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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16362875 times)
booder
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Lazy , Hazy days
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103605 on:
July 07, 2015, 12:20:55 PM »
Ranieri looks a lively outsider .
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Quote from: action man
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superwomble
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103606 on:
July 07, 2015, 12:45:33 PM »
Would Sam Allardyce be a big enough name for them?
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103607 on:
July 07, 2015, 12:49:08 PM »
Quote from: superwomble on July 07, 2015, 12:45:33 PM
Would Sam Allardyce be a big enough name for them?
He has said he wants 6 months out. whether that is true or not if they dangle ££ in front of him no idea
i think they want a continental name with international reach, trying to read the tea-leaves
whether that is best or not, who knows, and it doesn't really matter anyway as without the owners we'd be a couple of divisions lower so what they want goes
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103608 on:
July 07, 2015, 02:10:00 PM »
Jonathan Agnew @Aggerscricket
"Pitch mown again. No pace."
so, i think we are into overhead conditions if the bowlers want much at cardiff
the forecast for tomorrow am is overcast, which might help. forecast for fri/sat is v good, so feels like a full five day test
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Karabiner
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103609 on:
July 07, 2015, 02:52:30 PM »
Big Ron is a big name.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103610 on:
July 07, 2015, 02:58:54 PM »
5 minutes ago
Click to see full-size image.
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HutchGF
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103611 on:
July 07, 2015, 03:17:53 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on July 07, 2015, 02:58:54 PM
5 minutes ago
Click to see full-size image.
Looks like the kind of pitch to win the toss, bat and score 500.
Unless it's really overcast, it's going to be great for batting.
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nellberg
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103612 on:
July 07, 2015, 03:56:37 PM »
Anyone know off the top of their heads if the rules on batting series runs over/under is same at both Billy mountains and baldy? E.g is their a minimum amount of games need playing etc and does it differ from site to site? Could have a bet lined up
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103613 on:
July 07, 2015, 04:11:11 PM »
Quote from: nellberg on July 07, 2015, 03:56:37 PM
Anyone know off the top of their heads if the rules on batting series runs over/under is same at both Billy mountains and baldy? E.g is their a minimum amount of games need playing etc and does it differ from site to site? Could have a bet lined up
not sure what you are getting at but here are betfred's rules
http://www.betfred.com/help/faq/sportsbook-betting-rules#
(eg 6. Total Runs Markets All Batsman must play at least one test match for bets to stand.)
william hill
https://williamhill-hu.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/2063/~/rules-for-all-sports-bets-on-william-hill-sportsbook
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nellberg
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103614 on:
July 07, 2015, 07:32:42 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on July 07, 2015, 04:11:11 PM
Quote from: nellberg on July 07, 2015, 03:56:37 PM
Anyone know off the top of their heads if the rules on batting series runs over/under is same at both Billy mountains and baldy? E.g is their a minimum amount of games need playing etc and does it differ from site to site? Could have a bet lined up
not sure what you are getting at but here are betfred's rules
http://www.betfred.com/help/faq/sportsbook-betting-rules#
(eg 6. Total Runs Markets All Batsman must play at least one test match for bets to stand.)
william hill
https://williamhill-hu.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/2063/~/rules-for-all-sports-bets-on-william-hill-sportsbook
reason for wanting to find out if both firms had matching settlement rules as they have a widely different quote for chris rogers series runs. billys are o/u 299.5 and baldy is o/u 345.5. Majority of quotes is 10 runs difference between bookies but we get 46 here which seems may too big? theory would be to back over 299.5 and under 345.5 at 5/6 and aim for the scoop.e.g 60 on each risks £10 loss in total and scoops 100 win if his series total is 300-345. in essence a 10/1 shot on that runs range, which must be too big a price? lass on live chat said hills policy is min 2 tests or its void. if he plays one and then is injured/dropped we'd get the overs stake back from hills and win the unders on baldy so still works out?
thoughts?
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HutchGF
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103615 on:
July 07, 2015, 08:52:09 PM »
Quote from: nellberg on July 07, 2015, 07:32:42 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 07, 2015, 04:11:11 PM
Quote from: nellberg on July 07, 2015, 03:56:37 PM
Anyone know off the top of their heads if the rules on batting series runs over/under is same at both Billy mountains and baldy? E.g is their a minimum amount of games need playing etc and does it differ from site to site? Could have a bet lined up
not sure what you are getting at but here are betfred's rules
http://www.betfred.com/help/faq/sportsbook-betting-rules#
(eg 6. Total Runs Markets All Batsman must play at least one test match for bets to stand.)
william hill
https://williamhill-hu.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/2063/~/rules-for-all-sports-bets-on-william-hill-sportsbook
reason for wanting to find out if both firms had matching settlement rules as they have a widely different quote for chris rogers series runs. billys are o/u 299.5 and baldy is o/u 345.5. Majority of quotes is 10 runs difference between bookies but we get 46 here which seems may too big? theory would be to back over 299.5 and under 345.5 at 5/6 and aim for the scoop.e.g 60 on each risks £10 loss in total and scoops 100 win if his series total is 300-345. in essence a 10/1 shot on that runs range, which must be too big a price? lass on live chat said hills policy is min 2 tests or its void. if he plays one and then is injured/dropped we'd get the overs stake back from hills and win the unders on baldy so still works out?
thoughts?
Interested to know what people's thoughts on the true odds of him scoring between 300-345? Essentially, assuming he plays all 5 tests ( there was some talk on cricinfo of Marsh opening with Warner), that means 60-67 runs per test. That's below his test average IF he bats every innings.
A good spot and worth further discussion.
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nellberg
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103616 on:
July 07, 2015, 09:26:14 PM »
Quote from: HutchGF on July 07, 2015, 08:52:09 PM
Quote from: nellberg on July 07, 2015, 07:32:42 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on July 07, 2015, 04:11:11 PM
Quote from: nellberg on July 07, 2015, 03:56:37 PM
Anyone know off the top of their heads if the rules on batting series runs over/under is same at both Billy mountains and baldy? E.g is their a minimum amount of games need playing etc and does it differ from site to site? Could have a bet lined up
not sure what you are getting at but here are betfred's rules
http://www.betfred.com/help/faq/sportsbook-betting-rules#
(eg 6. Total Runs Markets All Batsman must play at least one test match for bets to stand.)
william hill
https://williamhill-hu.custhelp.com/app/answers/detail/a_id/2063/~/rules-for-all-sports-bets-on-william-hill-sportsbook
reason for wanting to find out if both firms had matching settlement rules as they have a widely different quote for chris rogers series runs. billys are o/u 299.5 and baldy is o/u 345.5. Majority of quotes is 10 runs difference between bookies but we get 46 here which seems may too big? theory would be to back over 299.5 and under 345.5 at 5/6 and aim for the scoop.e.g 60 on each risks £10 loss in total and scoops 100 win if his series total is 300-345. in essence a 10/1 shot on that runs range, which must be too big a price? lass on live chat said hills policy is min 2 tests or its void. if he plays one and then is injured/dropped we'd get the overs stake back from hills and win the unders on baldy so still works out?
thoughts?
Interested to know what people's thoughts on the true odds of him scoring between 300-345? Essentially, assuming he plays all 5 tests ( there was some talk on cricinfo of Marsh opening with Warner), that means 60-67 runs per test. That's below his test average IF he bats every innings.
A good spot and worth further discussion.
Latest Cricinfo talk was that him and Watson had secured the last 2 spots that were up for grabs. To get a real run at it, you'd like him to play all 5 (or just one, where you'd win due to rule differences between the bookies) 400 runs is the quote for the likes of smith, root and warner, so it's unlikely he'd get that many. someone like Lyth is o/u 286. given Rogers averages a tick under 40 in tests, you'd think he'd out-perform a newbie. The differences between bookies quotes on all other players were all pretty tight, biggest other difference was 24.5 with Clarke, 46 on Rogers here gives us a lot of margin. On the last tour over here he scored 367, so we're in the right ballpark. The other quotes this morning were 300.5, 319.5 and 320. Seems the Baldy one of 345.5 is the outlier.
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Peter-27
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103617 on:
July 07, 2015, 09:30:56 PM »
Betting on Lotus suspended .. curious ..
https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103618 on:
July 07, 2015, 09:38:07 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 07, 2015, 09:30:56 PM
Betting on Lotus suspended .. curious ..
https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points
Lotus are facing a winding up order. So SPIN don't want to be exposed to people selling if the order goes through and people buying as soon as they are safe. It isn't the normal punters they are scared of it is those that know the result of the court case before SPIN. Presumably the suspension will stop as soon as there is more clarity.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Peter-27
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #103619 on:
July 07, 2015, 09:43:22 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on July 07, 2015, 09:38:07 PM
Quote from: Peter-27 on July 07, 2015, 09:30:56 PM
Betting on Lotus suspended .. curious ..
https://www.sportingindex.com/spread-betting/motor-racing/formula-1/mm4.uk.meeting.5057058/formula-1-2015-constructors-season-points
Lotus are facing a winding up order. So SPIN don't want to be exposed to people selling if the order goes through and people buying as soon as they are safe. It isn't the normal punters they are scared of it is those that know the result of the court case before SPIN. Presumably the suspension will stop as soon as there is more clarity.
A winding up order? What? I've not heard/seen this?!
EDIT: Just saw the news you're referring to, nothing will come of it. Does explain them not taking bets though, thanks
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