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Poll
Question: How will you vote on December 12th 2019
Conservative - 19 (33.9%)
Labour - 12 (21.4%)
SNP - 2 (3.6%)
Lib Dem - 8 (14.3%)
Brexit - 1 (1.8%)
Green - 6 (10.7%)
Other - 2 (3.6%)
Spoil - 0 (0%)
Not voting - 6 (10.7%)
Total Voters: 55

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Author Topic: The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged  (Read 2841560 times)
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« Reply #8580 on: May 18, 2017, 02:52:57 PM »

Leader: The return of the state

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/05/leader-return-state
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« Reply #8581 on: May 18, 2017, 02:53:33 PM »

a complicated long read for the nerds

Death taxes, the Conservative manifesto, and the changing politics of intergenerational fairness

http://www.resolutionfoundation.org/media/blog/death-taxes-the-conservative-manifesto-and-the-changing-politics-of-intergenerational-fairness/
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« Reply #8582 on: May 18, 2017, 02:53:50 PM »

Sir Andrew Dilnot says Theresa May has 'missed an open goal' over social care shake-up http://bit.ly/2ru7yxY
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« Reply #8583 on: May 18, 2017, 02:54:55 PM »

May's manifesto buries dogmatic Thatcherism -

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/june2017/2017/05/theresa-mays-conservative-manifesto-buries-dogmatic-thatcherism

its quite interesting if you are a libertarian, with may,corbyn and farron all at the helm and interventionist then you haven't got a natural political home at the moment
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« Reply #8584 on: May 18, 2017, 02:55:33 PM »

in response to LD 7 (-7) earlier in the poll

"Lib Dems running out of road. Strategy has flopped. Longer risk is deterioration into a very narrow pro-EU niche party for urban liberals"
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« Reply #8585 on: May 18, 2017, 02:58:31 PM »

so in 2010 it was estimated by the BES that around 100,000 people read one or more political manifestos in that election

around 0.2% of the adult population who can vote,45m or so


will you read one this time?

has a manifesto ever changed your vote?
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« Reply #8586 on: May 18, 2017, 11:11:29 PM »

so in 2010 it was estimated by the BES that around 100,000 people read one or more political manifestos in that election

around 0.2% of the adult population who can vote,45m or so


will you read one this time?

has a manifesto ever changed your vote?

Frankly surprised it's as high as 0.2%
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« Reply #8587 on: May 19, 2017, 09:03:05 AM »

CitiGroup outlines three UK election scenarios: majority under 100 = failure of Brexit talks more likely

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« Reply #8588 on: May 19, 2017, 09:03:39 AM »

GfK this week shows 1 in 10 Labour voters were non-voters in 2015. ComRes same recently

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« Reply #8589 on: May 19, 2017, 09:04:15 AM »

Under the Conservatives, the tax burden is set to hit the highest level since 1969. Lib Dems higher still. Labour: highest since 1949

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« Reply #8590 on: May 19, 2017, 09:05:01 AM »

Labour bounce in latest poll - but very soft Lab vote: 42% may change minds, only 22% for Tories - unusually big gap

http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/uk-general-election-poll-jeremy-corbyns-labour-makes-major-eight-point-gain-on-tories-after-a3542256.html

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« Reply #8591 on: May 19, 2017, 09:05:46 AM »

LibDem collapse explained. Ipsos Mori focus group of Remain voters:

https://order-order.com/2017/05/18/libdem-collapse-explained/

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« Reply #8592 on: May 19, 2017, 09:08:07 AM »

Theresa May defines herself as the first post-Thatcherite prime minister - FT take

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« Reply #8593 on: May 19, 2017, 09:10:44 AM »

Theresa May is one of the first to recognise Britain’s emerging political fault line,

https://www.spectator.co.uk/2017/05/middle-may-how-the-prime-minister-is-discovering-a-new-centre-ground/


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« Reply #8594 on: May 19, 2017, 11:47:53 AM »

YouGov/Times (Scotland #indyref2 ex DKs):

YES 45 (=)
NO 55 (=)

15th-18th May

N=1,032

Tabs https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/rnz6ummmks/TimesResults_170518_Scotland_WestminsterVI_W.pdf
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