Tips for Tikay

[BorntoBubble]

F1 spread markets are out on Spin if anyone is interested.  McClaren pitched at the 130 mark.  Rosberg 45 points behind Lewis if Peter is correct that Rosberg will dominate him this year.

On McLaren I don't really see why Button is at 57 and Alonso is at 80 in a lowish scoring car?

Unfortunately there's nothing anywhere as near as good as what we had last year with Force India & McLaren. Although those two were placed in-season, so we may well get some big value then.

The only worthwhile spot I can see is selling McLaren @ 119, which I've done at £20 per point. I would be amazed if McLaren score over 50 ..

Other spots that have slim value are selling Ferrari @ 518 points, or selling Alonso @ 72. I won't be betting on these two personally though. I tend to only do spreads when I'm near certain.

Thanks for pointing out the market had gone up DungBeetle

P.S. TFT really needs to get a regular working spread account, SPIN have a lot of value race-by-race which we should take advantage of!

Many of us have had issues with spread accounts, namely "uncontrollable" loses. With a place like this where everything is document and we are betting with Tikay's money it is hard to place a bet knowing he could lose say £1,000 even though most of the time you are in the £200+-£200 region i know last year some people "got on" for Tikay but i think its back to this principle of whack the bets up if Tikay feels comfortable then go for it, if not if 5 Freddies get on and it wins then that is great stuff.

[DungBeetle]

F1 spread markets are out on Spin if anyone is interested.  McClaren pitched at the 130 mark.  Rosberg 45 points behind Lewis if Peter is correct that Rosberg will dominate him this year.

On McLaren I don't really see why Button is at 57 and Alonso is at 80 in a lowish scoring car?

Unfortunately there's nothing anywhere as near as good as what we had last year with Force India & McLaren. Although those two were placed in-season, so we may well get some big value then.

The only worthwhile spot I can see is selling McLaren @ 119, which I've done at £20 per point. I would be amazed if McLaren score over 50 ..

Other spots that have slim value are selling Ferrari @ 518 points, or selling Alonso @ 72. I won't be betting on these two personally though. I tend to only do spreads when I'm near certain.

Thanks for pointing out the market had gone up DungBeetle

P.S. TFT really needs to get a regular working spread account, SPIN have a lot of value race-by-race which we should take advantage of!

If Fred wants to sell at 119 I'll take the other side of it up to £20 a point.  I think they'll be a bit better this year.

[bergeroo]

For the early risers or people who are up late. Match starts at 9:30am tomorrow

Ryan Campbell, top Hong Kong runscorer vs Zimbabwe T20 world cup
8-1 P.Power

At 44 years old he is probably the oldest player in the tournament? He is a former Western Australian one day specialist. He didn't play for Hong Kong in the Asia cup. For the two warm up matches he came in and opened. scoring 6 in 5 balls on his debut and top scoring with 46 off 42 in his second match (where he also took a couple of wickets). The two openers for the Asia cup played down the innings in these two matches.

Based on the latest knock, his pedigree, the fact they brought him in and the lack of form of the other openers, I'd say he will play and if he plays he opens. Best price elsewhere is much shorter than that.

This particular market seems to have been missed off the oddschecker markets, which perhaps explains the discrepancy?
http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-world-cup/hong-kong-v-zimbabwe/winner

Seems like a great spot to me for those who have an account with this bookmaker

Don't know if it is ok or not ok to post a link direct to the market, but it should be easy to find.

[bergeroo]

Ryan Campbell
http://www.espncricinfo.com/magazine/content/story/973025.html

[bergeroo]

think the price has gone now. Will be looking forward to the match tomorrow!

[DungBeetle]

Peter any thoughts on good old Force India this year?  Will they kick on again or do you think a similar show to last year?  Any other midfield runners that have impressed you in testing?

[AndrewT]

Ryan Campbell did open for Hong Kong but was out for 9.

[TightEnd]

Peter any thoughts on good old Force India this year?  Will they kick on again or do you think a similar show to last year?  Any other midfield runners that have impressed you in testing?

this is a reasonable summary of every team http://www.formula1.com/content/fom-website/en/latest/features/2016/3/who-fared-best-in-pre-season----team-by-team-analysis.html

i had in mind force india and toro rosso in some form when sub-markets go up, fwiw 

[bergeroo]

Campbell didn't look in great nick to be fair and was out for nine. Still think it was a decent spot to put a bet on

[nellberg]

Campbell didn't look in great nick to be fair and was out for nine. Still think it was a decent spot to put a bet on

I'd punt almost any opener in T20 at 8/1 tbf, so regardless of result it seems a dece spot

[MattyHollis]

Wimbledon card on Sky tonight. I've not had a chance to look as too busy today however we do have some interest anyway.

In the 7.59 it's the final of the Springbok and we have Brinkleysdominic in Trap 5 antepost. Sadly not drawn the stripes however in these novice hurdles finals you never really know. He will be coming home quicker than any but it may be too little too late. We have the each way terms top 4.

Also, in the 9.08 last race of the night it's the Juvenile. Our interest here lies in Trap 5, Lenson Panda who we are on at 50/1 I think for the Greyhound Derby. His first competitive race this side of the Irish sea, he trialled well last week round Wimbledon. I think he is around 33/1 best for the Derby now and tonight could see him even shorter with a good run.

[horseplayer]

Campbell didn't look in great nick to be fair and was out for nine. Still think it was a decent spot to put a bet on

I'd punt almost any opener in T20 at 8/1 tbf, so regardless of result it seems a dece spot

Agreed any opener at is a cracking spot good spot

[bergeroo]

Laddies currently have a price boost of India 5/2 to win the T20 tournament for anyone wanting to back them. Best 2/1 elsewhere.

[tikay]

Wimbledon card on Sky tonight. I've not had a chance to look as too busy today however we do have some interest anyway.

In the 7.59 it's the final of the Springbok and we have Brinkleysdominic in Trap 5 antepost. Sadly not drawn the stripes however in these novice hurdles finals you never really know. He will be coming home quicker than any but it may be too little too late. We have the each way terms top 4.

Also, in the 9.08 last race of the night it's the Juvenile. Our interest here lies in Trap 5, Lenson Panda who we are on at 50/1 I think for the Greyhound Derby. His first competitive race this side of the Irish sea, he trialled well last week round Wimbledon. I think he is around 33/1 best for the Derby now and tonight could see him even shorter with a good run.

Good luck with these, Matty. Either or both would do nicely.

[tikay]

Peter any thoughts on good old Force India this year?  Will they kick on again or do you think a similar show to last year?  Any other midfield runners that have impressed you in testing?

this is a reasonable summary of every team http://www.formula1.com/content/fom-website/en/latest/features/2016/3/who-fared-best-in-pre-season----team-by-team-analysis.html

i had in mind force india and toro rosso in some form when sub-markets go up, fwiw 

Please put some suggestion up, Rich, I'm keen to exploit our F1 edges, & we get a good 6 or 7 month sweat out of them. Peter will be giving us a few, too, & combined, we have a good shot at beating the markets.