Independence Referendum

[TightEnd]

 Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB  ·  1m

65+ segment in ComRes South of Scotland IndyRef phone poll divide 62% NO to 19% YES & say they're 87% certain to vote

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Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB  ·  3m

English born respondents in ComRes South of Scotland IndyRef phone poll divide 76% NO to 13% YES

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Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB  ·  6m

81% of those interviewed by phone for ComRes South of Scotland IndyRef poll said they were 10/10 certain to vote

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Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB  ·  8m

New ComRes IndyRef poll for @ITVBorder of South of Scotland finds NO 67% YES 33%



the figures for the various regions in survation yesterday are shown below

Click to see full-size image.

from this we can see the Yes heartland is the central belt and Glasgow, and obviously as today's figures show No is strongest in the Borders

[TightEnd]

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 3m

Ladbrokes say that 93% of money bet on IndyRef today has been for NO

[DungBeetle]

Feels like wheels are coming off in the last couple of days for the yes movement.

[OverTheBorder]

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 3m

Ladbrokes say that 93% of money bet on IndyRef today has been for NO

Arrboy empty the clip?

I find out in 25 mins what new things are lurking next door, they are encroaching dangerously on my land.

[Ironside]

Richard the heartlands for yes being central and Glasgow means that the largest populated areas in Scotland are yes

more people live in Glasgow than the rest of Scotland put together

[Woodsey]

Feels like wheels are coming off in the last couple of days for the yes movement.

 

[Doobs]

Richard the heartlands for yes being central and Glasgow means that the largest populated areas in Scotland are yes

more people live in Glasgow than the rest of Scotland put together

You get that fact on the population of Glasgow from the yes campaign?

[arbboy]

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 3m

Ladbrokes say that 93% of money bet on IndyRef today has been for NO

Arrboy empty the clip?

I find out in 25 mins what new things are lurking next door, they are encroaching dangerously on my land.

My clip is empty as far as this betting heat is concerned.  I am fully maxed up with the yes vote being 45-50%.  Just starting to get a bit worried the No vote is going to gag up by half the track the way things are going.  If i wasn't already maxed out i would be betting 2/7 no at betfred and 13/8 45-50% yes vote at ladbrokes incase anyone doesn't read tips for tikay and wants an interest.

[Ironside]

Richard the heartlands for yes being central and Glasgow means that the largest populated areas in Scotland are yes

more people live in Glasgow than the rest of Scotland put together

You get that fact on the population of Glasgow from the yes campaign?

ok my mistake maybe its just an urban myth I have always grown up with but not far away or maybe changes in population areas since I was at school

The entire region surrounding the conurbation covers about 2.3 million people, 41% of Scotland's population

[Teacake]

Tonight there is a new YouGov IndyRef poll for his Sun & Times papers

it was 51% Yes last week, and will include some fieldwork post "devo-max"

--

ICM's upcoming poll is phone not fieldwork. It is much anticipated after they were within 0.2% of the correct AV vote in 2010 after some including YouGov were up to 10% out in their final polls

The Survation poll last night was phone as well, landline only apparently.

[arbboy]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-29153022

Classic case of the economies of scale arugment for the no vote illustrated here that we were discussing earlier in the week.  Scotland is 'subsided' for so many things currently without even realising they are being subsided.  They will soon find out if they vote yes how good they have had it.  Sorry i couldn't find a DM article for the quotes as usual.  A identical case could be made for the Post Office probably to an even bigger scale in Scotland.

[TightEnd]

Richard the heartlands for yes being central and Glasgow means that the largest populated areas in Scotland are yes

more people live in Glasgow than the rest of Scotland put together

You get that fact on the population of Glasgow from the yes campaign?

4.3m voters in this referendum isn't it?

Glasgow population is 600k

Edinburgh 500k

not sure how much as a % the belt from glasgow across to edinburgh would represent....

someone can tell me!

[Ironside]

The entire region surrounding the conurbation covers about 2.3 million people, 41% of Scotland's population

[Teacake]

The registered number of voters was released today at 4.25m give or take.

Registered voters in City of Glasgow came in at over 400k , so about 10%

[TightEnd]

The entire region surrounding the conurbation covers about 2.3 million people, 41% of Scotland's population

thanks. If thats running at 50% plus Yes (which sort of makes sense ) there are some deeply sceptical areas in the North and South then