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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16393001 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #114375 on: March 03, 2016, 12:14:38 AM »

Celtic don't have a congested fixture list, we have a shit team and a clueless manager.

Wanna swap?

"I don't really understand how prices can ever be "right", EVER. Bookies might well use a host of statistics, analytical modelling tools etc. etc., however at the end of the day, all prices are still essentially opinion based. Opinions can never be RIGHT or WRONG, can they?"

The SP on Betfair is always right for any event in which a decent chunk has been traded. It's impossible for them to be 'wrong'.
« Last Edit: March 03, 2016, 12:17:41 AM by Chompy » Logged

"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
celtic
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« Reply #114376 on: March 03, 2016, 12:21:29 AM »

Celtic don't have a congested fixture list, we have a shit team and a clueless manager.

I was at the game tonight. Worst Celtic team ever.

Will still win the league though.
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horseplayer
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« Reply #114377 on: March 03, 2016, 07:13:52 AM »

Andrew Benson, BBC

If I could have had one guess ..

The BBC sport online is so poor compared to five years ago it's untrue
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superwomble
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« Reply #114378 on: March 03, 2016, 10:28:39 AM »

I guess the bookies would know about this, but is 3/1 for Real Betis of interest considering it?

http://www.sport-english.com/en/news/liga-bbva/espanyol-without-eight-players-squad-hit-gastroenteritis-4940453

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/spain/la-liga-primera/espanyol-v-betis/winner
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TightEnd
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« Reply #114379 on: March 03, 2016, 10:50:04 AM »

not great for our arsenal bet last night. big game on saturday

bet365 have Leicester 7/4, Spurs 2/1, Arsenal 10/3, Man City 7/1, Man Utd 33/1



not great for our sunderland bet last night, looks like 3 from 4



watford lost too, late on

 Click to see full-size image.


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hector62
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« Reply #114380 on: March 03, 2016, 11:27:52 AM »

Morning Tighty.

Today's super league sees unfashionable Salford hosting tournament favourites Warrington. Warrington have the best pack in the tournament but they have weaknesses in the backs, especially at centre and fullback. They also have no idea where Ratchford should play and as a consequence they lose their pattern from week to week.

Salford have changed their team again this season, as the owner is wont to do, and have started well. They stuffed St Helens the week before the world challenge games, and have competed against both Wigan and Hull which are good markers. There is one very significant omission from the St Helens lineup and that is Daryl Clark, who is injured. All in all 2 to 1 is good enough to back Salford to win this game.

Suggest £15 Salford @ 2-1 with betfred.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #114381 on: March 03, 2016, 12:37:17 PM »

Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Salford v Warrington
Match Betting (80 Mins)
   Salford   2/1   
Total stake   15.00
Estimated return   45.00
Full stake   15.00
Full estimated return   45.00
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TightEnd
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« Reply #114382 on: March 03, 2016, 02:17:34 PM »

Swansea are at home on Saturday, if anyone wants to try this one

 Click to see full-size image.


IBAS are on http://www.ibas-uk.com/contact.php
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TightEnd
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« Reply #114383 on: March 03, 2016, 02:23:30 PM »

i was chatting to someone at the weekend who is involved in the industry, and he was saying how well the various "football accumulator" sites are doing on social media. Whereas its quite tough to get someone to click a link on a standard betting article etc the acca pages/accounts have no such problem.

they pump out images all day every day and the masses join up and follow

anyway, apropos nothing up pops one this morning whwere a punter had a £2 goliath and won £150k

so what, you might think?

well the so what is he had mainz at 25-1 and swansea at 12-1 in his goliath (247 bets: 28 doubles, 56 trebles, 70 four-folds, 56 five-folds, 28 six-folds, 8 seven-folds and an eight-fold accumulator. so £500 bet here give or take)

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NoCardDSC
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« Reply #114384 on: March 03, 2016, 03:28:20 PM »

Swansea are at home on Saturday, if anyone wants to try this one

 Click to see full-size image.


IBAS are on http://www.ibas-uk.com/contact.php

Love this - tried to get on it but it has now already been changed.

What happens here if you get it through the Swansea game. Are they obliged to pay out? I'm guessing not, somehow, but surely you'd have a big argument for it.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #114385 on: March 03, 2016, 06:40:04 PM »

anything for tonight?

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league
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DMorgan
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« Reply #114386 on: March 03, 2016, 06:44:27 PM »

Raymond Most 180s vs Michael Smith at 2.9 with betfair SB is huge, raymond has made more 180s per leg than Michael Smith in the last year, no idea why he isn't favourite

Rec £100

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/michael-smith-v-raymond-van-barneveld/most-180s
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Peter-27
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« Reply #114387 on: March 03, 2016, 06:50:33 PM »

Celtic don't have a congested fixture list, we have a shit team and a clueless manager.

Wanna swap?

"I don't really understand how prices can ever be "right", EVER. Bookies might well use a host of statistics, analytical modelling tools etc. etc., however at the end of the day, all prices are still essentially opinion based. Opinions can never be RIGHT or WRONG, can they?"

The SP on Betfair is always right for any event in which a decent chunk has been traded. It's impossible for them to be 'wrong'.

Defend?

Andrew Benson, BBC

If I could have had one guess ..

The BBC sport online is so poor compared to five years ago it's untrue

I probably don't read enough articles to comment on BBC Sport's content, I have no problem with them. It's Andrew Benson I have an issue with.
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DMorgan
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« Reply #114388 on: March 03, 2016, 06:53:06 PM »

Raymond to win vs Smith also is a touch overpriced with sp0rtingbet and Choral at 2.2 imo but wouldn't take a smaller price. Beats him in every stat and beats exchange price

Will probs have to be quick though, blose were 2.2 also and just chopped to 2.1

Rec another £100

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/michael-smith-v-raymond-van-barneveld/winner
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TightEnd
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« Reply #114389 on: March 03, 2016, 06:57:46 PM »


Michael Smith v Raymond van Barneveld

    19/10
    £290.00
    Raymond van Barneveld
    Most 180s

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000201

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By the way, I'm leaving out today
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