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Author Topic: COVID19  (Read 353908 times)
tikay
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« Reply #330 on: March 16, 2020, 07:59:46 PM »


Nah, bet he's got it sorted.
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« Reply #331 on: March 16, 2020, 08:06:18 PM »

Press conference question ...

On a scale of 1-10 how have you Mr President handled this crisis.

Did anyone expect him not to say 10  Grin
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« Reply #332 on: March 16, 2020, 08:09:19 PM »

Press conference question ...

On a scale of 1-10 how have you Mr President handled this crisis.

Did anyone expect him not to say 10  Grin


I expected him to say "Very tremendous".
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« Reply #333 on: March 16, 2020, 08:13:45 PM »

 Cheesy

Nobody in the world has a 10 like we have.

Our 10 is admired throughout the world .

It’s a tremendous 10.

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Ironside
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« Reply #334 on: March 16, 2020, 08:31:01 PM »

anyone remember this series?


https://www.amazon.co.uk/Survivors-Episode-1/dp/B00FZRL4JY/ref=sr_1_1?crid=393WVBTY18JZ0&keywords=survivors+bbc&qid=1584390578&s=instant-video&sprefix=survi%2Cprime-instant-video%2C234&sr=1-1-catcorr
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« Reply #335 on: March 16, 2020, 08:31:21 PM »

Probably the only positive to this is that this utter shitshow should be the end of Trump and Johnson.
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« Reply #336 on: March 16, 2020, 08:39:23 PM »


Where's MANTIS when we most need him?


Self isolating?


Praying?

 
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tikay
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« Reply #337 on: March 16, 2020, 08:48:01 PM »


Ha, that whooshed me first time. Can't believe Boo of all people got it.
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« Reply #338 on: March 16, 2020, 08:49:04 PM »

Probably the only positive to this is that this utter shitshow should be the end of Trump and Johnson.

Of course it won’t, Boris will emerge as the hero at the end of this  
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tikay
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« Reply #339 on: March 16, 2020, 08:51:46 PM »

Probably the only positive to this is that this utter shitshow should be the end of Trump and Johnson.

Of course it won’t, Boris will emerge as the hero at the end of this  

For Boris, this is the equivalent of the Falklands for Lady Thatcher.
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« Reply #340 on: March 16, 2020, 09:07:38 PM »

Probably the only positive to this is that this utter shitshow should be the end of Trump and Johnson.

Of course it won’t, Boris will emerge as the hero at the end of this  

For Boris, this is the equivalent of the Falklands for Lady Thatcher.

I can see it now, his arms held high with the adulation of having defeated the virus, with the additional halo effect of holding a newborn baby on the doorstep of number 10. Bigger majority than last time at the next election, stuff of legends  
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« Reply #341 on: March 16, 2020, 09:09:08 PM »

Probably the only positive to this is that this utter shitshow should be the end of Trump and Johnson.

Of course it won’t, Boris will emerge as the hero at the end of this  

For Boris, this is the equivalent of the Falklands for Lady Thatcher.

I can see it now, his arms held high with the adulation of having defeated the virus, with the additional halo effect of holding a newborn baby on the doorstep of number 10. Bigger majority than last time at the next election, stuff of legends  

Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
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« Reply #342 on: March 16, 2020, 09:42:42 PM »

Apparently we are only testing people who are already in hospital with respiratory problems. All others who suspect they might have it are told to self isolate.


If that's true there could be 10 of thousands of cases we don't know about.

The Government estimated 5-10000 last week and more by now

They are doubling every 2 or 3 days, though the Dom Cummings will have us believe it is every 5 or 6 days.  I suppose if you spend your working hours with Tory ministers you may start to belive everybody is an imbicile who can't use a spreadsheet.   I suppose we can pretend it is every 5 or 6 days if we don't test.


"...They are doubling every 2 or 3 days..." source? What spreadsheet?

89 UK cases on 5/3/2020*,
1543 as of today 16/3/2020

https://twitter.com/DHSCgovuk?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor

The reported cases have doubled four times in 11 days, which is pretty much doubling every 2 or 3 days.

I wrote a spreadsheet on the 6 March with some rough estimates based on Italian and French growth rates at the time.  I though we'd do better and that they would "only" increase 5 fold for the first couple of weeks.  The number of reported cases is spreading quicker than I assumed in my projections.

You can see a post I made on the 6 March here:

http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=68630.msg2274225#msg2274225

I didn't assume 5 fold increases til June, I assumed it would reduce and would only be doubling each week from Mid April.

I haven't seen the Government projections, but they did say that they expected the bulk of cases over a 3 week period, and that would be consistent with what I did.  This is why they have to take such severe actions right now, the NHS could be overwhelmed by this time next month.   I assume their projections aren't getting released as they are genuinely scary. 

Have a nice evening.

* FWIW It was 13 the week before.
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« Reply #343 on: March 16, 2020, 09:56:45 PM »

.
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« Reply #344 on: March 16, 2020, 10:01:26 PM »

Probably the only positive to this is that this utter shitshow should be the end of Trump and Johnson.

Of course it won’t, Boris will emerge as the hero at the end of this 

For Boris, this is the equivalent of the Falklands for Lady Thatcher.

I can see it now, his arms held high with the adulation of having defeated the virus, with the additional halo effect of holding a newborn baby on the doorstep of number 10. Bigger majority than last time at the next election, stuff of legends 

get corona one
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