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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16759047 times)
tikay
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« Reply #125190 on: January 29, 2017, 11:27:21 AM »

Cue Card is 9/1 with Hills for the Gold Cup and you get non runner non bet sort of. 

Matches betfair where you don't get insurance.

Timeform have him and Thistlecrack a pound apart.  Think maybe yesterday showed the boxing day race was as it appeared at the time.  But we can excuse Thistlecrack a bad race too Wink

Obv Native River could be anything too, but we are better than Djakadam.

Suggest 50 e/w for now. 


Tighty seems to be MIA this morning, so I have placed this with WH, £50 EW @ 9/1 with Non-Runner Insurance.

Yesterday seemed to cast a new light on Thistlecerack, & I don't want us to miss the 9/1.


16 Mar 2017 - Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup - Non Runner Insurance - 17th Mar 2017 - Outright



Cue Card @ 9/1  EW @ 1/5 1-3

Stake : £100.00 (£50.00 x 2)


Estimated Returns : £

640.00

Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0001864/F
 



BET PLACED
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« Reply #125191 on: January 29, 2017, 11:44:12 AM »

Don't forget how hard a race Thistlecrack had yesterday. These staying chasers get pushed within an inch of their life most times they run in that sort of company. So sad about Many Clouds.

Never forget the benefits of a light campaign going into the spring festivals. Thistlecrack has had a hard enough season already and the Gold Cup will be his 13th run in 12 months.

Native River is like a higher-class version of Cool Ground. Bottomless stamina, only three runs this season and off since Christmas. I'd sooner back him than Thistlecrack.
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« Reply #125192 on: January 29, 2017, 11:52:40 AM »

I looked at Native River's price straight after yesterday's race but thought 11/2 was a little skinny for my liking.

It seems that others did not as it's all disappeared.
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« Reply #125193 on: January 29, 2017, 01:01:31 PM »

Ant...your boys a good bet as per to make most deadline day signings?

Wouldn't expect Posh to be far behind after recent events, but obv doesn't matter to this potential bet.

Well depends if Van Aanholt gets done before deadline day i think as that is probs a stonewaller. That would probably mean Brady and Jenkinson wouldn't happen. I would be surprised if we didn't get in a central midfielder. Generally though I don't know, can never judge these.

Read yesterday that Allardyce has tried for 30odd players? Seems reasonable they'd make the most moves
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« Reply #125194 on: January 29, 2017, 02:56:48 PM »

Felt thistlecracks defeat was arabian queen job, perfect storm. Thought tactics were poor, he made lots of mistakes in behind, ground was tacky, mistakes at wrong time meaning he needed to make ground and he came nose to nose with a grim battler, he aint seen a horse in 2 years on the run in. Think he will be better for it.

Cue card cant be a bad bet e/w last two winners already out, you look through list and think wont run, wont stay or wont be to keep up.
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« Reply #125195 on: January 29, 2017, 03:03:05 PM »

Good write up on it by this chap https://twitter.com/stopwatchracing

Thought pretty much the same thing as you, JC.




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« Reply #125196 on: January 29, 2017, 04:02:31 PM »

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

with 12 top flight teams out already, what a chance this has.

sorry i missed it, but did remember it today with all the shocks
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« Reply #125197 on: January 29, 2017, 04:34:28 PM »

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

with 12 top flight teams out already, what a chance this has.

sorry i missed it, but did remember it today with all the shocks

Burnley now 33/1.

I just had a few quid on Fulham at 150/1 e/w.

Playing well in Championship, 150/1 seems a big price.

Hope the draw is kind to them.
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« Reply #125198 on: January 29, 2017, 04:55:42 PM »

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

with 12 top flight teams out already, what a chance this has.

sorry i missed it, but did remember it today with all the shocks

Burnley now 33/1.

I just had a few quid on Fulham at 150/1 e/w.

Playing well in Championship, 150/1 seems a big price.

Hope the draw is kind to them.

Ignore this post. I tried to place the Fulham bet on my mobile via odds checker, said bet placed, but not on.

Odds 40/1 now.
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« Reply #125199 on: January 29, 2017, 05:04:39 PM »

Would like to throw a curve ball into the Gold Cup discussions.

Winner of 4miler last year at Cheltenham, beating Native River.

Looked very likely to give the great Many Clouds a race at Aintree before falling late on, over a trip probably short of his best, and a track that might not suit.

Those collateral form lines give Minella Rocco a far better chance than the 25-1 that is still kicking around.
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« Reply #125200 on: January 29, 2017, 06:59:53 PM »

Would like to throw a curve ball into the Gold Cup discussions.

Winner of 4miler last year at Cheltenham, beating Native River.

Looked very likely to give the great Many Clouds a race at Aintree before falling late on, over a trip probably short of his best, and a track that might not suit.

Those collateral form lines give Minella Rocco a far better chance than the 25-1 that is still kicking around.

Does anybody know who is NRNB at cheltenham.  On phone only for a few hours.   I know 365, sky and Hills (almost) are.  Cheers

Edit.  I am only really interested in stars or tote/fred.   No hope with most of the others.
« Last Edit: January 29, 2017, 07:06:47 PM by Doobs » Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #125201 on: January 29, 2017, 07:32:51 PM »

Would like to throw a curve ball into the Gold Cup discussions.

Winner of 4miler last year at Cheltenham, beating Native River.

Looked very likely to give the great Many Clouds a race at Aintree before falling late on, over a trip probably short of his best, and a track that might not suit.

Those collateral form lines give Minella Rocco a far better chance than the 25-1 that is still kicking around.

Does anybody know who is NRNB at cheltenham.  On phone only for a few hours.   I know 365, sky and Hills (almost) are.  Cheers

Edit.  I am only really interested in stars or tote/fred.   No hope with most of the others.

None of those three that I can see. Scuy seem to be nrnb every race and they're on their own.
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« Reply #125202 on: January 29, 2017, 08:52:36 PM »

Would like to throw a curve ball into the Gold Cup discussions.

Winner of 4miler last year at Cheltenham, beating Native River.

Looked very likely to give the great Many Clouds a race at Aintree before falling late on, over a trip probably short of his best, and a track that might not suit.

Those collateral form lines give Minella Rocco a far better chance than the 25-1 that is still kicking around.

Does anybody know who is NRNB at cheltenham.  On phone only for a few hours.   I know 365, sky and Hills (almost) are.  Cheers

Edit.  I am only really interested in stars or tote/fred.   No hope with most of the others.

None of those three that I can see. Scuy seem to be nrnb every race and they're on their own.

Cheers Ralph
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #125203 on: January 29, 2017, 09:18:04 PM »

Would like to throw a curve ball into the Gold Cup discussions.

Winner of 4miler last year at Cheltenham, beating Native River.

Looked very likely to give the great Many Clouds a race at Aintree before falling late on, over a trip probably short of his best, and a track that might not suit.

Those collateral form lines give Minella Rocco a far better chance than the 25-1 that is still kicking around.

Does anybody know who is NRNB at cheltenham.  On phone only for a few hours.   I know 365, sky and Hills (almost) are.  Cheers

Edit.  I am only really interested in stars or tote/fred.   No hope with most of the others.

With Cheltenham looming and these comments seeming more and more frequent (accounts restricted) just wondering as sure I saw it last year, are there people who pay money for clean accounts?

I have a few friends with totally clean accounts on all bookies (only used for accas and crazy bets and never withdrawn anything decent)
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« Reply #125204 on: January 29, 2017, 10:00:21 PM »

Schlupp out with a hamstring injury. Took him 3 months to recover from the last one apparently. May enhannce the spending on deadline day.
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