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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16568718 times)
engy
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« Reply #108855 on: November 09, 2015, 12:49:55 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/grand-slam-of-darts/jelle-klaasen-v-martin-adams/winner

Adams a dog in this game?  Really?  Klassen ranked 20th in PDC.  How low down the pdc does Adams have to go to be a jolly in a game having averaged 104 last night and beat a top 8 player?
                                               


Great spot arb cheers
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108856 on: November 09, 2015, 10:44:35 AM »

our man still in the hunt

1 Joe McKeehen 91,450,000       
2 Ofer Zvi Stern 32,400,000       
3 Neil Blumenfield 31,500,000       
4 Max Steinberg 16,000,000       
5 Joshua Beckley 10,875,000       
6 Tom Cannuli 10,425,000   

top 3 paid (for the bet)
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Chompy
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« Reply #108857 on: November 09, 2015, 12:48:51 PM »

Anyone help me getting on a Choral bet?
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« Reply #108858 on: November 09, 2015, 01:00:55 PM »

Yeah got a clean account if you wanna shoot a PM Chompy
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Peter-27
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« Reply #108859 on: November 09, 2015, 05:47:30 PM »

There are SO many errors with pricing here that is physically hurts:

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/2015-16-formula-e-championship/221132412/

Sadly for us; it's quite clear that Buemi is going to win the title this year, so there's not much else to bet on :/
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RickBFA
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« Reply #108860 on: November 09, 2015, 05:54:02 PM »

There are SO many errors with pricing here that is physically hurts:

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/2015-16-formula-e-championship/221132412/

Sadly for us; it's quite clear that Buemi is going to win the title this year, so there's not much else to bet on :/

Any of those badly priced worth backing e/w at a decent price for a top 3 place?
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nellberg
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« Reply #108861 on: November 09, 2015, 08:21:26 PM »

Pakistan v England ODI Series in the UAE

After the 2-0 series victory by Pakistan over England in the UAE, the two sides begin a four game ODI series on Wednesday

The games are as follows:

• Wed Nov 11 1st ODI - England v Pakistan Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
• Fri Nov 13 2nd ODI - England v Pakistan Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
• Tue Nov 17 3rd ODI - England v Pakistan Sharjah Cricket Stadium
• Fri Nov 20 4th ODI - England v Pakistan Dubai International Cricket Stadium

England’s squad, captained by Eoin Morgan, contains several member of the test side augmented by new arrivals who featured throughout the England side in the shorter format of the game through the Ashes summer such as Willey, Roy, Hales and Billings. Many of these players lack experience of these conditions, which could be crucial for what may turn out to be a learning experience first and foremost for a young side.

During the Test series England had four stand-out performers. Cook and Root with the bat (450 and 287 runs respectively) and Anderson and Broad with the ball (20 wickets combined). From these four stand-out players only Root plays in this ODI series

Apart from these four players the major challenge for England here will be in batting depth and in the performances of their spinners. In the test series the highest scoring player who plays the ODI was Bairstow with 134 runs. Meanwhile the spinners’ performance paled in comparison with the quicker bowlers

The pace-men took 31 wickets at 24.5 with a run rate of 2.29. The spinners 20 wickets at 59.8 and a run rate of 4.07 It is the England bowling line up (likely to be combinations of Plunkett, Woakes, Jordan, Willey, Ali, Rashid) that especially looks like it will struggle to me in these conditions.

Meanwhile apart from test captain Misbah-ul-Haq the Pakistan side for this series is full of their best performers notably including leg-spinner Yasir Shah who took 15 wickets in the two tests he played and Wahab Riaz who blew England away in the second test.

So this is a major challenge for England, playing in conditions that do not suit their strengths with a far less experienced team than their opponents

Series odds have Pakistan Evens (William Hill), the Draw 5/2 (Betfred) and England 7/2 (Skybet) for a four game series. Not only do I like Pakistan at Evens, but I think Pakistan should be odds-on, and the 7/4 offered by Bet365 and William Hill on a 3-1 series correct score looks ok

--

aside from that my particular thought was an old thread favourite David Wlley

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/pakistan-v-england/pakistan-england/top-england-bowler

so the bowling line up will be variations of

plunkett
woakes
jordan
willey
ali
rashid

i cant have rashid favourite. i think willey should be favourite, as he can take wickets with swing, reverse, slower balls etc and doesn't need pitch conditions
to be favourable. much better one day bowler than plunkett, woakes and jordan for me

whether he is rotated is an issue, but he has just taken 4 in the warm up game so should start the first game

Do we have any other punts on this? I think Root is a bet, so long as we think he plays all 4 games? looked in good touch in the test series. His record in ODI's in Asia is 530 runs in 11 innings, very consistent with only 1 score below 30. Never played a ODI v Pakistan but overall record is strong. I had Morgan down as the main danger but he's been poor in these conditions in the past. Saver on Taylor?

ODI's in Asia:

Root 530 runs, average 66
Morgan 600 runs, average 28
Hales 34 runs, average 11
Roy 0 games
Taylor 170 runs, average 43
Buttler 159 runs, average 23
Ali 236 runs, average 34
Baistrow 49 runs, average 12

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/pakistan-v-england/pakistan-england/top-england-batsman
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Peter-27
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« Reply #108862 on: November 09, 2015, 09:07:26 PM »

There are SO many errors with pricing here that is physically hurts:

https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/motor-racing/formula-e/outright-betting/2015-16-formula-e-championship/221132412/

Sadly for us; it's quite clear that Buemi is going to win the title this year, so there's not much else to bet on :/

Any of those badly priced worth backing e/w at a decent price for a top 3 place?

Duval and Heidfeld look like possibles. However, I really need to see another race before committing to an each way bet. We've only had two races so far, and one of them was bonkers so doesn't really count.
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« Reply #108863 on: November 09, 2015, 09:22:57 PM »

Wade looks a tad short to me at 1/3 in the darts.  This kid Brown ain't no mug.

Thorn looks too big at 8/11 v the bull in the next as well.
« Last Edit: November 09, 2015, 09:26:24 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #108864 on: November 09, 2015, 10:22:13 PM »

got very lucky there with thorn if anyone got involved.  Jenkins looks right back to his best.  Could be worth an interest at a huge price for the worlds.  He is back in the top 10 in the rankings as well so will get a decent draw for the worlds.
 
http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/winner

£20 ew on Jenkins at 150/1 won't go amiss.  He would be fav over most of the players above him in the betting in a match (around the 50-150/1 mark in the outrights)
« Last Edit: November 09, 2015, 10:25:42 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #108865 on: November 09, 2015, 11:16:17 PM »

wade 104 average and played a great great game to take down the kid.  Def had the best of it there at 3/1. 
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« Reply #108866 on: November 10, 2015, 12:01:48 AM »

must be some value out there with the leaders in the market not actually going into the jungle

http://bettingzone.oddschecker.com/tv/im-a-celebrity/winner
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/showbiz/tv/im_a__celebrity/6735011/Meet-the-celebs-making-their-way-to-reality-show-jungle.html?CMP=spklr-_-S9SunSocial-_-FBPAGE-_-TheSunTV-TheSunTVBiz-_-20151109-_-Television-_-273837591-_-Imageandlink
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« Reply #108867 on: November 10, 2015, 12:11:56 AM »


http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/most-assists

Ozil is 12/1 with PP. He's 6/1 2nd fav with the 3 other bookies offering prices.
I'm pretty sure the 6/1 is the right price, ifr not shorter. If Tal can snap up any of the 12/1, Fred should certainly be on.

If Fred, or anyone else did this, Ozil is currently on 10 assists, Silva 6, Delofeu 5, Mahrez 5.
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« Reply #108868 on: November 10, 2015, 06:18:54 AM »


I may well risk my 100% record betting on reality shows. (1 bet, 1 winner on Julian Clary to win CBB)

If Eubank goes in, 14/1 is an absolute gift.

The man is an absolute legend, will be up for any of the stupid tasks they set and will win over anyone who doesn't know him within a couple of days.

Free moneyz.
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« Reply #108869 on: November 10, 2015, 08:27:25 AM »


I may well risk my 100% record betting on reality shows. (1 bet, 1 winner on Julian Clary to win CBB)

If Eubank goes in, 14/1 is an absolute gift.

The man is an absolute legend, will be up for any of the stupid tasks they set and will win over anyone who doesn't know him within a couple of days.

Free moneyz.

Agree about Eubank.  Funniest interview I ever read was him driving around Brighton in this ridiculous massive truck and being interviewed while he went.  Some bloke shouts "Eubank you utter w@nker"
Eubank simply says to interviewer:

"The pleasure my truck gives people is immeasurable"
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