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Poll
Question: How will you vote on December 12th 2019
Conservative - 19 (33.9%)
Labour - 12 (21.4%)
SNP - 2 (3.6%)
Lib Dem - 8 (14.3%)
Brexit - 1 (1.8%)
Green - 6 (10.7%)
Other - 2 (3.6%)
Spoil - 0 (0%)
Not voting - 6 (10.7%)
Total Voters: 56

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Author Topic: The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged  (Read 1327889 times)
nirvana
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« Reply #22080 on: November 17, 2019, 05:52:27 PM »

Here she is with Jeremy.

https://www.hemellabour.org.uk/news/2019/11/02/61/

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sola virtus nobilitat
aaron1867
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« Reply #22081 on: November 17, 2019, 06:07:08 PM »

A couple of days ago I asked Facebook who they are voting for by just naming their party only. It got 40 comments the last time I looked.

Most of it was predictable, but I was surprised that not one person said they would for Brexit Party.
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« Reply #22082 on: November 17, 2019, 06:25:35 PM »

latest Brexit Blog post on the week's developments including analysis of Farage's new stance, prospects for the remain vote, why Swinson is making a mistake, problems of a 'Canada style' deal, how we are flying blind into Brexit - and more.

Just up: https://chrisgreybrexitblog.blogspot.com/2019/11/and-there-are-still-four-weeks-to-go.html

He talks a great deal of sense, as always, it’s a crazy world when the Lib/Lab alliance has to be organised without the involvement of either party.

Great to see you back David, hope you are feeling better now.

Good morning

Long way to go but I should be confirmed cancer free on December 3rd 😊. Just incredibly lucky that I got glandular fever, or it almost certainly would have been found too late.

Good to see you back here and sounds like good news for you. Did you undergo a bunch of treatment?


Partial kidney removal, still waiting on a suspect mass in my lung but all signs are good and I’m feeling more well than I have in about a year, no immunotherapy at this stage. Would be gold if Boris rolled up in The Lister cancer ward on Dec 3rd 😊.

All the best - sounds positive.

+1 fingers crossed  Smiley

Good luck for December kukushkin.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #22083 on: November 18, 2019, 03:37:14 PM »

"How could such a sane, stable democracy so lose its way? I always struggle for an answer."

"The pollsters think a Conservative majority more likely. If they are right, Britain will leave the EU at the end of January 2020 and then spend the next several years trying to decide what that means."

One thing is certain: Britain’s election will not settle Brexit
Fundamental questions about the country’s direction will remain unanswered

https://www.ft.com/content/3a48356e-0629-11ea-a984-fbbacad9e7dd?segmentId=635a35f9-12b4-dbf5-9fe6-6b8e6ffb143e
« Last Edit: November 18, 2019, 03:39:13 PM by TightEnd » Logged

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TightEnd
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« Reply #22084 on: November 18, 2019, 03:38:40 PM »

With CON at 42% in the polls So far, and contrary to what Twitter Land has told us repeatedly since late summer, it seems that the Boris Johnson strategy of unifying the various Leaver clans by framing this as an existential, high-stakes contest is ... working.

Remain side far less unified, sleepwalking into a hard Brexit by the inability to think strategically and partner up
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aaron1867
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« Reply #22085 on: November 18, 2019, 08:35:16 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561
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AndrewT
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« Reply #22086 on: November 18, 2019, 08:59:05 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.
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DaveShoelace
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« Reply #22087 on: November 18, 2019, 09:04:28 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #22088 on: November 18, 2019, 09:07:54 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.
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AndrewT
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« Reply #22089 on: November 18, 2019, 09:32:39 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.

But it would also have had a load of those who were students in 2017 have graduated and moved away
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RickBFA
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« Reply #22090 on: November 18, 2019, 10:57:14 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.

But it would also have had a load of those who were students in 2017 have graduated and moved away

Lib Dem’s are throwing the kitchen sink at Sheffield Hallam.

Think I’ve had 4 or 5 letters or leaflets from them in last few weeks.

1/3 looks like the sort of short price value Arbboy used to talk about.
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aaron1867
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« Reply #22091 on: November 18, 2019, 11:15:05 PM »

The Sheffield Hallam seat looks like one of the most interesting

2017:

Labour - 21,881
Lib Dem - 19,756
Con - 13,561

You have to fancy that’ll be a comfortable winback for the Lib Dems - a majority of only 2,000 to turn over in a seat they held for 20 years against an almost certainly topped out Labour vote and a good chunk of 13,000 Tory votes they can tap up for voters who disagree with the hard-right Tory turn but who don’t want to see Corbyn as PM.

Currently 1/3 with Ladbrokes, which I’d be taking.

It's also Jared O'Mara's seat which he won for Labour, then went independent after resigning from Labour, plus a bunch of other mini scandals that followed him around, so quite the tarnished seat for Labour. That 1/3 looks pretty good IMO.

I think LD would win it, but it's a seat that surely has a lot of new voters since 2017 considering it's a seat with plenty of new students.

But it would also have had a load of those who were students in 2017 have graduated and moved away

Lib Dem’s are throwing the kitchen sink at Sheffield Hallam.

Think I’ve had 4 or 5 letters or leaflets from them in last few weeks.

1/3 looks like the sort of short price value Arbboy used to talk about.


The problem in predicting this seat is that voters come and go. That constituency has a high percentage of voters and students who choose to stay there.

I do wonder how many prior will go to the polls and wonder where their vote is best placed? Regardless, 2017 we still a Brexit election & Labour won that and the LD’s was still anti-Brexit

I think it all depends on the disgraced JOM and his people perceive that
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« Reply #22092 on: November 19, 2019, 11:13:32 AM »


Twitter at it's best.

"If they had kids".




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All details of the 2016 Vegas Staking Adventure can be found via this link - http://bit.ly/1pdQZDY (copyright Anthony James Kendall, 2016).
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« Reply #22093 on: November 19, 2019, 12:14:25 PM »

 
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« Reply #22094 on: November 19, 2019, 01:16:13 PM »

Superb Grin
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