blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
September 24, 2020, 03:50:15 AM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2254053 Posts in 66554 Topics by 16619 Members
Latest Member: DesirusH
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Tips for Tikay
0 Members and 4 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 9156 9157 9158 9159 [9160] 9161 9162 9163 9164 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 8613993 times)
bookiebasher
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1360



View Profile
« Reply #137385 on: July 06, 2020, 08:32:14 AM »

Thanks for the write ups  thumbs up
Logged
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1518



View Profile
« Reply #137386 on: July 09, 2020, 09:06:43 PM »

Thanks for the praise chaps  Cheesy

Same circuit, same scenario, different race. Styrian GP time this weekend.

Unfortunately, there's not as much value as I had expected out there, but here are my suggestions.

Practice One Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ 6/4 & Valtteri Bottas @ 3/1 - Mercedes were 1-2 in all three practice sessions last weekend, and the closest anyone else got to P1 was Max Verstappen who was 0.283s behind in FP3, so I don't really understand why these prices are both so high. The chance of precipitation is under 10% so minimal risk there. I'm intending to bet both with 25 points each. 

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

Fastest Qualifier - Valtteri Bottas
@ 2/1 - it's pretty clear to almost everyone that Lewis is the quicker driver, and Valtteri's best chance to beat Lewis is over one lap rather than over a race distance. I'm surprised to see this priced as high as 2/1 given that he managed it last weekend. 10 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/fastest-qualifier

Race Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ EVS - I'm happy to take Lewis at EVS given the advantage Mercedes have got this year. 20 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/winner
Logged

"Be the change you want to see in the World"
https://twitter.com/f1peter27
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1518



View Profile
« Reply #137387 on: July 10, 2020, 09:30:17 PM »

Practice One Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ 6/4 & Valtteri Bottas @ 3/1 - Mercedes were 1-2 in all three practice sessions last weekend, and the closest anyone else got to P1 was Max Verstappen who was 0.283s behind in FP3, so I don't really understand why these prices are both so high. The chance of precipitation is under 10% so minimal risk there. I'm intending to bet both with 25 points each.  

I am very frustrated that this one didn't come in. I still maintain those prices were stupid, and the bookies have been ridiculously lucky there. Sorry guys.
Logged

"Be the change you want to see in the World"
https://twitter.com/f1peter27
Marky147
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 20767



View Profile
« Reply #137388 on: July 10, 2020, 09:34:23 PM »

Practice One Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ 6/4 & Valtteri Bottas @ 3/1 - Mercedes were 1-2 in all three practice sessions last weekend, and the closest anyone else got to P1 was Max Verstappen who was 0.283s behind in FP3, so I don't really understand why these prices are both so high. The chance of precipitation is under 10% so minimal risk there. I'm intending to bet both with 25 points each.  

I am very frustrated that this one didn't come in. I still maintain those prices were stupid, and the bookies have been ridiculously lucky there. Sorry guys.

Never apologise, mate.

You're always going to be far sharper than any of us are likely to be on motorsport Cheesy
Logged
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1518



View Profile
« Reply #137389 on: July 12, 2020, 03:41:01 PM »

Thanks for the praise chaps  Cheesy

Same circuit, same scenario, different race. Styrian GP time this weekend.

Unfortunately, there's not as much value as I had expected out there, but here are my suggestions.

Practice One Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ 6/4 & Valtteri Bottas @ 3/1 - Mercedes were 1-2 in all three practice sessions last weekend, and the closest anyone else got to P1 was Max Verstappen who was 0.283s behind in FP3, so I don't really understand why these prices are both so high. The chance of precipitation is under 10% so minimal risk there. I'm intending to bet both with 25 points each. 

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

Fastest Qualifier - Valtteri Bottas
@ 2/1 - it's pretty clear to almost everyone that Lewis is the quicker driver, and Valtteri's best chance to beat Lewis is over one lap rather than over a race distance. I'm surprised to see this priced as high as 2/1 given that he managed it last weekend. 10 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/fastest-qualifier

Race Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ EVS - I'm happy to take Lewis at EVS given the advantage Mercedes have got this year. 20 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/winner

- Mercedes did not win practice one, bookies got extremely lucky IMO.
- Hamilton got pole ahead of Bottas with a superb lap.
- Hamilton did win the race, quite comfortably.

Small loss this weekend.
Logged

"Be the change you want to see in the World"
https://twitter.com/f1peter27
bunnydas8888
Full Member
***
Offline Offline

Posts: 299


View Profile
« Reply #137390 on: July 12, 2020, 03:47:37 PM »

Thanks for the praise chaps  Cheesy

Same circuit, same scenario, different race. Styrian GP time this weekend.

Unfortunately, there's not as much value as I had expected out there, but here are my suggestions.

Practice One Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ 6/4 & Valtteri Bottas @ 3/1 - Mercedes were 1-2 in all three practice sessions last weekend, and the closest anyone else got to P1 was Max Verstappen who was 0.283s behind in FP3, so I don't really understand why these prices are both so high. The chance of precipitation is under 10% so minimal risk there. I'm intending to bet both with 25 points each. 

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

Fastest Qualifier - Valtteri Bottas
@ 2/1 - it's pretty clear to almost everyone that Lewis is the quicker driver, and Valtteri's best chance to beat Lewis is over one lap rather than over a race distance. I'm surprised to see this priced as high as 2/1 given that he managed it last weekend. 10 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/fastest-qualifier

Race Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ EVS - I'm happy to take Lewis at EVS given the advantage Mercedes have got this year. 20 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/winner

- Mercedes did not win practice one, bookies got extremely lucky IMO.
- Hamilton got pole ahead of Bottas with a superb lap.
- Hamilton did win the race, quite comfortably.

Small loss this weekend.


How does your pre season analysis look compared to what we've seen over the last couple weekends? Ferrari definitely look very bad indeed
Logged
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1518



View Profile
« Reply #137391 on: July 12, 2020, 04:17:44 PM »

Thanks for the praise chaps  Cheesy

Same circuit, same scenario, different race. Styrian GP time this weekend.

Unfortunately, there's not as much value as I had expected out there, but here are my suggestions.

Practice One Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ 6/4 & Valtteri Bottas @ 3/1 - Mercedes were 1-2 in all three practice sessions last weekend, and the closest anyone else got to P1 was Max Verstappen who was 0.283s behind in FP3, so I don't really understand why these prices are both so high. The chance of precipitation is under 10% so minimal risk there. I'm intending to bet both with 25 points each. 

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

Fastest Qualifier - Valtteri Bottas
@ 2/1 - it's pretty clear to almost everyone that Lewis is the quicker driver, and Valtteri's best chance to beat Lewis is over one lap rather than over a race distance. I'm surprised to see this priced as high as 2/1 given that he managed it last weekend. 10 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/fastest-qualifier

Race Winner - Lewis Hamilton @ EVS - I'm happy to take Lewis at EVS given the advantage Mercedes have got this year. 20 points.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/styrian-grand-prix/winner

- Mercedes did not win practice one, bookies got extremely lucky IMO.
- Hamilton got pole ahead of Bottas with a superb lap.
- Hamilton did win the race, quite comfortably.

Small loss this weekend.


How does your pre season analysis look compared to what we've seen over the last couple weekends? Ferrari definitely look very bad indeed

Almost perfectly aligned actually.

Despite today's result, I feel like this should be a very successful season for me. Especially with the results we've seen so far, a few teams have yet to achieve their full potential which should present us with some value as the season progresses.
Logged

"Be the change you want to see in the World"
https://twitter.com/f1peter27
Doobs
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 14898


View Profile
« Reply #137392 on: July 14, 2020, 11:21:37 AM »

Message for Chompy, are you listening at the back?

https://mobile.twitter.com/SkySports/status/1282778191753629705

Logged

Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Chompy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 11715


Expert


View Profile
« Reply #137393 on: July 14, 2020, 01:31:32 PM »

Gotta love Bayo.

Apologies for the  aftertiming aftertiming aftertiming but I was all over Wycombe in the play-offs. Partly as emotional cover after they ridiculously took Poshies' place, but also because spirit is so often the deciding factor.

I listened to a podcast with Craig Mackail-Smith a few weeks ago and he said the only time he'd known a squad anything like as together as the Holy Trinity Posh team he was part of was the current Wycombe bunch. Boy did it show last night.

I'd like some 4-6 for relegation next season though.
Logged

"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1518



View Profile
« Reply #137394 on: July 16, 2020, 11:10:56 PM »

I have been looking through the F1 markets all week ahead of the Hungarian GP this weekend, but contrary to my expectations everything seems well priced.

The only place I feel like we have an edge is the following:

Practice One Winner - Sergio Perez @ 14/1
. This race is critical in determining how the rest of the season will play out. Racing Point are quick, but they've yet to fulfill their potential and I suspect they may be quicker than Red Bull right now. Having said that, Red Bull should also be much closer to Mercedes this weekend (without ever really challenging them) on the downforce dependant Hungaroring - so the battle between those two should be close. Anyhow, the possibility of Mercedes and Red Bull sandbagging in first practice, coupled with this bet being offered on EW top three terms, makes this price appealing. Suggest 5 points EW (1-3 1/5).

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/hungarian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

I will continue to review the markets as the weekend plays out and let you know if I spot anything else.
Logged

"Be the change you want to see in the World"
https://twitter.com/f1peter27
Marky147
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 20767



View Profile
« Reply #137395 on: July 16, 2020, 11:19:53 PM »

Chomps on the Adzy express Grin

Nice one!


I have been looking through the F1 markets all week ahead of the Hungarian GP this weekend, but contrary to my expectations everything seems well priced.

The only place I feel like we have an edge is the following:

Practice One Winner - Sergio Perez @ 14/1
. This race is critical in determining how the rest of the season will play out. Racing Point are quick, but they've yet to fulfill their potential and I suspect they may be quicker than Red Bull right now. Having said that, Red Bull should also be much closer to Mercedes this weekend (without ever really challenging them) on the downforce dependant Hungaroring - so the battle between those two should be close. Anyhow, the possibility of Mercedes and Red Bull sandbagging in first practice, coupled with this bet being offered on EW top three terms, makes this price appealing. Suggest 5 points EW (1-3 1/5).

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/hungarian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

I will continue to review the markets as the weekend plays out and let you know if I spot anything else.

Got my Ayrton. Good luck, Peter!
Logged
ripple11
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6296



View Profile
« Reply #137396 on: July 16, 2020, 11:39:18 PM »

Chomps on the Adzy express Grin

Nice one!


I have been looking through the F1 markets all week ahead of the Hungarian GP this weekend, but contrary to my expectations everything seems well priced.

The only place I feel like we have an edge is the following:

Practice One Winner - Sergio Perez @ 14/1
. This race is critical in determining how the rest of the season will play out. Racing Point are quick, but they've yet to fulfill their potential and I suspect they may be quicker than Red Bull right now. Having said that, Red Bull should also be much closer to Mercedes this weekend (without ever really challenging them) on the downforce dependant Hungaroring - so the battle between those two should be close. Anyhow, the possibility of Mercedes and Red Bull sandbagging in first practice, coupled with this bet being offered on EW top three terms, makes this price appealing. Suggest 5 points EW (1-3 1/5).

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/hungarian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

I will continue to review the markets as the weekend plays out and let you know if I spot anything else.

Got my Ayrton. Good luck, Peter!

Cheers Peter.......exactly my thoughts  Grin
Logged
Peter-27
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1518



View Profile
« Reply #137397 on: July 17, 2020, 02:20:56 PM »

I have been looking through the F1 markets all week ahead of the Hungarian GP this weekend, but contrary to my expectations everything seems well priced.

The only place I feel like we have an edge is the following:

Practice One Winner - Sergio Perez @ 14/1
. This race is critical in determining how the rest of the season will play out. Racing Point are quick, but they've yet to fulfill their potential and I suspect they may be quicker than Red Bull right now. Having said that, Red Bull should also be much closer to Mercedes this weekend (without ever really challenging them) on the downforce dependant Hungaroring - so the battle between those two should be close. Anyhow, the possibility of Mercedes and Red Bull sandbagging in first practice, coupled with this bet being offered on EW top three terms, makes this price appealing. Suggest 5 points EW (1-3 1/5).

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/hungarian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

I will continue to review the markets as the weekend plays out and let you know if I spot anything else.

Perez finished 3rd in FP1, so that'll be settled at 14/5.
Logged

"Be the change you want to see in the World"
https://twitter.com/f1peter27
ripple11
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 6296



View Profile
« Reply #137398 on: July 17, 2020, 11:06:45 PM »

I have been looking through the F1 markets all week ahead of the Hungarian GP this weekend, but contrary to my expectations everything seems well priced.

The only place I feel like we have an edge is the following:

Practice One Winner - Sergio Perez @ 14/1
. This race is critical in determining how the rest of the season will play out. Racing Point are quick, but they've yet to fulfill their potential and I suspect they may be quicker than Red Bull right now. Having said that, Red Bull should also be much closer to Mercedes this weekend (without ever really challenging them) on the downforce dependant Hungaroring - so the battle between those two should be close. Anyhow, the possibility of Mercedes and Red Bull sandbagging in first practice, coupled with this bet being offered on EW top three terms, makes this price appealing. Suggest 5 points EW (1-3 1/5).

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/hungarian-grand-prix/practice-1-winning-driver

I will continue to review the markets as the weekend plays out and let you know if I spot anything else.

Perez finished 3rd in FP1, so that'll be settled at 14/5.

Nice little profit....thanks.
Logged
Marky147
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 20767



View Profile
« Reply #137399 on: July 17, 2020, 11:12:14 PM »

Cheers, Peter!

Pay for some chicken Smiley
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 9156 9157 9158 9159 [9160] 9161 9162 9163 9164 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.38 seconds with 21 queries.