The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[TightEnd]

Leader: The return of the state

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/05/leader-return-state

[TightEnd]

a complicated long read for the nerds

Death taxes, the Conservative manifesto, and the changing politics of intergenerational fairness

http://www.resolutionfoundation.org/media/blog/death-taxes-the-conservative-manifesto-and-the-changing-politics-of-intergenerational-fairness/

[TightEnd]

Sir Andrew Dilnot says Theresa May has 'missed an open goal' over social care shake-up http://bit.ly/2ru7yxY

[TightEnd]

May's manifesto buries dogmatic Thatcherism -

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/05/theresa-mays-conservative-manifesto-buries-dogmatic-thatcherism

its quite interesting if you are a libertarian, with may,corbyn and farron all at the helm and interventionist then you haven't got a natural political home at the moment

[TightEnd]

in response to LD 7 (-7) earlier in the poll

"Lib Dems running out of road. Strategy has flopped. Longer risk is deterioration into a very narrow pro-EU niche party for urban liberals"

[TightEnd]

so in 2010 it was estimated by the BES that around 100,000 people read one or more political manifestos in that election

around 0.2% of the adult population who can vote,45m or so


will you read one this time?

has a manifesto ever changed your vote?

[The Camel]

so in 2010 it was estimated by the BES that around 100,000 people read one or more political manifestos in that election

around 0.2% of the adult population who can vote,45m or so


will you read one this time?

has a manifesto ever changed your vote?

Frankly surprised it's as high as 0.2%

[TightEnd]

CitiGroup outlines three UK election scenarios: majority under 100 = failure of Brexit talks more likely

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

GfK this week shows 1 in 10 Labour voters were non-voters in 2015. ComRes same recently

[TightEnd]

Under the Conservatives, the tax burden is set to hit the highest level since 1969. Lib Dems higher still. Labour: highest since 1949

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Labour bounce in latest poll - but very soft Lab vote: 42% may change minds, only 22% for Tories - unusually big gap

http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/uk-general-election-poll-jeremy-corbyns-labour-makes-major-eight-point-gain-on-tories-after-a3542256.html

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

LibDem collapse explained. Ipsos Mori focus group of Remain voters:

https://order-order.com/2017/05/18/libdem-collapse-explained/

[TightEnd]

Theresa May defines herself as the first post-Thatcherite prime minister - FT take

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Theresa May is one of the first to recognise Britain’s emerging political fault line,

https://www.spectator.co.uk/2017/05/middle-may-how-the-prime-minister-is-discovering-a-new-centre-ground/

[TightEnd]

YouGov/Times (Scotland #indyref2 ex DKs):

YES 45 (=)
NO 55 (=)

15th-18th May

N=1,032

Tabs https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/rnz6ummmks/TimesResults_170518_Scotland_WestminsterVI_W.pdf