Tips for Tikay

[kukushkin88]

[qu
#anyonebutlabourplease

Just out of interest what do you think has happened to the deficit in the last 5 years? While they put more people in poverty than any government in British history.

Don't waste your time pal, it's 1.00001 against you changing opinions.

Magnificent.

A post from so one so firmly entrenched in their views telling someone else with the same views you can't tell the only one in the conversation that has changed the direction of their vote, that they can't possibly change their mind.

Thank you. Lol
[/quote]

Good morning Adz,

I have voted Conservative, Lib Dem and Labour. My interest wouldn´t be in persuading anyone to change their mind. My interest would be in everyone, very much me included, learning about and thinking about the subject more so that we all make better informed decisions.

Have you had a look at the Easter Classic? Complicit 13/2 E/W looks rock solid to me.

[BigAdz]

Morning 'Kush.

Yup.

Should come on from the run and looks a rock solid ew bet. I shall be joining you in a flutter.

Gl us!

[DungBeetle]

323 is a majority

you can pick your own estimate but mine would be something like

Con 275

Lab 275

LD 30

SNP 45

UKIP 3

Green 1

SNP got 6 last time. That 40 seat increase this is mostly from Labour, some LD

without the structural changes in Scotland seats, Lab would get close to majority

but with SNP 40+ they can't make it

Con 280, UKIP will win 1-7 seats only but thats off 1.5m votes

if UKIP didn't exist then 75%+ of that 1.5m vote base reverts to Con and in FPTP system gives them a shot at a majority

so the combination of UKIP and SNP breaking down two party voting patterns means majority goverment is an almost impossibility this time

big picture, this vote share relative to seat pattern is going to mean vote reform is going to be a big issue in post election coalition wrangling

because a coalition is going to need to look like con+ld+ukip+dup or lab+snp+sdlp+green to get anywhere close to 323 all the marginal power in these discussions is in the smaller parties who can extract huge concessions. or should

tighty give some examples of what you have to happen in reality for a hung parl to lose?  Ie sex scandal etc with party leader etc etc.

I think the Tories still have an outside shot if people who say they are voting UKIP look at Miliband on voting day and grudgingly put the X next to the Tories.

That said, I personally think the most likely scenario is Lab minority with Lib/SNP informal backing.  I think Labour have no chance of an overall majority, but Miliband has a better shot at being PM than Cameron.

[TightEnd]

I would also like to see where we are with the Stoke DNB away to Chelsea.

They are 12/1 to win after being 14's price is obv getting worse, think we should take the 11/1 DNB with Victor ASAP

where we are is that the discussion last weekend was unfinished/left hanging

you expressed the view that the DNB price wouldn't last. fortunately it has so people can pipe in with their thoughts if they wish today

[TightEnd]

mr tight end

i have accounts with some of the bookies that thread is restricted at and they have lain dormant for many a year
i only opened them when THM was with prima if Fred wants to get these accounts restricted while winning a few quid of the bad guys then i am open for abuse

stan james, paddy power are the obvious ones

often up at best prices, not often prices too many people can use

[TightEnd]

More than happy to continue the discussion on a more appropriate thread. Always keen to discuss the topic, such an interesting election.

To try and get things back on track, the Easter Classic is a sensational E/W betting race. 8 runners, 4/6 Tryster, 3 no hopers in. 2nd and 3rd favourites both look good, Paddy Power best price on both. Grendisar 9/2 and Complicit 13/2, great E/W bets. There might even be a special from Coral on the day. Not a thread recommend at this stage but with no reason to think anything will come out, there will be a good bet to be had in this race.

Edit: Should have stated 15:45 on Good Friday.

just let us know when this moves to recommend stage please

[TightEnd]

No bets completed yesterday

NBA last night

the San Antonio Spurs beat the Magic 103-91

Click to see full-size image.

unfortunately for them one of two teams above them in the close race for the South West division title the Houston Rckets also won

there were wins for the Toronto Raptors and the Dallas Mavericks

Click to see full-size image.

the Mavericks beat the Oklahoma City Thunder,

Click to see full-size image.

giving the Trailblazers the chance to clinch the division but they lost 126-122 to the LA Clippers

Click to see full-size image.

the Chicago Bulls also lost 91-95 to the Bucks

the situation is as follows for the divisional bets

the Trailblazers lead Oklahoma City by 6.5 games

the Spurs trail Memphis and Houston by 2 games

7 games remaining

[TightEnd]

it might still be a bit early, but hoping the Masters discussion begins to build

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

away from Chelsea-Stoke, isn't there a stand out price here?

i think so, sadly

[TightEnd]

"Hell, Yes, you can have a bet on the debate"

http://politicalbookie.com/2015/04/02/hell-yes-you-can-have-a-bet-on-the-debate/?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=sports&utm_campaign=politics&hootPostID=737f125cc5ca8a76cced4f7417694dd3



in interesting news, if i download the yougov app i can be on the voting panel, says the email

[exstream]

away from Chelsea-Stoke, isn't there a stand out price here?

i think so, sadly

Liverpool Spurs or newcastle?

Edit WEST HAM!

[TightEnd]

away from Chelsea-Stoke, isn't there a stand out price here?

i think so, sadly

Liverpool Spurs or newcastle?

Edit WEST HAM!

correct.

having sat through most of this season, 2/1+ is a big price.

[Tal]

West Brom 3/4 against the team that travels about as well as a carsick child who's just eaten a hot curry?

[Doobs]

away from Chelsea-Stoke, isn't there a stand out price here?

i think so, sadly

Liverpool Spurs or newcastle?

Edit WEST HAM!

correct.

having sat through most of this season, 2/1+ is a big price.

Probably, even though West Ham have been dire recently, they haven't been as dire as Leicester?

Sure Ant has a different answer.  There can't be much on form between Palace since Pardew took over and City?  Well the gap must be smaller than the gap between Chelsea and Stoke anyway.  I haven't backed anything yet, just putting it out there.  

[Kmac84]

Surely with Labour trying to get some votes in Scotland and even the other parties trying to get some that 1-2 on "I agree with Nicola" is a great bet? Be very confident that this would be something that Ed would be falling over himself to say.

These "I agree with ...." markets are on the back of the last election debates where Gordon Brown was ridiculed for constantly saying "I agree with Nick"

Whilst I agree with Aaron with the reasoning behind backing this, I would think that the leaders will have it drilled into them to not use those exact words.

There isn't any reason to back this tbh, not suggested it. But personally think it's a great bet & I think Labour will be trying hardest to appease Scottish voters.

I wonder what the max is?

Well if that's the plan someone better tell the branch office up here because they are doing an appalling jobe.