Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Going to offer my bet for the season

Been informed that things at Hull are even worse than actually  reported  (if possible )

Struggling to even put a side out this Saturday against a confident Leicester side with loads of pace up front.

Recommend  £100 at 11-10 with Bet 365 and others pretty sure this will go before Saturday.

hello there was a good discussion on this a week or so ago on here with Leicester at 5/4 if you'd like to check back. (which i liked and i don't normally like to tip my side)

the very sensible amongst us pointed out that the corollary of taking 5/4 away was taking them at 1/3 ish at home. which might be right in this instance i suppose but put me off a bit

anyway lets re-open the debate

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/hull-v-leicester/winner

 

[Horneris]

Look, I am not stopping posting. My tip will be up later. But still no sign of anyone else putting a tip up. If you are going to criticise then prove your credentials.

You don't have to put up a tip in every tournament mate. No one has to "prove their credentials" by doing so.

I ran my outright tennis model on Mexico earlier and couldn't find any value. Bottom half looked weaker (don't rate the aging Karlovic as high on a slower hard court and Tomic should probably be fav but can be anything). Almagro, Verdasco and Mannarino just aren't playing good enough tennis to be a bet at the prices.

[NoCardDSC]

Leicester at 11/10 is a bet imo.

Like you say things are potentially worse than reported and I think that is the case - with us yet to get a manager in, no players being signed, not even being linked to anybody other than the odd loan rumour with 5 days till the start of the season - just screams signs of crisis.

I've also heard Villa have activated Abel H's release clause and Liverpool are still interesting in Robertson.

[hhyftrftdr]

Really think we should be lumping on Leicester at anything above EVS.

[TightEnd]

closes eyes, blames the world in advance

        Bet Type: Single
            Hull City v Leicester City Match Prices
                Leicester City 11/10
        Possible Payout (inc. stake) 210.00 GBP
    1 bet @
    100.00 GBP

    Total Cost: 100.00 GBP
    Total Possible Payout (inc. stake): 210.00 GBP

[Weetabix]

I agree Horneris, Tomic took out the bogota tournament the last two years so obviously likes the conditions.  Switching to Mexico you would have to hope he hasn't just flew out to enjoy the surroundings as opposed to the tennis, looks a stunning place.  Not sure you would want to take 7/2 but looks the obvious pick to make the final in a weak bottom half.  Feliciano Lopez looks the pick from the top half, recent winner in Gstaad so full of confidence.  Interested to hear hectors thoughts later today.

Tightend, do you have any bets placed on 'The Donald'?

I recommend the newbie bet on 'The Donald' 3/1 boyles or even the 11/4 on offer with a few.  I am hoping Helmut Norpoth and his statistical model has this right.  I have my own interest in Trump at much bigger prices but have topped up at 3/1.  He was as short as 7/4 a few days ago and drifted after he upset Mrs Khan.

[TightEnd]

Tightend, do you have any bets placed on 'The Donald'?

I recommend the newbie bet on 'The Donald' 3/1 boyles or even the 11/4 on offer with a few.  I am hoping Helmut Norpoth and his statistical model has this right.  I have my own interest in Trump at much bigger prices but have topped up at 3/1.  He was as short as 7/4 a few days ago and drifted after he upset Mrs Khan.

why do we want to back Trump?

what does Herr Norpoth's statistical model say?

[RobS]

I agree Horneris, Tomic took out the bogota tournament the last two years so obviously likes the conditions.  Switching to Mexico you would have to hope he hasn't just flew out to enjoy the surroundings as opposed to the tennis, looks a stunning place.  Not sure you would want to take 7/2 but looks the obvious pick to make the final in a weak bottom half.  Feliciano Lopez looks the pick from the top half, recent winner in Gstaad so full of confidence.  Interested to hear hectors thoughts later today.

Tightend, do you have any bets placed on 'The Donald'?

I recommend the newbie bet on 'The Donald' 3/1 boyles or even the 11/4 on offer with a few.  I am hoping Helmut Norpoth and his statistical model has this right.  I have my own interest in Trump at much bigger prices but have topped up at 3/1.  He was as short as 7/4 a few days ago and drifted after he upset Mrs Khan.

If ever a bet suggestion was deserving of ridicule it's this one.

[Weetabix]

Norpoth says his model has been wrong just once based on the data, in 2000 it had al gore as the winner which was wrong.  95% chance he has Trump in the oval office. Yes it could be wrong again but I'm hoping he isn't, I have held a big price Trump betslip for a very long time, I have gone in again at . Do you see Hillary as a fair price? Horrible price?  Do you have any bets already struck in this market?

[Weetabix]

Ridicule away, i don't see how he is a 3/1 shot in this 2 horse race.  I gather you must have lumped on Hillary at 1/2 last week then?

[TightEnd]

no we don't have any clinton/trump bets

if i was to back it i would do so at 4.6 on the exchange not 3/1

tell me why you think he'll win (politically neutrally).....

[exstream]

3/1 is value if 4.6 on exchange

[RobS]

Ridicule away, i don't see how he is a 3/1 shot in this 2 horse race.  I gather you must have lumped on Hillary at 1/2 last week then?

Tipping something at 11/4 or 3/1 with joke bookmakers when four figures is available on Betfair at 4.6 is what's ridiculous!

[exstream]

Ridicule away, i don't see how he is a 3/1 shot in this 2 horse race.  I gather you must have lumped on Hillary at 1/2 last week then?

Tipping something at 11/4 or 3/1 with joke bookmakers when four figures is available on Betfair at 4.6 is what's ridiculous!

Value

[Weetabix]

The last time I looked their was no liquidity in that market, obviously there is now.  I can't say for certain he will
Win nor can any other person but don't see him as a 3-1/4.5 shot.   No other reason, in your opinion if you were pricing this book how would you have it?