as it's a two horse race between clips and GSW and the clips were 4.5 games higher on the reg season win over/under markets at pinny.  Suns are 3rd favs but make the market for a bet on the clips because they are 12/1 when they should be closer to 100/1.
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« Reply #89776 on: October 30, 2014, 03:46:43 PM »

Posh v Scunthorpe this week.

Someone is due a hammering. Crewe was a write off and Coventry was somewhat of a collapse.

Things will swing into Posh's favour eventually and this could be the game.
I'm looking at Peterborough -2 is about 4/1 across the board and over 4.5 goals at 5/1 with Viktor.

Reasons:
The team is playing well going forward.
Conor Washington is scoring and if the service continues and improves.
Maddison is a different class.
Two of Scunnies regular back line, Goalkeeper Bobby and CB Shaun Brisley are on loan from Posh. I would strongly believe they cannot play against us which should upset things.
Someone is due a thumping and it looked like it was going to happen at Cov last week, but they fought back very well.

I'm also looking at 5/6 Over 11.5 corners in the match with beteveryday. Posh themselves have had upwards of 40 corners in the last 3/4 games. Can't convert them but can definitely win them.

Suggestions:
£10 Peterborough win -2 4/1
£10 Peterborough v Scunthorpe over 4.5 goals 5/1 with Viktor
£30 Over 11.5 corners in the match.

Chompy?
 
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« Reply #89777 on: October 30, 2014, 04:10:30 PM »

Don't mind the overs but wouldn't back us to do anything at the moment. Literally anything could happen.

Think it's gonna be twitchy on Saturday. Would you be confident if we're 2-0 up again at half-time?

It sounds like McCann might be wheeled out against his old team with Payne being suspended. A midfield pairing of McCann and Anderson is hardly going to be exciting and full of goals imo.
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GlennDuskTillDawn
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« Reply #89778 on: October 30, 2014, 04:24:23 PM »

Don't mind the overs but wouldn't back us to do anything at the moment. Literally anything could happen.

Think it's gonna be twitchy on Saturday. Would you be confident if we're 2-0 up again at half-time?

It sounds like McCann might be wheeled out against his old team with Payne being suspended. A midfield pairing of McCann and Anderson is hardly going to be exciting and full of goals imo.

Payne tends to hide when things get difficult, this was proved at Cov and Crewe. I just think we're due to kick into form for a full 90 mins, and looking at the fixtures after Carlisle ths is the one Fergie will be targeting for the big win.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #89779 on: October 30, 2014, 06:13:57 PM »

BREEDERS CUP PREVIEW

Will start by saying usually i have a dozen or so fancies that turn into six or seven bets. This year i have had a lot less but have spent more time on the individual races as a result. Friday is normally a very weak day but tomorrow looks good quality.

We start with the Juvenille Turf http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/2014-10-31-santa-anita/21:25/winner

Hootenanny is the drifting favourite a sprinter trying a mile. Wes Ward however often defies logic with his horses and when you delve deeper than are some positive signs, this race is generally about speed not staying power.



That is the clip of his debut at Keeneland a quite remarkable one which then followed with his Royal Ascot romp. Over 4 1/2 furlongs on debut he ran the final quarter faster than any other in the race, this is incredibly rare even in sprinters.

Infact the only other three sprinters to do this at Keeneland were also trained by Wes Ward and all were graded animals one of which was top class (one of these ended up a miler). He has shown time and again he can change the training method to suit the trip and i have no doubt he has maximised everything for Hootenanny to get the mile (been aimed at this a long time).

Having said all of that there is still a big doubt about staying, price is everything and if he drifts to 9/2 tomorrow over here he becomes a bet for me.

The horse i like is COMMEMORATIVE and he rates a bet at the 10/1 still available. Slowly progressive and the connections won this last year has experience on quick turf and despite making all last time at Newmarket will more likely be sitting behind the pace here from an excellent draw in 4. Has lots of pace inside him as well as the favourite and should get the ideal position if good enough.

War Envoy would be a big danger but the price has gone really these conditions do look ideal. The other American challengers all come out of very slowly run turf races so are impossible to assess despite impressive looking fractions on paper, could be anything but more likely to be blown away by the first quarter here.

Should be a very exciting race to watch to start the meeting and if we could bet on what will be leading two furlongs out we could all retire.

Next up is the Dirt Mile http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/2014-10-31-santa-anita/22:05/winner

Goldencents really looks to good to be true here at anything odds against. Won this last year from 11 (historically impossible) now has the plot draw and to keep it simple is faster than any of the other pace in the race and routed one of the dangers last time. The race does have a nice each way shape but i would want the fav to have some doubts and i cant find any. No bet for me but if someone offers a silly price in the morning take it.

Juvenille Fillies Turf http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/2014-10-31-santa-anita/22:50/winner

Tricky heat with a lot of these having met fairly recently. Qualify really impressed me last time at the Curragh but to win from 14 here is going to have to be miles clear unlikely but with Ryan Moore booked anything is possible.

One of the better US turf trainers Chad Brown has four in here, three of which ran in a grade 3 at Belmont last time.



Lady Eli sat close to a walking pace and showed a lovely turn of foot to remain unbeaten and is rightly at the top of the market. Further back in 4th (Number 10 on the video) was PARTISAN POLITICS who sat right out of the back and had no chance of the pace scenario.

One thing you can be sure is all of these races will be at least fairly run and probably run on the quick side from the front, considering Partisan ran on really well to grab 4th (best could finish given circumstances) the 20/1 looks a massive price on the back of one perceived bad run, with the added bonus of a cracking draw.

The Distaff http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/2014-10-31-santa-anita/23:35/winner

No opinion here got lots of Polytrack/synthetic form against proven lesser dirt form and even an eleven time winner from Peru! Another cup of tea here.

SUGGESTED BETS FOR FRIDAY

£30 win Commemorative 10/1 lads,hills or sportsbook in the Juvenile Turf.

£40 win Partisan Politics 20/1 lads in the Juvenile fillies Turf.

Feel free to wait until nearer race time tomorrow for P Politics might get 25's on the exchange.


Back with Saturdays tomorrow night or possibly earlier.









 
« Last Edit: October 30, 2014, 06:34:39 PM by horseplayer » Logged
hector62
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« Reply #89780 on: October 30, 2014, 07:17:12 PM »

Nishikori is through to the 1/4 final after a 3 sets win against Tsonga. He plays David Ferrer tomorrow.
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« Reply #89781 on: October 30, 2014, 07:25:42 PM »

Hugo Palmer @hugopalmeracing  ·  27m 27 minutes ago
Having moved beautifully this morning Aktabantay was found to have a sore foot back at the barn. He has been scratched from #BC14 Devastated

Hugo Palmer
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He will be absolutely fine in the long term and will be aimed at the Qipco 2000 Guineas @NewmarketRace


Sad for one of the most open and up and coming trainers around, sold his promising Knife Point for 200k yesterday to Australia great swings in this game....
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« Reply #89782 on: October 30, 2014, 07:28:30 PM »

Hugo Palmer @hugopalmeracing  ·  27m 27 minutes ago
Having moved beautifully this morning Aktabantay was found to have a sore foot back at the barn. He has been scratched from #BC14 Devastated

Hugo Palmer
‏@hugopalmeracing
He will be absolutely fine in the long term and will be aimed at the Qipco 2000 Guineas @NewmarketRace


Sad for one of the most open and up and coming trainers around, sold his promising Knife Point for 200k yesterday to Australia great swings in this game....

Kept coming back to aktabantay in the race, thought it had a massive chance at a decent price
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horseplayer
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« Reply #89783 on: October 30, 2014, 07:29:31 PM »

This made me laugh from the excellent punter and owner John Basquill


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« Reply #89784 on: October 30, 2014, 07:51:45 PM »

Nishikori is through to the 1/4 final after a 3 sets win against Tsonga. He plays David Ferrer tomorrow.

 thumbs up
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« Reply #89785 on: October 30, 2014, 08:18:29 PM »

Had a week full of Breeders Cup so may as well post the best performance ever on dirt



"Arazi runs right by em!"
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« Reply #89786 on: October 30, 2014, 08:24:10 PM »

Had a week full of Breeders Cup so may as well post the best performance ever on dirt



"Arazi runs right by em!"

Its incredible, looks like something out of the seabiscuit film.


They still call it an arazi despite the fact he never did anything past two year old (ruined it with a poorly judged operation)

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redarmi
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« Reply #89787 on: October 30, 2014, 09:02:55 PM »

Had a week full of Breeders Cup so may as well post the best performance ever on dirt



"Arazi runs right by em!"

First year I was properly interested in racing and still not sure I have seen anything like it since.  Definition of a steering job.

On another note anyone seen any firms going 1/4 odds all races and/or paying 4 in the 16 runner races?  Looks a great card if we can get decent terms.
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« Reply #89788 on: October 30, 2014, 09:10:18 PM »

T2 Forest Dexter in next at Hove (8.50) is mine- fancy it pretty strong, had decent bet

http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/tv.sd
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horseplayer
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« Reply #89789 on: October 30, 2014, 09:28:33 PM »

Had a week full of Breeders Cup so may as well post the best performance ever on dirt



"Arazi runs right by em!"

First year I was properly interested in racing and still not sure I have seen anything like it since.  Definition of a steering job.

On another note anyone seen any firms going 1/4 odds all races and/or paying 4 in the 16 runner races?  Looks a great card if we can get decent terms.

Nope been looking all day. Doubt anyone will
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