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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16385819 times)
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132930 on:
April 29, 2018, 12:00:28 PM »
Ricciardo is already on his last engine right? had 2, limit reduced this year to 3
had two gearboxes too?
so grid penalties are a certainty?
(might argue that they are for everyone else too)
he had 70 places of grid penalties last year
so that accounts for 25/1?
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132931 on:
April 29, 2018, 12:02:32 PM »
Raikkonen podiumvation
7/2
Total Stake: £10.00
Total Returns: £45.00
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132932 on:
April 29, 2018, 12:05:20 PM »
there is only 1 25-1 Daniel
BVictor
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/winner
so will have to leave that unless help is forthcoming
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Peter-27
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132933 on:
April 29, 2018, 12:23:53 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 29, 2018, 12:00:28 PM
Ricciardo is already on his last engine right? had 2, limit reduced this year to 3
had two gearboxes too?
so grid penalties are a certainty?
(might argue that they are for everyone else too)
he had 70 places of grid penalties last year
so that accounts for 25/1?
Yep, you called it. Feel that 25/1 is too high with the decreased limit to three power units. Most teams will struggle, and suffer grid penalties. I do expect Daniel to be in the hunt at the end of the season.
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ripple11
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132934 on:
April 29, 2018, 01:05:21 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 29, 2018, 12:05:20 PM
there is only 1 25-1 Daniel
BVictor
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/winner
so will have to leave that unless help is forthcoming
can do if needed.
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132935 on:
April 29, 2018, 01:44:23 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on April 29, 2018, 11:22:27 AM
Quote from: hhyftrftdr on April 29, 2018, 10:37:54 AM
I think if anyone is pricing Burnley up at 8/1+ next season for relegation then that would be a must bet, depending on what happens in the summer of course. Despite the extra £££ they could pocket from Europa League, I don't see them splashing too much cash around.
There really is very little between being the 'best of the rest' by coming 7th, and fighting relegation. Just remains to be seen how the bookies view it when the odds come out....
I don't agree. Seems fairly clear that Burnley have been underated by the bookies all season. Firstly because they are Burnley, and secondly because of the xG stat. I'd be surprised if the bookies switch the other way for next season. xG isn't the only thing in the models and it seems that people put too much emphasis on it now it is everywhere.
I heard a phone-in a few weeks ago just after Sam Allardyce had said something along the lines of a point was a good result vs Burnley, and realistically it was for a team that looked in serious relegation danger a couple of months previously. There was a stream of Everton fans screaming he should go for his lack of ambition, as it was just Burnley ffs. As long as that is a widely held view, and it seems that way from where I sit, it is hard to see Burnley going off too big for relegation.
As you say, we can wait on the prices, but will be surprised if I'd rather be a backer than a layer.
Give me a realistiic price doobs for them to go down that suits us both to lay and i will have a bet. I know some people like you who think Burnley are close to 50/1 to go down next year. It is a very diverse opinion.
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132936 on:
April 29, 2018, 02:39:40 PM »
Quote from: ripple11 on April 29, 2018, 01:05:21 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 29, 2018, 12:05:20 PM
there is only 1 25-1 Daniel
BVictor
https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/winner
so will have to leave that unless help is forthcoming
can do if needed.
Umm lets look at the price after today's episode of "dodgems with Max"
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Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132937 on:
April 29, 2018, 02:59:32 PM »
Quote from: arbboy on April 29, 2018, 01:44:23 PM
Quote from: Doobs on April 29, 2018, 11:22:27 AM
Quote from: hhyftrftdr on April 29, 2018, 10:37:54 AM
I think if anyone is pricing Burnley up at 8/1+ next season for relegation then that would be a must bet, depending on what happens in the summer of course. Despite the extra £££ they could pocket from Europa League, I don't see them splashing too much cash around.
There really is very little between being the 'best of the rest' by coming 7th, and fighting relegation. Just remains to be seen how the bookies view it when the odds come out....
I don't agree. Seems fairly clear that Burnley have been underated by the bookies all season. Firstly because they are Burnley, and secondly because of the xG stat. I'd be surprised if the bookies switch the other way for next season. xG isn't the only thing in the models and it seems that people put too much emphasis on it now it is everywhere.
I heard a phone-in a few weeks ago just after Sam Allardyce had said something along the lines of a point was a good result vs Burnley, and realistically it was for a team that looked in serious relegation danger a couple of months previously. There was a stream of Everton fans screaming he should go for his lack of ambition, as it was just Burnley ffs. As long as that is a widely held view, and it seems that way from where I sit, it is hard to see Burnley going off too big for relegation.
As you say, we can wait on the prices, but will be surprised if I'd rather be a backer than a layer.
Give me a realistiic price doobs for them to go down that suits us both to lay and i will have a bet. I know some people like you who think Burnley are close to 50/1 to go down next year. It is a very diverse opinion.
When did I mention 50/1? Absolute joke that you choose to misrepresent me so badly. I will lay you the best price Burnley are the Saturday before the season starts to lose £500. Whatever it is we are both stuck with it. cheers
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Doobs
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132938 on:
April 29, 2018, 03:00:34 PM »
ffs for the Bottas bet. guess it is still a good one
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132939 on:
April 29, 2018, 03:02:16 PM »
Sunrisers Hyderabad have done it again, the T20 masters at defending a total, however big or small
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132940 on:
April 29, 2018, 03:03:30 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on April 29, 2018, 03:00:34 PM
ffs for the Bottas bet. guess it is still a good one
two classic races, and a great close season
Vettel a good favourite for me,they have the fastest car (dependent on development from here)
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
HutchGF
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Posts: 1097
Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132941 on:
April 29, 2018, 03:07:29 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 29, 2018, 03:02:16 PM
Sunrisers Hyderabad have done it again, the T20 masters at defending a total, however big or small
Another masterclass from Williamson in the field. Left field bowling option Pathan breaks the key partnership and just let Rahane tick along at under the RRR.
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arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132942 on:
April 29, 2018, 03:08:34 PM »
Quote from: Doobs on April 29, 2018, 02:59:32 PM
Quote from: arbboy on April 29, 2018, 01:44:23 PM
Quote from: Doobs on April 29, 2018, 11:22:27 AM
Quote from: hhyftrftdr on April 29, 2018, 10:37:54 AM
I think if anyone is pricing Burnley up at 8/1+ next season for relegation then that would be a must bet, depending on what happens in the summer of course. Despite the extra £££ they could pocket from Europa League, I don't see them splashing too much cash around.
There really is very little between being the 'best of the rest' by coming 7th, and fighting relegation. Just remains to be seen how the bookies view it when the odds come out....
I don't agree. Seems fairly clear that Burnley have been underated by the bookies all season. Firstly because they are Burnley, and secondly because of the xG stat. I'd be surprised if the bookies switch the other way for next season. xG isn't the only thing in the models and it seems that people put too much emphasis on it now it is everywhere.
I heard a phone-in a few weeks ago just after Sam Allardyce had said something along the lines of a point was a good result vs Burnley, and realistically it was for a team that looked in serious relegation danger a couple of months previously. There was a stream of Everton fans screaming he should go for his lack of ambition, as it was just Burnley ffs. As long as that is a widely held view, and it seems that way from where I sit, it is hard to see Burnley going off too big for relegation.
As you say, we can wait on the prices, but will be surprised if I'd rather be a backer than a layer.
Give me a realistiic price doobs for them to go down that suits us both to lay and i will have a bet. I know some people like you who think Burnley are close to 50/1 to go down next year. It is a very diverse opinion.
When did I mention 50/1? Absolute joke that you choose to misrepresent me so badly. I will lay you the best price Burnley are the Saturday before the season starts to lose £500. Whatever it is we are both stuck with it. cheers
Sorry my point was some people i speak to like you think Burnley can't go down next year and make them 50/1. They have similar views to you and make them 50/1 to go down. I didnt mean to imply that you had quoted any price on them going down. My bad. I was interested in your price to go down given your views. You don't have to lay antthing you don't want to obviously but if you do we maybe could do some busniess.
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Marky147
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132943 on:
April 29, 2018, 03:12:45 PM »
Quote from: bergeroo on April 29, 2018, 09:31:23 AM
Quote from: Marky147 on April 29, 2018, 04:45:12 AM
Quote from: Marky147 on April 29, 2018, 01:12:36 AM
Quote from: bergeroo on April 29, 2018, 01:06:00 AM
I had a small bet on mir as marathon price was out of line but no idea really. Clearly he is on the juice and seems in shape but he hasn't fought for two years. Really depends on who has the most pride. Both are bring paid well but who will really push themselves?
Same as that, so thought I'd try to paying for my 226 tickets
Not sure what Fedor has been doing for the last couple could be considered fighting, either.
Super tactics from Mir, ffs.
Running towards your opponent with your chin out confirmed as not a smart strategy in combat sports!
Indeed
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Peter-27
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #132944 on:
April 29, 2018, 03:20:24 PM »
Lots of re-evaluation to do tonight after that race, learned a lot there.
Raikkonen did get a podium, but Ricciardo didn't win the race.
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