Tips for Tikay

[Ledders]

Looking through the EPL prices, West Ham next weekend at home to Arsenal are 3/1.

Which is longer than Bournemouth are at home to Man City this week.

Thoughts?

[bergeroo]

NZ Ladies lost in the T20 semis today even though their opponents tried to throw it away.

No wicket for Kasperek and her own team mate tied with her at the top of the standings. There are a couple of bowlers one or two behind that could catch or pass her if they take a wicket or two in the final. Pretty disappointing end to the bet I have to say, but hopefully could at least chop it two or three ways.

[HutchGF]

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/dave-chisnall-v-peter-wright/winner

Premier League Darts

I think Peter Wright is a standout price Vs Chizzy tonight at 1.91. He has been consistently averaging 100+ and has significantly upped his 180 hitting ( Fred landed a bet on this earlier in the season). He made the final at the weekend in the German Open, losing to MvG and was unlucky not to beat Taylor last week when he posted both the highest average of the night and the most 180s. Chizzy on the other hand is suffering a crisis of confidence. He appears to be snatching at his third dart a lot and whilst his 180 hitting is still impressive, his finishing has been poor. He has mustered only 3 points all season in stark contrast to him making the final 4 last year.

Recommend £100 @ 1.91 Peter Wright to beat Dave Chisnall if none of the other darts boys have any objections.

[NoCardDSC]

What do the tennis heads thing about Kei Nishikori to win the Miami Open @ 9/1?

Looks to be playing some very good tennis, Murray, Nadal, Wawrinka, Ferrer all out and is on the opposite draw to Djorkovic.

[TightEnd]

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/premier-league/dave-chisnall-v-peter-wright/winner

Premier League Darts

I think Peter Wright is a standout price Vs Chizzy tonight at 1.91. He has been consistently averaging 100+ and has significantly upped his 180 hitting ( Fred landed a bet on this earlier in the season). He made the final at the weekend in the German Open, losing to MvG and was unlucky not to beat Taylor last week when he posted both the highest average of the night and the most 180s. Chizzy on the other hand is suffering a crisis of confidence. He appears to be snatching at his third dart a lot and whilst his 180 hitting is still impressive, his finishing has been poor. He has mustered only 3 points all season in stark contrast to him making the final 4 last year.

Recommend £100 @ 1.91 Peter Wright to beat Dave Chisnall if none of the other darts boys have any objections.

no other views on this?

[Bazzaboy]

Chisnall has run pretty bad this year.  He has lost 5 on the spin but each of his opponents have averaged >102. His average this year is higher than it was after 8 weeks last year. He is under a lot of pressure tonight unlike his opponent and he can be a bit flaky in that regard.

[DMorgan]

Really interesting market shape for this match, prices are all over the place.

Hills have ducked it completely betting to 109%, Chizzy is as short as 19/10 with Blose but 5/2 with 888 and Un1bet

Long term Chizzy beats Wright in all categories so I'll be taking the 5/2

[arbboy]

Chisnall has run pretty bad this year.  He has lost 5 on the spin but each of his opponents have averaged >102. His average this year is higher than it was after 8 weeks last year. He is under a lot of pressure tonight unlike his opponent and he can be a bit flaky in that regard.

Pretty much this.  Chis got -12 GD.  Other two in bottom 3 have been hammered week in week out and are -20+.  Chis have been on the wrong side of several very close high class games.  Personally i would be laying Wright odds on tonight.  Remember this is a 3 way market with a draw not a 2 way market.  There isn't a great deal between Chis and Wright.   Wright should obviously be a marginal fav but not sure by this much.

[horseplayer]

Time for a flyer

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/cammidge-trophy/winner

Cammidge on Saturday usual suspects re appear one that interests me is GAMESOME especially at 33s.

Been unlucky to be trained by Olly Stephens all its career (now retired) the horses that have left him already have either returned to form or improved a tad which is little surprise as Stephens massively underachieved bar a few animals.

This one had some fair form for him and needs to improve at least 5lbs for the switch to Midgeley to get even competitive here. No reason why he shouldn't and only raced 11 times for OS so should be some more to come.

Obviously, an element of risk and the new trainer does not usually have them firing on all cylinders this early but at 33s you don't need much upside and this lad has a fair bit.

SUGGEST £20 WIN GAMESOME 33S BALDY

Not really a each way race or an each way profile, if he improves he goes close if he doesnt/needs the run likely to be nearer the back.

[HutchGF]

Fair enough lads, I accept your points and I'm happy for you to leave it Tighty.

I've waded in on my own dime and that's plenty for me.

Big night for our match bet Arb............

[TightEnd]

 20.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Betway Cammidge Trophy
Outright NRNB
   Gamesome   33/1   
Total stake   20.00
Estimated return   680.00
Full stake   20.00
Full estimated return   680.00

[arbboy]

Fair enough lads, I accept your points and I'm happy for you to leave it Tighty.

I've waded in on my own dime and that's plenty for me.

Big night for our match bet Arb............

Bank details sent!    Shame fred didnt get the 14/1 smith to finish bottom.  Assume some of the sharks did within a second of me putting it up.  Hello VC lol's.  How much that cost you?  One of the worse prices ever.  Only rookie in the field and you make him a 14/1 poke to finish bottom.  No betfair to copy they can't price up a coin flip.  Shame we can't get on though.  You sit in Gib in the sun lol'ing around pricing up stuff with your eyes closed.  Why bother?  This is why firms will not lay bets to lose a gtd figure as discussed on the other thread today.  They have no idea how to price stuff up. 

[Peter-27]

Okay guys, a big motorsport weekend coming up with the Bahrain GP and the Long Beach ePrix.

Here are my initial bet suggestions:

Bahrain GP

Race Winner: Sebastian Vettel @ 5/1 with tonnes of bookies including 366, Vicktor, Hills, Betfayre, Betaway. Due to the nature of the climate in Bahrain, this track always has the potential to mix things up, especially with the 2016 tyre rules and three dry tyre compounds. Suggest £15.

Podium Finish: Sergio Perez @ 14/1 with 366 and Paddipower. Similar reasoning to above. In addition, the Force India is kind on its tyres, as is Sergio; he is very strong on this track. Suggest £10.

Top Six Finish: Sergio Perez @ 23/10 with the exchange (9/4 with Viktor is okay too). Same reason as above. Suggest £25.

Not To Finish The Race: Romain Grosjean @ 6/5 with Brokes (11/10 with Hills and Viktor is okay) & Esteban Gutierrez @ 11/10 with 366 & Viktor. Haas suffered a number of high temperature failures in pre-season testing, and could suffer in Bahrain as a result. Suggest £20 on each.

Double Points Finish: Renault @ 22/1 with Beewin (20/1 with Hills is okay too). They're not THAT far off. Suggest £5.

Long Beach ePrix

Race Winner: Sam Bird @ 10/1 with SkaiBet and Brokes. Probably won't happen, Buemi should have it in the bag like usual, but it has certainly got a better chance than 10/1. Suggest £5 EW.

[BigAdz]

Fair enough lads, I accept your points and I'm happy for you to leave it Tighty.

I've waded in on my own dime and that's plenty for me.

Big night for our match bet Arb............

Bank details sent!    Shame fred didnt get the 14/1 smith to finish bottom.  Assume some of the sharks did within a second of me putting it up.  Hello VC lol's.  How much that cost you?  One of the worse prices ever.  Only rookie in the field and you make him a 14/1 poke to finish bottom.  No betfair to copy they can't price up a coin flip.  Shame we can't get on though.  You sit in Gib in the sun lol'ing around pricing up stuff with your eyes closed.  Why bother?

I know you have no regard for my ability as a punter. Not bothered.

However, I'm happy to say this was a great spot in essentially a two horse race.

I have done very well from this, across the Adz family accts, so tyvm(even as a non shrewdie).

[HutchGF]

Fair enough lads, I accept your points and I'm happy for you to leave it Tighty.

I've waded in on my own dime and that's plenty for me.

Big night for our match bet Arb............

Bank details sent!    Shame fred didnt get the 14/1 smith to finish bottom.  Assume some of the sharks did within a second of me putting it up.  Hello VC lol's.  How much that cost you?  One of the worse prices ever.  Only rookie in the field and you make him a 14/1 poke to finish bottom.  No betfair to copy they can't price up a coin flip.  Shame we can't get on though.  You sit in Gib in the sun lol'ing around pricing up stuff with your eyes closed.  Why bother?  This is why firms will not lay bets to lose a gtd figure as discussed on the other thread today.  They have no idea how to price stuff up. 

Stella tokens imminent mate. The £250 I had on Wright to win will soften the blow!