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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16402975 times)
Doobs
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« Reply #116760 on: April 30, 2016, 10:24:53 AM »

Stormy Atlantic 2000 guineas 8/1 with hills 50 e/w pls.  Will explain in a bit
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #116761 on: April 30, 2016, 10:30:31 AM »

Stormy Atlantic 2000 guineas 8/1 with hills 50 e/w pls.  Will explain in a bit

its 1/5 the odds 12 runners

everyone else is 1/4 the odds

Hills retrenching post cheltenham

do you want to go somewhere else?
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« Reply #116762 on: April 30, 2016, 10:50:39 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/thirsk/14:45/winner

Hugh Taylor put up interesting points in his column today and has put up two. Best trip and orions bow both from low draws. Traditionally high draws are a massive advantage at thirsk over sprint trips, as Hugh says today last week the reverse was true and low numbers held sway. Now that could be a one off but if it isn't there could be an angle.

I quite like kommander kirkup at 50s  (66s sportsbook) 10 each way. Drawn in the one box.

John Davies used to be an owner with Michael dods and has now gone alone last few years. He has done ok but the small number he has had run this turf season have all gone well.

The horse has horrid form figures but since a 2 year old he has been inconsistent. Finally the mark is back below the last winning one and Phil Dennis is a much improved claimer.

Horse could be gone e.t.c and if draw does reverse to the norm won't have much chance anyway.

I am willing to take a small  chance at 50s.

If anyone could get me a tenner each way personally at 66s with sportsbook  I'd appreciate it.

« Last Edit: April 30, 2016, 10:55:01 AM by horseplayer » Logged
Doobs
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« Reply #116763 on: April 30, 2016, 10:53:38 AM »

Stormy Atlantic 2000 guineas 8/1 with hills 50 e/w pls.  Will explain in a bit

its 1/5 the odds 12 runners

everyone else is 1/4 the odds

Hills retrenching post cheltenham

do you want to go somewhere else?

No.  I knew the terms.  Stormy Antarctic obv. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
JohnCharver
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« Reply #116764 on: April 30, 2016, 11:01:00 AM »

Stormy Atlantic 2000 guineas 8/1 with hills 50 e/w pls.  Will explain in a bit

its 1/5 the odds 12 runners

everyone else is 1/4 the odds

Hills retrenching post cheltenham

do you want to go somewhere else?

No.  I knew the terms.  Stormy Antarctic obv. 

365 are atm
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« Reply #116765 on: April 30, 2016, 11:04:15 AM »

Stormy Atlantic 2000 guineas 8/1 with hills 50 e/w pls.  Will explain in a bit

its 1/5 the odds 12 runners

everyone else is 1/4 the odds

Hills retrenching post cheltenham

do you want to go somewhere else?

No.  I knew the terms.  Stormy Antarctic obv. 

The horse is the only one to run well this year, has a liking for softish ground.  Because of that the place price must be value.  Fwiw both win and place beat betfair because of the shape of the race.  The favourite is supposedly wearing a tongue strap first time which must be a worry.  Pricewise came out for it last night, but I was always backing it at this price even before that.  

I note b365 had matched.  Meh.  Think I have done enough for thread on that score.  Hills are still a good price and we should take it.  

I have also backed Galileo Gold at 14/1 e/w.
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« Reply #116766 on: April 30, 2016, 11:07:53 AM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/thirsk/14:45/winner

Hugh Taylor put up interesting points in his column today and has put up two. Best trip and orions bow both from low draws. Traditionally high draws are a massive advantage at thirsk over sprint trips, as Hugh says today last week the reverse was true and low numbers held sway. Now that could be a one off but if it isn't there could be an angle.

I quite like kommander kirkup at 50s  (66s sportsbook) 10 each way. Drawn in the one box.

John Davies used to be an owner with Michael dods and has now gone alone last few years. He has done ok but the small number he has had run this turf season have all gone well.

The horse has horrid form figures but since a 2 year old he has been inconsistent. Finally the mark is back below the last winning one and Phil Dennis is a much improved claimer.

Horse could be gone e.t.c and if draw does reverse to the norm won't have much chance anyway.

I am willing to take a small  chance at 50s.

If anyone could get me a tenner each way personally at 66s with sportsbook  I'd appreciate it.


Jockeys only recently seem to have latched on to the fact that the far rail is quicker. I'm pretty sure it has been since they changed the watering system a lot of years ago but field splits have still been rare, even when 16+ line up.

Low numbers are definitely best when they split and a group of six or more head over.

https://www.periscope.tv/w/1djGXDLlaLPGZ

Epic viewing if anyone has an hour to kill.
« Last Edit: April 30, 2016, 11:10:55 AM by Chompy » Logged

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« Reply #116767 on: April 30, 2016, 11:09:57 AM »

Stormy Antarctic Newmarket 15:45 Winner
8/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/5 Odds)
Total Stake: £100.00
Potential Returns: £580.00
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« Reply #116768 on: April 30, 2016, 11:11:54 AM »

        Bet Type: Single
            Thirsk [14:45] 6f Handicap
                Kommander Kirkup 50/1
                Each Way: 1/4 1 - 4
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 645.00 GBP
    2 bets @
    10.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 20.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 645.00 GBP
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« Reply #116769 on: April 30, 2016, 11:36:31 AM »

Thanks to Fred regular who got me on

Appreciated
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« Reply #116770 on: April 30, 2016, 11:48:13 AM »

Not a bet but worth posting. You might well have seen the news about the NFL Draft and the lad who was held in many quarters as the best player in this year's crop of college graduates, Laremy Tunsil.

The NFL being American, the whole draft first round thing is done up like the Oscars, with a red carpet, the top players all dressed up and sitting in a green room with cameras on them all night until they get picked.



Then, just before the first pick was announced, he got told the news that his twitter account had just posted an image of him smoking marujuana:

 Click to see full-size image.


It's something the NFL takes seriously and teams are not likely to risk huge amounts of money on players with drug problems.

Over the next couple of hours, as teams picked other players, including guys in Tunsil's position of Offensive Tackle, the cameras came back to have a look at this young man's face. Tears in his eyes and a look of a mixture of fear and embarrasment on his face.

He was eventually taken at 13 by the Miami Dolphins, which the article below puts into financial context:

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/poor-timing--laremy-tunsil-takes-down-twitter-video-of-him-and-a-bong-001502430.html

The story is quite something. It even made it to the broadsheets here:

http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/apr/28/laremy-tunsil-gas-mask-tweet-nfl-draft-miami-dolphins

If he is clean and stays clean, he could be the steal of the draft.
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« Reply #116771 on: April 30, 2016, 11:52:35 AM »

Stormy Antarctic Newmarket 15:45 Winner
8/1 Each Way (3 Places at 1/5 Odds)
Total Stake: £100.00
Potential Returns: £580.00


Apparently he was short of work for the Craven, if that's accurate he's an even better bet, I think he's very solid. Walker also thinks he'll improve on the better ground.
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« Reply #116772 on: April 30, 2016, 11:52:59 AM »

Stoke drifting and now 9/4 with BetVictor. Go in again?
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« Reply #116773 on: April 30, 2016, 11:56:53 AM »

Not a bet but worth posting. You might well have seen the news about the NFL Draft and the lad who was held in many quarters as the best player in this year's crop of college graduates, Laremy Tunsil.

The NFL being American, the whole draft first round thing is done up like the Oscars, with a red carpet, the top players all dressed up and sitting in a green room with cameras on them all night until they get picked.



Then, just before the first pick was announced, he got told the news that his twitter account had just posted an image of him smoking marujuana:

 Click to see full-size image.


It's something the NFL takes seriously and teams are not likely to risk huge amounts of money on players with drug problems.

Over the next couple of hours, as teams picked other players, including guys in Tunsil's position of Offensive Tackle, the cameras came back to have a look at this young man's face. Tears in his eyes and a look of a mixture of fear and embarrasment on his face.

He was eventually taken at 13 by the Miami Dolphins, which the article below puts into financial context:

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/nfl-shutdown-corner/poor-timing--laremy-tunsil-takes-down-twitter-video-of-him-and-a-bong-001502430.html

The story is quite something. It even made it to the broadsheets here:

http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2016/apr/28/laremy-tunsil-gas-mask-tweet-nfl-draft-miami-dolphins

If he is clean and stays clean, he could be the steal of the draft.

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By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
tikay
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« Reply #116774 on: April 30, 2016, 12:02:30 PM »


I find that such a sad story.
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