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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13642454 times)
Peter-27
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« Reply #119175 on: July 01, 2016, 08:07:15 PM »

An interesting - albeit unsurprising - two sessions in Austria today.

No further bets to recommend based on what we saw.
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« Reply #119176 on: July 01, 2016, 08:09:50 PM »

A double for Ryan today brings him to within ten of SDS, who has another 11 days on the sidelines.

My gut feeling is we'll be about level by the time the ban is served. Looks an easy trade at 7-4.

Tbh though, still think SDS gets there in the end. If we're within five come 12 June I might go in again.
« Last Edit: July 01, 2016, 08:12:33 PM by Chompy » Logged

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« Reply #119177 on: July 01, 2016, 08:29:06 PM »


This is a good question and I have dug around a few sites for their rules, which many differ on. I am too hungover to think of the permutations/instances where the bets could go wrong, so have compiled the relevant rules below with the:
differing parts in red
my comments in blue
contradictory(?) parts underlined

Coral
45.13 Match Sixes

How many sixes will be hit in the match?
In limited overs matches, bets will be void if it has not been possible to complete at least 80% of the overs scheduled to be bowled due to external factors, including bad weather, unless settlement of the bet has already been determined. (so 32 in t20, 80 in ODIs)
Only sixes scored from the bat (off any delivery – legal or not) will count towards the total sixes. Overthrows and extras do not count.
Sixes scored in a super over do not count.

B365
Total Match Sixes
If a match is abandoned due to outside interference then all bets will be void unless settlement is already determined. (so we'd win the overs bet that happens before a game is abandoned when no. of sixes is sitting in the scoop area, and the unders part would be voided )
In One Day matches both teams must face at least 40 overs each, otherwise bets void, unless settlement of bets is already determined.
In Twenty20 matches the match must be scheduled for the full 20 overs and there must be an official result unless settlement of bets is already determined. In One Day matches where the number of overs has been reduced and the outcome has not already been determined then bets will be void. For settlement purposes this is all deliveries from which a batsman is credited with exactly six runs (including All-run/Overthrows) (very rare that this happens). In matches decided by a Super-Over, sixes hit during the Super-Over will not count for settlement purposes.

888
Limited Overs (including One-Day Internationals, Twenty20s & Domestic One-Day cricket)
1.Should a match be transferred to a ‘reserve’ day, all bets will remain valid. (only site to mention this, AFAICS)
For “Total Fours/Sixes/Wides/Run-outs” betting, should the intervention of rain (or any other delay) result in the number of Overs being reduced from those initially scheduled at the time the bet was accepted, then all open bets will be declared void granted that the reduction per Innings is of 3 or more Overs in a Twenty 20 match, and of 5 or more in other limited Overs matches. In case that the reduction per Innings is of 2 or less Overs in a Twenty 20 match, and of 4 or less Overs in other limited Overs matches bets will stand. Should the outcome of such offers be already decided before the interruption and no further play would possibly change the outcome of such bets, then these will be settled accordingly.

PP
Over/Under Total Match Sixes/Fours
If either team’s innings in a limited overs match is reduced by more than 20% of the original allocation of overs (more than 4 in t20, 10 in ODIs) then all bets on this market shall be void regardless of how many sixes/fours are hit prior to or after any announced reduction in overs.


Does all the above mean that it's too risky to do these bets when there is risk of rain?

Adding William Hill

If the intervention of rain or any other delay results in the number of overs being reduced from that scheduled when the bet was struck, all open bets on totals in a Twenty 20 match will be void if the reduction is by 3 or more overs and void in other limited overs matches if the reduction is by 5 or more overs.

Assume that means 3 overs per innings, so you need at least 18 played.
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« Reply #119178 on: July 01, 2016, 08:57:50 PM »

How much we got on Muzza?
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« Reply #119179 on: July 01, 2016, 09:04:51 PM »

How much we got on Muzza?

£200 e/w 1/2 1,2 at 7/2.
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« Reply #119180 on: July 01, 2016, 09:09:45 PM »

How much we got on Muzza?

£200 e/w 1/2 1,2 at 7/2.

Looking like a decent price with Novak currently getting Queeried all ends up. Smiley
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« Reply #119181 on: July 01, 2016, 10:37:00 PM »

Time to back Wales for the world cup 2018 now.  Be quick.  Play up the Murray profits in advance!
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« Reply #119182 on: July 01, 2016, 10:44:32 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner

Bale same price as Vardy for spoty?  Really?
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baldock92
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« Reply #119183 on: July 01, 2016, 11:55:07 PM »

Hi, running late for work so I'll make this quick. Take it or leave it:

Saido Berahino to sign for stoke by the end of the transfer window 5/4 with the Irish firm, reccomend £40.

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« Reply #119184 on: July 02, 2016, 12:12:45 AM »

Seems the Eclipse has gone a bit wrong for us.  Ground is firming up,  so we need a thunderstorm or two.  We probably still get a bit of value on the place price, but the win price we have is pretty terrible. 

Nobody 3 Places for the grand prix either.   We had a good run.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
maldini32
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« Reply #119185 on: July 02, 2016, 09:57:01 AM »

Morning all,

Maths people - bet. What's better

Over 12.5 @ 8/13 or over 13.5 @ 21/20

The under line is 15.5 @ 8/11



« Last Edit: July 02, 2016, 10:00:22 AM by maldini32 » Logged
maldini32
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« Reply #119186 on: July 02, 2016, 10:07:37 AM »

To the naked eye the 21/20 looks better
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sonour
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« Reply #119187 on: July 02, 2016, 10:17:41 AM »

The 8/11 and 21/20 is -6% for the 2 sixes middle

The 8/11 and the 8/13 is -16.5% for the 3 sixes middle.

So the 21/20 looks better.
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maldini32
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« Reply #119188 on: July 02, 2016, 10:32:48 AM »

St kitts T20 in the CPL today.

Over 13.5 @21/20 with Khoral
Under 15.5 @8/11 with pp

I didn't get much on with pp so check before you hammer both sides
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DropTheHammer
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« Reply #119189 on: July 02, 2016, 10:46:45 AM »

Morning all,

Maths people - bet. What's better

Over 12.5 @ 8/13 or over 13.5 @ 21/20

The under line is 15.5 @ 8/11

The over 12.5 @ 8/13 gives you three scoops but at -16.53% ROI (a 6/1 shot at a ~2/1 shot happening)
The over 13.5 @ 21/20 gives you two scoops at -6.26% (nearly a 16/1 shot at a 4/1 shot happening)

So they're both maths bets but the o13.5 one at 21/20 gives the best long-term return (but higher variance).
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