blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
July 26, 2025, 02:10:10 AM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2262448 Posts in 66607 Topics by 16991 Members
Latest Member: nolankerwin
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Tips for Tikay
0 Members and 46 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 8218 8219 8220 8221 [8222] 8223 8224 8225 8226 ... 9209 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16480536 times)
Tal
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 24288


"He's always at it!"


View Profile
« Reply #123315 on: November 06, 2016, 07:14:47 PM »

Available at 10's in 3 places and 9's in 2 I wouldn't say he's significantly out of line.

Been available at 14/1 all week too.

In my defence, I said significantly higher than most. The only other one offering tens is BFSB and good luck. The bookies most people can actually get on with (Marky and I aside) are 8/1.

And £10, which is at the low end of Fred stakes (and, as we know, lower stakes than Fred should be betting)

Poor maths, but I'm not keen on betting early in the week on first touchdown markets. Not unless I am very confident in the week's events. He was 10/1 best when I looked on Thursday afternoon and I'm slightly surprised that hasn't got shorter.

Small stakes interest only. Plus I have an atrocious record with Fred on this market. More chance of Kevin Wimmer being man of the match today Cheesy

Just because you and Marky are the only one that can take 9's doesn't mean he's significantly higher because we just discount those bookies. He's just not at all. He is also 10/1 with Hills as I type - where he had been 14/1 all week.

For some reason, I can't see that on Oddschecker, but fair enough. Had I realised, I wouldn't have put the bet on for Fred and could have saved my blushes.

I just saw:
10
10
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
7 (Scuy...)

Or similar. Rarely going to be doing much harm taking the top price, even if it turns out not to be great value.

Had he been 14/1 today, I would have recommended £25ish.

Anyway, good to discuss these things. My own fault for posting late. Lions have the ball presently, so it could shortly be academic.
Logged

"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Karabiner
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22812


James Webb Telescope


View Profile
« Reply #123316 on: November 06, 2016, 07:28:09 PM »

Available at 10's in 3 places and 9's in 2 I wouldn't say he's significantly out of line.

Been available at 14/1 all week too.

In my defence, I said significantly higher than most. The only other one offering tens is BFSB and good luck. The bookies most people can actually get on with (Marky and I aside) are 8/1.

And £10, which is at the low end of Fred stakes (and, as we know, lower stakes than Fred should be betting)

Poor maths, but I'm not keen on betting early in the week on first touchdown markets. Not unless I am very confident in the week's events. He was 10/1 best when I looked on Thursday afternoon and I'm slightly surprised that hasn't got shorter.

Small stakes interest only. Plus I have an atrocious record with Fred on this market. More chance of Kevin Wimmer being man of the match today Cheesy

I'm not sure why we ever stopped lumping it forward to that big guy Wimmer, meanwhile my gif is gathering dust...
Logged

"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
Cavey007
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 862


View Profile WWW
« Reply #123317 on: November 06, 2016, 08:30:51 PM »

Will dig out my tips for the nfl and see if I can find something suitable for you guys.

My best bet of the night was Saints -3.5 but that's long gone.

You've gotta be looking at that match still I think. Hightower looks good. That Saints coach said last week he had earn more play after Ingram fumbled. Again. It looks like it will be a committee there however Hightower I believe will be the starter, he was 13/5 anytime at paddy but I don't think you guys can get on there. Looks like 13/8 is the best now anyway. It's either him or Ingram. There's also a good chance they'll both get in as the Niners run defence is pretty much the worst ever.

I'd lean towards 20 on Hightower anytime at 13/8 if you can. Otherwise take 11/8 https://m.oddschecker.com/m/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-san-francisco-49ers/anytime-touchdown-scorer
Logged

MattyHollis
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 839


View Profile
« Reply #123318 on: November 06, 2016, 08:58:19 PM »

Will dig out my tips for the nfl and see if I can find something suitable for you guys.

My best bet of the night was Saints -3.5 but that's long gone.

You've gotta be looking at that match still I think. Hightower looks good. That Saints coach said last week he had earn more play after Ingram fumbled. Again. It looks like it will be a committee there however Hightower I believe will be the starter, he was 13/5 anytime at paddy but I don't think you guys can get on there. Looks like 13/8 is the best now anyway. It's either him or Ingram. There's also a good chance they'll both get in as the Niners run defence is pretty much the worst ever.

I'd lean towards 20 on Hightower anytime at 13/8 if you can. Otherwise take 11/8 https://m.oddschecker.com/m/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-san-francisco-49ers/anytime-touchdown-scorer

I'm sorry but Hightower was someone who I had my eye on for a lot of the week after he received the 26 carries because Ingram fumbled early on last week.

However, all news has pointed to them reverting back to Ingram as the starter, at best Hightower will be in a committee, at worst Ingram will get almost all the work. I can't see how taking 13/8 (let alone 11/8) on a RB2 is ever good - even against the woeful San Fran run D.
Logged
Cavey007
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 862


View Profile WWW
« Reply #123319 on: November 06, 2016, 09:13:29 PM »

Will dig out my tips for the nfl and see if I can find something suitable for you guys.

My best bet of the night was Saints -3.5 but that's long gone.

You've gotta be looking at that match still I think. Hightower looks good. That Saints coach said last week he had earn more play after Ingram fumbled. Again. It looks like it will be a committee there however Hightower I believe will be the starter, he was 13/5 anytime at paddy but I don't think you guys can get on there. Looks like 13/8 is the best now anyway. It's either him or Ingram. There's also a good chance they'll both get in as the Niners run defence is pretty much the worst ever.

I'd lean towards 20 on Hightower anytime at 13/8 if you can. Otherwise take 11/8 https://m.oddschecker.com/m/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-san-francisco-49ers/anytime-touchdown-scorer

I'm sorry but Hightower was someone who I had my eye on for a lot of the week after he received the 26 carries because Ingram fumbled early on last week.

However, all news has pointed to them reverting back to Ingram as the starter, at best Hightower will be in a committee, at worst Ingram will get almost all the work. I can't see how taking 13/8 (let alone 11/8) on a RB2 is ever good - even against the woeful San Fran run D.

My reading of it was that Ingram was being punished for repeated fumbles in recent weeks. They fed Hightower afterwards and stumbled upon a game plan that can help them on the road. Hightower got more carries in a week than Ingram has received in a match all season. That to me suggests they were making a point to Ingram. Immediately after the game they said that Hightower has earnt more carries.

Odds may be a bit skinny as it seems likely that it will be a committee. So fair enough. I can not understate how shit the niners run D is though. And they have no Carlos Hyde meaning they'll be in the field a lot.
Logged

MattyHollis
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 839


View Profile
« Reply #123320 on: November 06, 2016, 09:20:53 PM »

Will dig out my tips for the nfl and see if I can find something suitable for you guys.

My best bet of the night was Saints -3.5 but that's long gone.

You've gotta be looking at that match still I think. Hightower looks good. That Saints coach said last week he had earn more play after Ingram fumbled. Again. It looks like it will be a committee there however Hightower I believe will be the starter, he was 13/5 anytime at paddy but I don't think you guys can get on there. Looks like 13/8 is the best now anyway. It's either him or Ingram. There's also a good chance they'll both get in as the Niners run defence is pretty much the worst ever.

I'd lean towards 20 on Hightower anytime at 13/8 if you can. Otherwise take 11/8 https://m.oddschecker.com/m/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-san-francisco-49ers/anytime-touchdown-scorer

I'm sorry but Hightower was someone who I had my eye on for a lot of the week after he received the 26 carries because Ingram fumbled early on last week.

However, all news has pointed to them reverting back to Ingram as the starter, at best Hightower will be in a committee, at worst Ingram will get almost all the work. I can't see how taking 13/8 (let alone 11/8) on a RB2 is ever good - even against the woeful San Fran run D.

My reading of it was that Ingram was being punished for repeated fumbles in recent weeks. They fed Hightower afterwards and stumbled upon a game plan that can help them on the road. Hightower got more carries in a week than Ingram has received in a match all season. That to me suggests they were making a point to Ingram. Immediately after the game they said that Hightower has earnt more carries.

Odds may be a bit skinny as it seems likely that it will be a committee. So fair enough. I can not understate how shit the niners run D is though. And they have no Carlos Hyde meaning they'll be in the field a lot.

You don't have to tell me how bad their run D is i'm aware, I watch and bet on the sport too. The price you want to take is poor and reasons for betting is based on a lot of guesswork imo.

All that being said - good luck anyway.
Logged
Cavey007
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 862


View Profile WWW
« Reply #123321 on: November 06, 2016, 09:25:29 PM »

Will dig out my tips for the nfl and see if I can find something suitable for you guys.

My best bet of the night was Saints -3.5 but that's long gone.

You've gotta be looking at that match still I think. Hightower looks good. That Saints coach said last week he had earn more play after Ingram fumbled. Again. It looks like it will be a committee there however Hightower I believe will be the starter, he was 13/5 anytime at paddy but I don't think you guys can get on there. Looks like 13/8 is the best now anyway. It's either him or Ingram. There's also a good chance they'll both get in as the Niners run defence is pretty much the worst ever.

I'd lean towards 20 on Hightower anytime at 13/8 if you can. Otherwise take 11/8 https://m.oddschecker.com/m/american-football/nfl/new-orleans-saints-at-san-francisco-49ers/anytime-touchdown-scorer

I'm sorry but Hightower was someone who I had my eye on for a lot of the week after he received the 26 carries because Ingram fumbled early on last week.

However, all news has pointed to them reverting back to Ingram as the starter, at best Hightower will be in a committee, at worst Ingram will get almost all the work. I can't see how taking 13/8 (let alone 11/8) on a RB2 is ever good - even against the woeful San Fran run D.

My reading of it was that Ingram was being punished for repeated fumbles in recent weeks. They fed Hightower afterwards and stumbled upon a game plan that can help them on the road. Hightower got more carries in a week than Ingram has received in a match all season. That to me suggests they were making a point to Ingram. Immediately after the game they said that Hightower has earnt more carries.

Odds may be a bit skinny as it seems likely that it will be a committee. So fair enough. I can not understate how shit the niners run D is though. And they have no Carlos Hyde meaning they'll be in the field a lot.

You don't have to tell me how bad their run D is i'm aware, I watch and bet on the sport too. The price you want to take is poor and reasons for betting is based on a lot of guesswork imo.

All that being said - good luck anyway.

Appreciate the feedback. Annoyingly I was too late for the earlier bets. Haven't got anything groundbreaking for the later matches. Moncrief anytime. Crabtree and Booker anytime. Nothing overly tempting really (although a complete punt on AJ Derby anytime at 20/1 for the Broncos) did manage to get a decent amount on Latavius Murray anytime at 5/1 last night though
Logged

MattyHollis
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 839


View Profile
« Reply #123322 on: November 06, 2016, 10:52:50 PM »

I guess you just 'knew'. Cheesy

Well done.
Logged
Cavey007
Sr. Member
****
Offline Offline

Posts: 862


View Profile WWW
« Reply #123323 on: November 06, 2016, 11:18:27 PM »

Niners run defence. Really is that bad.
Logged

bergeroo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2196


View Profile
« Reply #123324 on: November 07, 2016, 05:11:46 PM »

I've got a free bet on betbrite today. If anyone has any suggestions at longish odds, let me know!
Logged
T_Mar
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1443


View Profile
« Reply #123325 on: November 07, 2016, 08:12:04 PM »

Not sure Fred can bet with BV anymore but for those that can they're paying 6 places 1/4 odds in the formerly known Paddy Power Gold Cup all week ... No idea what limits are but decent offer obv

Race is on Saturday for those unaware so will be antepost rules until the final decs later in the week

Logged
bergeroo
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2196


View Profile
« Reply #123326 on: November 08, 2016, 12:31:49 AM »

Any news on Raonic injury for World Tour Finals in London?

Groups up. Murray with the harder group of him, Stan, Nishikori and Cilic
Djoko with the jokers group of Raonic, Monfils and Thiem

I ask about Raonic as Berdych is 56/1 on the exchange for this title. I assume if Raonic drops out then Berdych simply drops into his place in the draw? Not betting it myself but putting it out there. Waste of a good draw for Raonic if he is crocked.
« Last Edit: November 08, 2016, 12:50:40 AM by bergeroo » Logged
AndrewT
Global Moderator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 15483



View Profile WWW
« Reply #123327 on: November 08, 2016, 01:24:44 AM »

Distinct lack of Danny Baker in the IACGMOOH lineup

http://www.itv.com/news/2016-11-07/revealed-the-official-im-a-celebrity-contestant-line-up/
Logged
aaron1867
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3386



View Profile
« Reply #123328 on: November 08, 2016, 04:25:38 AM »

Leeds are 5/1 on top 6 finish with 365.
Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #123329 on: November 08, 2016, 07:02:22 AM »


In case you missed it, Wm Hill sent this note out overnight, presumably to all their Sports Betting customers;


If you go to your William Hill account you will find a £5 free bet waiting.

We want to give you this following a tough week that saw our website and products targeted by a well-documented DDOS attack. During this period we were not able to offer you the level of service we pride ourselves upon.

Terms & Conditions

Free bets must be placed within 14 days of award otherwise they will expire.

Free bet stakes are not returned as part of the settlement of successful free bets.

Free bets can be spent on any bet type except to fund tote, pool or lottery bets.

Free bets are non-refundable.

Free bets cannot be redeemed on any other online product (Poker, Casino, Vegas, Bingo, Skill, Games).

Free bet stake not included in any winnings

Your free bet must be used as one single transaction and cannot be partially redeemed.

Redeemed free bets will not qualify for any future free bets. Qualifying bets must be placed from the customer funded balance.

Redeemed free bets will not count toward qualification to view streamed events.

More information is available here explaining how to enter your promo code and how to redeem your free bet.

Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
Pages: 1 ... 8218 8219 8220 8221 [8222] 8223 8224 8225 8226 ... 9209 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.425 seconds with 20 queries.