The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[TightEnd]

Tory manifesto launch is tomorrow

May and Hammond, currently in a most awkward press conference double act in London when clearly they can't stand each other, have just confirmed this

[RickBFA]

Big gap between Labour and Conservatives on corporation tax. Will either have desired effect on revenues/investment?

http://www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications/a

Click to see full-size image.

I find it bizarre that when we are going through Brexit and need to do everything in our power to retain businesses in UK that Labour propose this significant increase in Corporation Tax.

Could cost us dearly if it were implemented.

[TightEnd]

Paul Waugh's take

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Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Click to see full-size image.

[Dewi_cool]

I know this has been said before but this is a great thread.

Thanks Dewi for starting it and thanks Tighty for all the great content you tirelessly provide.

Thanks, means a lot, but I could not have done it without my good friend Tightend ;-)

[DaveShoelace]

Tory manifesto launch is tomorrow

May and Hammond, currently in a most awkward press conference double act in London when clearly they can't stand each other, have just confirmed this

Is there history to this? Why would she appoint him to such a big job where she works so directly with him if that was the case?

[TightEnd]

Tory manifesto launch is tomorrow

May and Hammond, currently in a most awkward press conference double act in London when clearly they can't stand each other, have just confirmed this

Is there history to this? Why would she appoint him to such a big job where she works so directly with him if that was the case?

i gather its recent history only. he is her ally going back 20 years but the budget cock up/u-turn and disagreeemnts since have led to speculation that he will be replaced whenever after the election the reshuffle comes

"Theresa May has declined an opportunity to guarantee that her chancellor, Philip Hammond, will keep his job after the general election, following reports of tensions between the two."

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/may/17/theresa-may-declines-say-philip-hammond-position-tory-chancellor-safe

[DaveShoelace]

Tory manifesto launch is tomorrow

May and Hammond, currently in a most awkward press conference double act in London when clearly they can't stand each other, have just confirmed this

Is there history to this? Why would she appoint him to such a big job where she works so directly with him if that was the case?

i gather its recent history only. he is her ally going back 20 years but the budget cock up/u-turn and disagreeemnts since have led to speculation that he will be replaced whenever after the election the reshuffle comes

"Theresa May has declined an opportunity to guarantee that her chancellor, Philip Hammond, will keep his job after the general election, following reports of tensions between the two."

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/may/17/theresa-may-declines-say-philip-hammond-position-tory-chancellor-safe

Didnt even think about a cabinet reshuffle in June, do you think there will be a big one? I assumed it would stay the same.

[Sheriff Fatman]

Didnt even think about a cabinet reshuffle in June, do you think there will be a big one? I assumed it would stay the same.

I suspect Hunt will be ousted as Health Secretary, as a long overdue change.

[TightEnd]

almost certainly. some cabinet MPs may not get re-elected, some high flyers who were in government (Esther Mcvey say) will come back so the ideal chance to make any changes then if it turns out she is unhappy with any of the first set of appointments she made

[Sheriff Fatman]

Just started reading the Lib Dem manifesto.

Interesting tactic, to make a pitch to be the official opposition, but at least conscious of the reality that's staring us in the face come June 9th.

I suspect I'm about to read a mixture of things I strongly support, and some I disagree fundamentally with (despite being a party member), but overall something more aligned with my views than Labour's equivalent.

Between them and the centrist Labour MP's who will hopefully get re-elected, the best I can hope for this election is some hope for the centre-left that there is some hope beyond this mess.

[TightEnd]

George Osborne's Treasury adviser Rupert Harrison on the Tories' 2015 tax lock: "It's not a good policy. It's the product of a close election."

i think May desperately wants to can it, could be a rabbit out of the hat tomorrow if she thinks this might be the only election she can do it (so far ahead) and still get the 50+ vote

[TightEnd]

Meanwhile, new Kantar...

Con 47 (+3)
Lab 29 (+1)
LD 8 (-3)
Ukip 6 (-2)
Green 4 (-1)

Con lead = 18 pts

May 11-15

lowest LD number they have recorded since election called

[TightEnd]

UK tax burden Libdem vs Labour and existing Tory plans

Click to see full-size image.

[Woodsey]

George Osborne's Treasury adviser Rupert Harrison on the Tories' 2015 tax lock: "It's not a good policy. It's the product of a close election."

i think May desperately wants to can it, could be a rabbit out of the hat tomorrow if she thinks this might be the only election she can do it (so far ahead) and still get the 50+ vote

Think they need to go up a bit to help spending/deficit, but they will get away with it because of what labour are proposing...