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hector62
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« Reply #123060 on: October 29, 2016, 11:09:44 AM » |
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In the rugby league today England to beat New Zealand by 1-12 points @ 9/4 with Hills.
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Puristville, Arizona. Population (1)
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123061 on: October 29, 2016, 11:22:57 AM » |
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£20 Burnley to win at Man U is on, W Hills. 18-1 only with someone ludicrous like 188nobet.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123062 on: October 29, 2016, 11:24:21 AM » |
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In the rugby league today England to beat New Zealand by 1-12 points @ 9/4 with Hills.
could you give me a line as to why please? i can guess but it helps. i note the Kiwis are marginal favourites |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123063 on: October 29, 2016, 11:25:08 AM » |
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In the rugby league today England to beat New Zealand by 1-12 points @ 9/4 with Hills.
could you give me a line as to why please? i can guess but it helps. i note the Kiwis are marginal favourites and how much? £20? £15? |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Doobs
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« Reply #123064 on: October 29, 2016, 11:26:45 AM » |
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£20 Burnley to win at Man U is on, W Hills. 18-1 only with someone ludicrous like 188nobet.
Was 18/1 available when you put the bet on? I put £25 on yesterday at 18/1 if thread wanted it. No bother if you didn't. |
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123065 on: October 29, 2016, 11:29:20 AM » |
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£20 Burnley to win at Man U is on, W Hills. 18-1 only with someone ludicrous like 188nobet.
Was 18/1 available when you put the bet on? I put £25 on yesterday at 18/1 if thread wanted it. No bother if you didn't. no it wasn't oh sorry, misunderstood we'll take yours then (er, come on Burnley) |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Chompy
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« Reply #123066 on: October 29, 2016, 11:37:14 AM » |
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£50 Makzeem, 3.30 Newmarket, 3-1 Coral.
Newmarket fast ground means we should be looking for prominent racers in all races and this one is full of hold-up rofflers.
He was heavily punted last time despite a killer draw over further at Doncaster and ran better than his final position given he was always trapped deep on the pace. Charlton always knows what he's got and he'll try to make all this arvo. Great bet.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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TightEnd
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« Reply #123067 on: October 29, 2016, 11:39:58 AM » |
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Makzeem
Newmarket 15:30 Winner
3/1
Total Stake: £50.00
Total Returns: £200.00
Coral
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Tonibell
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« Reply #123068 on: October 29, 2016, 12:35:57 PM » |
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Love the Makzeem bet [cue missing the jump, him pulling his head off etc]. Saw this on Flatstats twitter. Sample size but doesn't hurt to know.  |
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horseplayer
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« Reply #123069 on: October 29, 2016, 12:42:21 PM » |
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I like two for two in that heat
Fell the new name in the old o meara yard 3 winner's lately horse is fairly treated just hope is ridden more forward than of late.
I'd play at 11s plus each way
Gd lk all
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bergeroo
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« Reply #123070 on: October 29, 2016, 12:43:35 PM » |
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x posted from the WSOP betting thread: Winning Hole Cards. Any pocket pair 7/1 http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winning-hole-cardsI've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up. Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments) WSOP Mains 13/44 12/35 WSOP 2016 9/34 WSOP 2015 excluding main 5/33 WSOP 2014 excluding main 6/36 WSOP 2013 excluding main 10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that) 16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair. We can bet it at 7/1. The maths seem onside. Only available in two spots, see how much you can get on with them both! |
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« Last Edit: October 29, 2016, 12:47:04 PM by bergeroo »
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Chompy
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« Reply #123071 on: October 29, 2016, 12:50:23 PM » |
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Interesting R.Charlton stat that. He doesn't often run them again quickly thinking about it and he couldn't have framed a better race than this one.
Now just need Ruane to win the main with a pocket pair and I'm sorted.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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doubleup
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« Reply #123072 on: October 29, 2016, 12:56:35 PM » |
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Love the Makzeem bet [cue missing the jump, him pulling his head off etc]. Saw this on Flatstats twitter. Sample size but doesn't hurt to know. I subscribe to flatstats but some of the stats they come up with are complete super-roflers. They are just noise miners. |
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redsimon
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« Reply #123073 on: October 29, 2016, 12:59:13 PM » |
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x posted from the WSOP betting thread: Winning Hole Cards. Any pocket pair 7/1 http://www.oddschecker.com/poker/world-series-of-poker/winning-hole-cardsI've gone through the stats of winning hole cards from Wikipedia from no limit holdem tournaments where it shows the winning hand. I've excluded mixed games/Pot Limit/Limit and ante up. Here is my data: (pocket pairs/total tournaments) WSOP Mains 13/44 12/35 WSOP 2016 9/34 WSOP 2015 excluding main 5/33 WSOP 2014 excluding main 6/36 WSOP 2013 excluding main 10/45 EPT first five seasons (doesn't show hole cards on wikipedia after that) 16/38 WSOPE and Australia all time Total 71/265 tournies where the winning hand was a pocket pair. We can bet it at 7/1. The maths seem onside. Only available in two spots, see how much you can get on with them both! Aren't the odds of being dealt a pocket pair in Hold 'em nearer to 16/1? |
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doubleup
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« Reply #123074 on: October 29, 2016, 01:01:03 PM » |
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we are talking about the winning hand, so the chip leader is presumably more likely to set his oppo in with a pair and more likely to win
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