blonde poker forum
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
March 28, 2024, 07:32:25 PM

Login with username, password and session length
Search:     Advanced search
2272476 Posts in 66752 Topics by 16945 Members
Latest Member: Zula
* Home Help Arcade Search Calendar Guidelines Login Register
+  blonde poker forum
|-+  Community Forums
| |-+  Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
| | |-+  Racing Thread
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 ... 400 Go Down Print
Author Topic: Racing Thread  (Read 1016159 times)
horseplayer
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10601



View Profile
« on: May 19, 2013, 03:28:10 PM »

This thread is for recording of my racing thoughts.

Bets are a on 5pt scale of 1pt to 5pts.

The record of bets so far is available for all to see online here :

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdHE4dnc4MjBYbjlJVERnZDdqd29ERUE#gid=0

Thanks to Mere Novice (vince) for all of his help with the spreadsheet

Sunday 19/05/2013

Like 3 today at Ripon.

3.40

Memory Cloth (nap) 3pts win at 4-1 general

result unplaced at 7-2

Purely a handicapping thing this one. It is very rare that a horse who finishes 7/24 in a big handicap like the spring cup at newbury is racing from 5lbs later after one start since. That start was on firm ground at newmarket which the horse patently hated. The horse is now racing from 90 which is now its lowest mark for a year despite appearing to be in good form.

4.10

Aegeus 2pts win at 9/4 general (5-2 still with spreadex fixed odds)

result unplaced at 9-4

I have this slightly shorter in my tissue. Beaten odds on at lingfield on return but can improve from that. All of the pedigree suggests that the horse should improve with racing. This is a beatable field for something progressive.


4.40

Haajes 2pts win at 4-1 (stan james and hills)

result second at 7-2

A real old veteran sprinter not the type i usually look at but seems in great form at present. Won a seller last time which was the first time it's won on fast ground aged 9 so still has ability, the penultimate run in a much better race was better though i think, this is a poor contest, he should get a lovely trip just off the speed in this. The penultimate run has already worked out well (dorback finished 3rd in a class 4 at ascot next time, 6lengths back to third has run well since, 4th just got touched off in a handicap couple of days ago.)
« Last Edit: May 27, 2013, 01:22:04 PM by horseplayer » Logged
tikay
Administrator
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: I am a geek!!



View Profile
« Reply #1 on: May 19, 2013, 03:33:34 PM »

Great to see this back horsey.

Your previous thread showed over a thousand pounds profit in quite a short period, and I followed it daily.

In the modern Internet parlance, "subscribed".
Logged

All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
rfgqqabc
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 5483


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: May 19, 2013, 03:41:40 PM »

I'm on.
Logged

[21:05:17] Andrew W: you wasted a non spelling mistakepost?
[21:11:08] Patrick Leonard: oll
Chompy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 11852


Expert


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: May 19, 2013, 03:42:12 PM »

Spooky timing horsey, was just thinking this morning that we needed a specialist horseracering thread.

Re: Memory Cloth, 4-1 tight enough now? Was 8-1 with Ladbrokes last night.

One of my list horses runs on Tuesday, Arc Light 4.00 Newcastle. Oi oi!
Logged

"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
Tal
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 24352


"He's always at it!"


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2013, 03:45:16 PM »

Sub to the scribed
Logged

"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
Horneris
#5 BH
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9122



View Profile
« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2013, 04:28:42 PM »

booo the wrong progressive one.

Clon Brulee on the bridle.
Logged

Horneris
#5 BH
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9122



View Profile
« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2013, 04:59:45 PM »

Now Richard Whittaker gets one home on the bridle against us!
Logged

horseplayer
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10601



View Profile
« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2013, 07:25:53 PM »

struggle to get a worse start tbh

memory cloth was very well backed late and just never fired

Aegaeus appeared to have a problem and was soon pulled up (almost)

haajes ran the race expected just beaten by an unexposed one


will update details every sunday evening re profit and loss
Logged
Karabiner
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 22737


James Webb Telescope


View Profile
« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2013, 07:36:55 PM »

Really pleased to see this thread back horsey.

I hope it means that things are looking a little better on the home front.

I'll be following with interest and possibly suggesting one or two although I am mainly a jumps man when it comes to having strong opinions.

GL
Logged

"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
horseplayer
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10601



View Profile
« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2013, 07:40:32 PM »

Really pleased to see this thread back horsey.

I hope it means that things are looking a little better on the home front.

I'll be following with interest and possibly suggesting one or two although I am mainly a jumps man when it comes to having strong opinions.

GL

thanks kara much needed boost that post

thinks are settled but no better i am looking for part time work at present to tide me over

all the best any opinions appreciated
Logged
Skippy
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1243


View Profile WWW
« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2013, 07:52:31 PM »

That start was on firm ground at newmarket which the horse patently hated.

Here's a question- how do you tell a horse hates the ground? Can you see it when you watch the race, or do you just base it on them never doing well when it turns up good to soft, or what?
Logged
horseplayer
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10601



View Profile
« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2013, 08:00:42 PM »

That start was on firm ground at newmarket which the horse patently hated.

Here's a question- how do you tell a horse hates the ground? Can you see it when you watch the race, or do you just base it on them never doing well when it turns up good to soft, or what?

For me it is generally just based on previous history when running on that ground.

Though in hindsight today maybe memory cloth either jarred itself up at newmarket or for whatever reason took more out of itself in the spring cup.

You do have to be very careful though, especially over recent years with excessive watering of courses by some clerks a good to soft at one course is not the same as a good to soft elsewhere, just to make life a bit harder Smiley

If the horse has never faced heavy ground for example then i would always look at the stats of the sire for some clues. As long as the sample size was relevant i would take this into some account though of course each horse is an individual and might not fit the trend.

The larger the sample size for that sire and the more positive or negative the a/e return (actual over expected based on market position) the more i would be confident in my thoughts on the horse handling the ground.
Logged
horseplayer
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 10601



View Profile
« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2013, 08:02:22 PM »

Spooky timing horsey, was just thinking this morning that we needed a specialist horseracering thread.

Re: Memory Cloth, 4-1 tight enough now? Was 8-1 with Ladbrokes last night.

One of my list horses runs on Tuesday, Arc Light 4.00 Newcastle. Oi oi!

for the purposes of this thread i am only taking the price if at least two bookmakers are offering the odds.

this will make life a bit tougher but i like a challenge

oi oi the arc!
Logged
Horneris
#5 BH
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 9122



View Profile
« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2013, 08:57:03 PM »

Will contribute to this thread too, shame it wasn't open last week, studied hard for all 3 days at York's Dante meet. I tend to only punt big if I've had a lot of time to really study a card hard, mainly when I go to the races (York, Ripon, Wetherby, Thirsk, sometimes Donny/Ponte) or big race days.

Got a lot of horses in my "nag me alerts" for the summer already, optimistic.
Logged

typhoon13
Hero Member
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 3286


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2013, 10:23:51 PM »


Good luck with the thread, pleased to see it back.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 ... 400 Go Up Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.092 seconds with 21 queries.