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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Author
Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 13566918 times)
TightEnd
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Hero Member
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Posts: I am a geek!!
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107940 on:
October 12, 2015, 02:05:59 PM »
Quote from: Tal on October 12, 2015, 01:48:22 PM
SPOTY
Ennis-Hill 10/11
Froome 8/1
Murray 8/1
Hamilton 8/1
Farah 16/1
Rooney 22/1
People who won't win 40/1
You can get 1/4 first three with some bookies.
Is this just each way thievery?
I'd back whichever of lewis, froome and murray will finish 4th. Nailed on
davis cup final is just before the SPOTY night, live on BBC by the way
with hamilton likely to clinch in the next 2-3 races i would suggest immediacy bias means Froome finishes 4th?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
arbboy
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Posts: 13285
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107941 on:
October 12, 2015, 02:14:19 PM »
Couldn't have rooney on my mind at 16/1 (his current bf price).
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Tal
Hero Member
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Posts: 24352
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107942 on:
October 12, 2015, 02:31:25 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on October 12, 2015, 02:05:59 PM
Quote from: Tal on October 12, 2015, 01:48:22 PM
SPOTY
Ennis-Hill 10/11
Froome 8/1
Murray 8/1
Hamilton 8/1
Farah 16/1
Rooney 22/1
People who won't win 40/1
You can get 1/4 first three with some bookies.
Is this just each way thievery?
I'd back whichever of lewis, froome and murray will finish 4th. Nailed on
davis cup final is just before the SPOTY night, live on BBC by the way
with hamilton likely to clinch in the next 2-3 races i would suggest immediacy bias means Froome finishes 4th?
Agreed.
Do we not just back people who aren't the 10/11 shot (subject to reasonable betfair prices) each way and count our winnings?
Just looks like a 6 horse race where we get 2/1 a place for 3 guys vying for two spots, plus the bonus of Murray winning the Davis Cup and taking the lot.
Murray can't finish outside the top three in a BBC poll, surely?
Edit: I know it's dangerous to count out
the greatest British sportsman of all time...
«
Last Edit: October 12, 2015, 02:36:39 PM by Tal
»
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
AlunB
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Posts: 1712
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107943 on:
October 12, 2015, 03:02:54 PM »
Quote from: Tal on October 12, 2015, 02:31:25 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on October 12, 2015, 02:05:59 PM
Quote from: Tal on October 12, 2015, 01:48:22 PM
SPOTY
Ennis-Hill 10/11
Froome 8/1
Murray 8/1
Hamilton 8/1
Farah 16/1
Rooney 22/1
People who won't win 40/1
You can get 1/4 first three with some bookies.
Is this just each way thievery?
I'd back whichever of lewis, froome and murray will finish 4th. Nailed on
davis cup final is just before the SPOTY night, live on BBC by the way
with hamilton likely to clinch in the next 2-3 races i would suggest immediacy bias means Froome finishes 4th?
Agreed.
Do we not just back people who aren't the 10/11 shot (subject to reasonable betfair prices) each way and count our winnings?
Just looks like a 6 horse race where we get 2/1 a place for 3 guys vying for two spots, plus the bonus of Murray winning the Davis Cup and taking the lot.
Murray can't finish outside the top three in a BBC poll, surely?
Edit: I know it's dangerous to count out
the greatest British sportsman of all time...
Don't we just break even if two place at 2/1 and one doesn't? Or have I got my maths wrong. Assuming none of them win of course.
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Doobs
Hero Member
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Posts: 16591
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107944 on:
October 12, 2015, 03:35:56 PM »
Quote from: AlunB on October 12, 2015, 03:02:54 PM
Quote from: Tal on October 12, 2015, 02:31:25 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on October 12, 2015, 02:05:59 PM
Quote from: Tal on October 12, 2015, 01:48:22 PM
SPOTY
Ennis-Hill 10/11
Froome 8/1
Murray 8/1
Hamilton 8/1
Farah 16/1
Rooney 22/1
People who won't win 40/1
You can get 1/4 first three with some bookies.
Is this just each way thievery?
I'd back whichever of lewis, froome and murray will finish 4th. Nailed on
davis cup final is just before the SPOTY night, live on BBC by the way
with hamilton likely to clinch in the next 2-3 races i would suggest immediacy bias means Froome finishes 4th?
Agreed.
Do we not just back people who aren't the 10/11 shot (subject to reasonable betfair prices) each way and count our winnings?
Just looks like a 6 horse race where we get 2/1 a place for 3 guys vying for two spots, plus the bonus of Murray winning the Davis Cup and taking the lot.
Murray can't finish outside the top three in a BBC poll, surely?
Edit: I know it's dangerous to count out
the greatest British sportsman of all time...
Don't we just break even if two place at 2/1 and one doesn't? Or have I got my maths wrong. Assuming none of them win of course.
I think Ennis Hill looks clearly too short. I think the discussion might be only theoretical as Victor don't seem to want to lay much on this market. I think Hamilton is max 12.50 e/w at 8/1 and I was heavily restricted similarly on Murray a bit ago.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Chompy
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 11852
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107945 on:
October 12, 2015, 04:14:12 PM »
Agree with Dooooobs, Jess is an absurd price. Don't see any way Lewis is out of the three.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107946 on:
October 12, 2015, 05:15:04 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on October 11, 2015, 02:41:20 PM
Sochi results
motorsport Russian gp points sainz 11/10 10 0 N -10
motorsport Russian gp points crashtor 7/4 20 55 Y 35
motorsport russian grand prix reach Q3 verstappen ev 15 30 Y 15
motorsport russian grand prix reach Q3 hulkenberg ev 15 30 Y 15
motorsport russian grand prix top 6 kvyat 7/4 20 55 Y 35
motorsport russian grand prix rosberg 11/8 20 0 N -20
motorsport russian gp top six finish massa 3/1 16.67 66.68 Y 50.01
motorsport Russian Grand Prix Leader after 1st Lap bottas 8/1 6.25 0 N -6.25
motorsport Group D, Nas, eri, butt, alonso nasr 15/8 20 57.5 Y 37.5
+£151.50
some good rub of the green there too!
force india +15 points, season total 92 we are £2 a point at 69
mclaren +3 points season total 20 we are -£1 a point at 153
kvyat 8 points
ricciardo retired
season points kvyat 74 ricciardo 73
bet is Kvyat v ricciardo 9/2 20
I was due a solid weekend like this, good stuff
Thanks to all those who congratulated me/us
Quote from: Ironside on October 11, 2015, 02:49:21 PM
I remember one of peters first goals when he came on Fred was to turn a big -ROI into a + one are we close yet? Force India and mclaren bets both look huge
That's right, it was minus £550 ish when I joined here, looks like we're going to end up on a big plus at the end of the season. Although, I don't just want a big plus, I want to get motorsport top
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Peter-27
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1550
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107947 on:
October 12, 2015, 05:31:27 PM »
For the record, having looked at the remain races, I expect the following points for Force India & McLaren:
USA/MEX/BRA/ABU
Force India, currently 92. 4/8/16/4 = 124
McLaren, currently 19. 2/0/4/1 = 26
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https://twitter.com/DownforceBets
horseplayer
Hero Member
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Posts: 10601
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107948 on:
October 12, 2015, 05:44:23 PM »
great stuff peter
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Ironside
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Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 41800
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107949 on:
October 12, 2015, 06:24:21 PM »
Quote from: Peter-27 on October 12, 2015, 05:31:27 PM
For the record, having looked at the remain races, I expect the following points for Force India & McLaren:
USA/MEX/BRA/ABU
Force India, currently 92. 4/8/16/4 = 124
McLaren, currently 19. 2/0/4/1 = 26
if your expect mclaren to score 7 points surely as pointed out swinebag we should be getting out at the price of 6?
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lend me a beer and I'll lend you my ear
Chompy
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Posts: 11852
Expert
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107950 on:
October 12, 2015, 07:44:37 PM »
For those that can, 33-1 Posh EW for L1, and 18-1 to win the playoffs are cracking bets with Scuy.
As long as Maddison and Angol stay put in January, anything is possible now we finally have someone in charge with half an idea.
We have a really easy November, with Fleetwood (H), Crewe (A), Barnsley (H) and Scunthorpe (A), and the next three games, Port Vale (A), Wigan (H) and Doncaster (H) aren't too bad either.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
DropTheHammer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1057
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107951 on:
October 12, 2015, 08:20:56 PM »
Quote from: Chompy on October 12, 2015, 07:44:37 PM
For those that can, 33-1 Posh EW for L1, and 18-1 to win the playoffs are cracking bets with Scuy.
As long as Maddison and Angol stay put in January, anything is possible now we finally have someone in charge with half an idea.
We have a really easy November, with Fleetwood (H), Crewe (A), Barnsley (H) and Scunthorpe (A), and the next three games, Port Vale (A), Wigan (H) and Doncaster (H) aren't too bad either.
Cheers Chomps, that 18-1 is probably a good home for my £5 free bet this week.
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DropTheHammer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 1057
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107952 on:
October 12, 2015, 08:54:52 PM »
Quote from: JoeBeevers on September 29, 2015, 04:38:09 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on September 29, 2015, 04:33:46 PM
Moeen Ali Pakistan - England Top England Batsman
8/1
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £450.00
ladbrokes went before my eyes, limited to a tenner at corals, no chance at stan james.
8/1 for series still excellent and in a few spots
Support for Ali opening builds ahead of first test tomorrow at 7am
.
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Tal
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 24352
"He's always at it!"
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107953 on:
October 12, 2015, 09:47:05 PM »
Some of the stories you may have missed.
Say what you like about Vladimir Putin, he knows how to turn a fist bump into a handshake with impeccable slickness.
Click to see full-size image.
Matthew Benham builds a football club by trying his model out at a smaller club in continental Europe. Tikay hopes to persuade him to look again at his new stadium plans with a little project he has been working on in Slovakia.
Big Sam tells us what happened when he went for an interview for the England job:
"I wanted to do a real knock-your-socks-off interview for the FA, so I put together a PowerPoint which looked at every single detail.
There was nothing missing. Nobody but nobody was going to beat it.
But then Brian Barwick, the chief executive, told me there were no PowerPoint facilities at the interview venue, so I had to print off hard copies for the panel.
So much for the progressive FA."
Adidas have unveiled a retro United kit, modelled on their 1985 team.
Click to see full-size image.
What's that on the trackie bottoms?
«
Last Edit: October 12, 2015, 10:02:48 PM by Tal
»
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
horseplayer
Hero Member
Offline
Posts: 10601
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #107954 on:
October 12, 2015, 11:28:53 PM »
The chris cairns legal trial is unearthing some real gems.
http://t.co/GW4v9vs2Me
Lou vincent today suggested daryl tuffey was one of the "fixers". Makes this laughable over of interest
#Invalid YouTube Link#
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