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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13408429 times)
tikay
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« Reply #133320 on: May 25, 2018, 06:37:47 PM »

Sunrisers get it done again. Won a game they had no right to win thanks to an incredible all round performance from Rashid Khan. Will be small dogs to CSK in the final but what a sweat we've had for this bet.

Yup, great sweat, great bet.
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« Reply #133321 on: May 25, 2018, 07:08:56 PM »

One more performance would be nice Rashid. SRH 11/10 dogs for the final
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« Reply #133322 on: May 25, 2018, 08:07:49 PM »

Monaco GP this weekend, and I'm struggling to find any value to be honest. I do have one "leftfield" suggestion though;

Race Winner - Fernando Alonso @ 500/1. Suggesting £10 EW (1-3 1/5 with Bet Stars). Obviously this needs a lot of chaos to come in, but; it is Monaco. The McLaren looks well balanced this weekend (4th or 5th fastest team), and I expect the experience of Fernando will be able to make sure he's still running at the end of the race (barring any mechanical problems), so I expect him to be in a position to take advantage should a podium spot be available. If McLaren are going to get a podium in the near future - this is their best chance. 500/1 feels way too high to me. I would be willing to take 300/1+
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« Reply #133323 on: May 25, 2018, 11:10:47 PM »

Steve Johnson loses from a set and 3-0 up. Didn't get to watch it so no idea what happened. Gutted
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« Reply #133324 on: May 26, 2018, 02:29:42 AM »

Steve Johnson loses from a set and 3-0 up. Didn't get to watch it so no idea what happened. Gutted

It was a nasty live rail.

Cheers again for the sweat though, things had aligned pretty well with Fognini bowing out in the other semi as well.
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« Reply #133325 on: May 26, 2018, 07:07:09 AM »

Exeter go into the play offs having lost last year's final

This has happened 10 times in the league and 9 times the previously beaten finalist has won.


It has also happened three from three in the national league.

Hearing interviews with players about the focus and expectation about the second trip being radically different coupled with the13 from 14 game sample, is there a small edge to be had backing Exeter at either 23/10 in the outrights or the 6/5 to be promoted in the playoffs? They finished 5 points ahead of Coventry.
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« Reply #133326 on: May 26, 2018, 07:57:47 AM »

Monaco GP this weekend, and I'm struggling to find any value to be honest. I do have one "leftfield" suggestion though;

Race Winner - Fernando Alonso @ 500/1. Suggesting £10 EW (1-3 1/5 with Bet Stars). Obviously this needs a lot of chaos to come in, but; it is Monaco. The McLaren looks well balanced this weekend (4th or 5th fastest team), and I expect the experience of Fernando will be able to make sure he's still running at the end of the race (barring any mechanical problems), so I expect him to be in a position to take advantage should a podium spot be available. If McLaren are going to get a podium in the near future - this is their best chance. 500/1 feels way too high to me. I would be willing to take 300/1+

nowhere we can get 300-1+ e/w

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/monaco-grand-prix/winner
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« Reply #133327 on: May 26, 2018, 08:07:15 AM »

Exeter go into the play offs having lost last year's final

This has happened 10 times in the league and 9 times the previously beaten finalist has won.


It has also happened three from three in the national league.

Hearing interviews with players about the focus and expectation about the second trip being radically different coupled with the13 from 14 game sample, is there a small edge to be had backing Exeter at either 23/10 in the outrights or the 6/5 to be promoted in the playoffs? They finished 5 points ahead of Coventry.
Being a Luton fan I’ve seen quite a bit of these 2 teams.Over 2.5 goals is a great bet with their playing styles.
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« Reply #133328 on: May 26, 2018, 01:54:30 PM »

Monaco GP this weekend, and I'm struggling to find any value to be honest. I do have one "leftfield" suggestion though;

Race Winner - Fernando Alonso @ 500/1. Suggesting £10 EW (1-3 1/5 with Bet Stars). Obviously this needs a lot of chaos to come in, but; it is Monaco. The McLaren looks well balanced this weekend (4th or 5th fastest team), and I expect the experience of Fernando will be able to make sure he's still running at the end of the race (barring any mechanical problems), so I expect him to be in a position to take advantage should a podium spot be available. If McLaren are going to get a podium in the near future - this is their best chance. 500/1 feels way too high to me. I would be willing to take 300/1+

nowhere we can get 300-1+ e/w

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/monaco-grand-prix/winner

£10EW @ 500-1 booked if Fred wants it.
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« Reply #133329 on: May 26, 2018, 02:03:16 PM »

sorry didn't see this before qualifying started, we will have to leave it

would be nice if it scooped for you. might need a big pile up or rain!
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« Reply #133330 on: May 26, 2018, 03:27:43 PM »

sorry didn't see this before qualifying started, we will have to leave it

would be nice if it scooped for you. might need a big pile up or rain!

Think its looking pretty good, and Peter has found a good spot.   Pleased to see bookies going e/w top 3 again.  Monaco is fairly attritional, two of the leaders could come together, or Alonso could run good on a safety car.  I am not sure a fifth top 3 is the value it once was, but sure it is here. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #133331 on: May 26, 2018, 05:03:26 PM »

what is the right play for the bet365 CL final offer?

something like a high scoring correct score with the first bet and Madrid to win with the freebie?
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« Reply #133332 on: May 26, 2018, 05:35:55 PM »

what is the right play for the bet365 CL final offer?

something like a high scoring correct score with the first bet and Madrid to win with the freebie?

think that is the wrong way round.   freebie should be something close to betfair at a decent price (like 8/1).  I used to go number of corners as standard for the freebie. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #133333 on: May 26, 2018, 05:40:35 PM »

Yes best maths wise to use the free bet on something 4/1+ but not so high as the price is poor 4/1-10/1 best
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« Reply #133334 on: May 26, 2018, 05:50:59 PM »

and first bet should be just something you think is value. Win/lose/draw markets are normally close to betfair so you aren't ever having a terrible bet.  

number of corners is normally a good sweat, though I did get the odd one when there were 9 or 10 at half time.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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