Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

SDS treble tonight at Nottingham after his 4 day ban is up.  Nice bounce back day before RA starts to get back the lead he had lost during the ban.

[DungBeetle]

Czechs are currently 7/5 best price to qualify, Turkey 15/8.

Czechs were not the dogs in this group.

Edit:  https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/euro-2016/euro-2016-group-d-betting-preview-2016061006

[DungBeetle]

FTAO Peter


Can't tell if that's sarcasm because I should be better at stake sizing by now - or a genuine comment. I'm going to assume the latter, so thank you very much

That was in reply to sonour.

sonour does not really do sarcasm, Peter, & certainly does not "lolzz" the regulars here, so I think you can safely assume she was being genuinely complimentary.

Keep the stuff coming, the debate on bets for this race in the last few days have benefitted many of us.

Correct Tikay,

Peter, you have handled yourself very, very well on here. I'm not often impressed by 24 year olds.

Snap.

This weekend I feel like I've made a number of friends and foes on this small community, and I have felt somewhat pressured to defend myself, despite my strong record to date. Therefore, these words mean a lot, thank you very much

Not sure why you need to use the word "foe".  I simply pointed out that you shot down a 150-1 each way shot instantly.  We shouldn't be results orientated but obviously it was value and it was a selection which won.  If that makes me your enemy then fair enough.

[bergeroo]

Czechs are currently 7/5 best price to qualify, Turkey 15/8.

Czechs were not the dogs in this group.

Edit:  https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/euro-2016/euro-2016-group-d-betting-preview-2016061006

It doesn't really matter either way but to directly quote from the article from the Czech Republic section

"They are actually being classed as the outsiders to win this group "

This particular guy obviously thought the Czechs were value. I read a few other articles tipping up the Turan lead Turkey to do well in the group and I think it was even mentioned on here pre Croatia match (can't remember though)

Of course now Czechs should be shorter than Turkey to qualify as Turkey failed to get anything from Croatia and Czechs only lost 1-0 to Spain.

I thought Czechs played well and were tactically smart vs Spain. Rode their luck but couldn't hold out.

It is an interesting group and Spain have no gimmies here.

[DungBeetle]

Czechs are currently 7/5 best price to qualify, Turkey 15/8.

Czechs were not the dogs in this group.

Edit:  https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/euro-2016/euro-2016-group-d-betting-preview-2016061006

It doesn't really matter either way but to directly quote from the article from the Czech Republic section

"They are actually being classed as the outsiders to win this group "

This particular guy obviously thought the Czechs were value. I read a few other articles tipping up the Turan lead Turkey to do well in the group and I think it was even mentioned on here pre Croatia match (can't remember though)

Of course now Czechs should be shorter than Turkey to qualify as Turkey failed to get anything from Croatia and Czechs only lost 1-0 to Spain.

I thought Czechs played well and were tactically smart vs Spain. Rode their luck but couldn't hold out.

It is an interesting group and Spain have no gimmies here.

Obviously I can reply by quoting the ante post odds but there is no value in me doing that.

Not really sure where we are going with this except I think Croatia look decent and Spain still have questions over them as a long term tournament prospect.

Love your cricket tips by the way

[Doobs]

I have just picked out a couple at Ascot tomorrow.

Waady seems bigger than he should be in the Kings Stand at 14/1.  Young enough to be still improving and seems better on the ground, where as others will dislike it.  fred and tote are quarter first 4.  Not sure what this means for a non handicap if we go below 16, but Fred'ss ite says: "We are paying FOUR PLACES on all each way bets in this race".  There are no minimum runners I can see, so I will chance it.   Suggest £25 e/w with FRed or the tote.

Penglai Pavillion is intriging in the 17.00.  He ran very well in the Arc for Andre Fabre, then joined Charlie Appleby and inevitably Godolphinned*.  He has dropped from the Arc to a winter over the hurdles and a 95 handicapper on the flat.  He seems to suit the ground, as he should as he is by Monsun.  Could easily trail in last, but a 2 stone drop in class should be enough.  Suggest £25 e/w

I have a couple more (one in each of the above races), but am going to wait to see if the prices get better in the morning.

I am also planning to put up £50 e/w on Galileo Gold in the 4.20, which is going to be a great bet if all 8 run.  WIth 3 outsiders, the place terms are hugely in our favour and I think he is much nearer the front 2 than the betting suggests.  If we don't get the 8 runners, then I still think he is a good win only bet.  For now we must wait on the 8 runners.

The first race looks a cracker, but too difficult, and am going to give the 2 year old races a miss for now.

* Defined as a previously high class horse joining Godolphin only to finish last repeatably until sold for two pence or ending up running in a much lower grade.

   

[bergeroo]

Czechs are currently 7/5 best price to qualify, Turkey 15/8.

Czechs were not the dogs in this group.

Edit:  https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/euro-2016/euro-2016-group-d-betting-preview-2016061006

It doesn't really matter either way but to directly quote from the article from the Czech Republic section

"They are actually being classed as the outsiders to win this group "

This particular guy obviously thought the Czechs were value. I read a few other articles tipping up the Turan lead Turkey to do well in the group and I think it was even mentioned on here pre Croatia match (can't remember though)

Of course now Czechs should be shorter than Turkey to qualify as Turkey failed to get anything from Croatia and Czechs only lost 1-0 to Spain.

I thought Czechs played well and were tactically smart vs Spain. Rode their luck but couldn't hold out.

It is an interesting group and Spain have no gimmies here.

Obviously I can reply by quoting the ante post odds but there is no value in me doing that.

Not really sure where we are going with this except I think Croatia look decent and Spain still have questions over them as a long term tournament prospect.

Love your cricket tips by the way

WH currently out of line for Croatia to win the group. Worth a bet?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/group-d/winner

[DungBeetle]

Czechs are currently 7/5 best price to qualify, Turkey 15/8.

Czechs were not the dogs in this group.

Edit:  https://www.punterslounge.com/betting-tips/football/euro-2016/euro-2016-group-d-betting-preview-2016061006

It doesn't really matter either way but to directly quote from the article from the Czech Republic section

"They are actually being classed as the outsiders to win this group "

This particular guy obviously thought the Czechs were value. I read a few other articles tipping up the Turan lead Turkey to do well in the group and I think it was even mentioned on here pre Croatia match (can't remember though)

Of course now Czechs should be shorter than Turkey to qualify as Turkey failed to get anything from Croatia and Czechs only lost 1-0 to Spain.

I thought Czechs played well and were tactically smart vs Spain. Rode their luck but couldn't hold out.

It is an interesting group and Spain have no gimmies here.

Obviously I can reply by quoting the ante post odds but there is no value in me doing that.

Not really sure where we are going with this except I think Croatia look decent and Spain still have questions over them as a long term tournament prospect.

Love your cricket tips by the way

WH currently out of line for Croatia to win the group. Worth a bet?

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/group-d/winner

To be honest my mind is being fried by the lop sided nature of the draw.  Pretty sure some bigger teams will be well served by coming 2nd if they get to play late in proceedings when the 2nd half draw is formed!

[Chompy]

Wiiiiii, SDS back and fully refreshed.

He's doing double meetings the next few days too and, all things being equal, should soon be clear again.

Peter, keep doing what you're doing. I haven't noticed anyone foe-ing you, and the ones that make seemingly positive comments while actually being negative aren't worth listening to. Keep doing what you're doing imo.

[DungBeetle]

Wiiiiii, SDS back and fully refreshed.

He's doing double meetings the next few days too and, all things being equal, should soon be clear again.

Peter, keep doing what you're doing. I haven't noticed anyone foe-ing you, and the ones that make seemingly positive comments while actually being negative aren't worth listening to. Keep doing what you're doing imo.

In the interests of transparency are you talking about me?   I observed that two of Doobs' big odds picks were shot down instantly.   Are you referring to me Chompy as we've always seen eye to eye on some lower league stuff but if you want me to f*ck off then I will.

[baldock92]

Any love for Patrick Reed at 50's (1/4 odds 6 places) for the us open?

Yep. I really think this week is going to be about game management and the ability to limit big scores from around the greens. Reed currently leading the Tour in strokes gained around the green.

Ok cool, I've not managed to watch loads of golf this year but he seems to be able to get himself in good positions and score well. Think a small bet here would be good for Fred.

I'm also on Fitzpatrick straight after watching him at the masters, and Matsuyama.

I love Matty but isn't this course supposed to be a monster? Not done any work on it so far, but if it is, just feels like he may struggle vs the big big hitters.

Sorry probably didn't make myself clear, I put the suggestion forward of Patrick Reed for Fred, and the other 2 were just a couple of punts I've had personally.

[Chompy]

Wiiiiii, SDS back and fully refreshed.

He's doing double meetings the next few days too and, all things being equal, should soon be clear again.

Peter, keep doing what you're doing. I haven't noticed anyone foe-ing you, and the ones that make seemingly positive comments while actually being negative aren't worth listening to. Keep doing what you're doing imo.

In the interests of transparency are you talking about me?   I observed that two of Doobs' big odds picks were shot down instantly.   Are you referring to me Chompy as we've always seen eye to eye on some lower league stuff but if you want me to f*ck off then I will.

Hell no.

[DungBeetle]

Hell no.

Oh okay.  In case you didn't notice I'm drunk so feel free to rub my belly.  Just waiting for Arb to show up so everything can really kick off.

[Jamier-Host]

Ukraine lowest scoring team @ 33/1?

Ok they have N.Ireland before Poland but could easily blank both of those. Seems plenty big enough to me for a wager.

Min bet is £100 these days right given the enormous bankroll?

[nirvana]

Lets all just get on..eh