The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[TightEnd]

BMG for Indy finds biggest lead for lead for Remain since EUref: Remain 51% Leave 41%

[TightEnd]

ICM/Sun on Sunday:

CON 41 (-1)
LAB 42 (+2)
LD 7 (-1)
UKIP 4 (-1)
GRN 3 (+1)
SNP 3 (=)

(Changes vs ICM/Guardian 10th Dec)
12th-14th Dec
N=2,004

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/5156114/theresa-may-brexit-poll-support-conservative-party/

[TightEnd]

just a £73,000 EU pension to keep him from penury in the future

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention:

LAB: 41% (-1)
CON: 39% (-1)
LDEM: 7% (+1)
UKIP: 6% (+1)

via @OpiniumResearch

[MintTrav]

Jeremy Corbyn has received the Seán MacBride Peace Prize from the International Peace Bureau. Whether you support or oppose his politics, there's no doubt that his long-standing contributions to the promotion of peace have helped make the world safer.

http://www.ipb.org/events/macbride-peace-prize-to-jeremy-corbyn/

http://www.ipb.org/multimedia/jeremy-corbyn-on-nuclear-weapons-disarmament-and-security-issues/

After a week of online complaints that no one is covering Corbyn winning a peace prize that no one at Labour even bothered to press release, the papers have covered it. And this is the headline (accepting it is the daily mail,but still...).

"Jeremy Corbyn wins peace prize named after former IRA leader"

probably why they didn't press release it!

Or wins peace prize named after the co founder of Amnesty International and winner of the Nobel Peace Prize.

I would say there is a serious doubt that he has made the World a safer place.   

You could be right. I think his attempts to talk with terrorists make more sense than trying to defeat them, but I don't know if there is any evidence that he has achieved anything there. On the other hand, I don't know that he hasn't. I do know that he has received awards from other Peace organizations before he became leader and I'm willing to accept that they know more about it than I do.

[TightEnd]

BMG for Indy finds biggest lead for lead for Remain since EUref: Remain 51% Leave 41%

Sample splits: Remain/Leave
Male: 57.5% - 42.5% (higher than other polls)
Female: 54:46
18-24: 76:24
35-54: 58:42
55+: 39:61
Con: 31:69
Lab- 72:28
Degree: 69:31
No quals: 38:62
FT/PT Job: 62:38
Self emp: 55:45
Student: 87:13
Out of work - 6m+: 43:57
Retired: 38:62
LT sick: 44:56

[TightEnd]

The tables have 8% of 2016 Leave voters going Remain and 8% Remain going Leave... but an extraordinary 81% of non EUref voters (too young perhaps??) backing Remain

[TightEnd]

There is hope: Brexit has few zealots and many floating voters | William Keegan

"As some hard economic truths become clear, the many ideologically uncommitted Britons who chose to leave may start changing their minds "

I am not sure this is true

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2017/dec/17/brexit-few-zealots-many-floating-voters-hope?CMP=twt_gu

[TightEnd]

the times today

[TightEnd]

John Curtice: After Brexit, it’s no longer about “left” and “right”—it’s now social liberals vs social conservatives

https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/after-brexit-its-no-longer-about-left-and-right-its-now-social-liberals-vs-social-conservatives

[TightEnd]

Why is the government only just now discussing what it wants from Brexit?

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2017/12/why-government-only-just-now-discussing-what-it-wants-brexit

[TightEnd]

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Michel Barnier presented this graphic to the EU27 during Friday's summit - while PM was back in London. UK says it's basically a negotiating gambit.

why it has to be canada etc

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entry/michel-barnier-killer-graphic-brexit-theresa-mays-red-lines-on-bespoke-model_uk_5a39497ce4b0fc99878f2058?vvk

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

The UK has by far the weakest hand in the Brexit negotiations

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk/2017/12/why-uk-has-weakest-hand-brexit-negotiations

[TightEnd]

ANALYSIS: The Tories are split on Brexit - but Labour's problems are just beginning

https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/political-parties/labour-party/analysis/91540/analysis-tories-are-split-brexit-labours