PP Messenger have an offer today, place a £1 lucky 15 on any UK/Irish races and get a free £1 lucky 15 for Punchestown tomoro. Total bet £15.

Anyone got any fancies?

Been looking at the odds 'to make England's WC squad' today. I know argueboy reckons there must be some value somewhere, so I thought I'd look at certs and where the gaps are.

There question marks it seems to me are: Who comes in as reserve right back if Walker doesn't make it? Will Jones/Smalling cover there, and therefore open up a spot for another centre half? Caulker (6/1) and Lescott (8/1) are next two in the betting. Stones (10/1) seems to have some momentum, or there's a story in the People that Flannagan of Liverpool (10/1) is set to take over Walker's role. Remember, even if Walker's fit, Jones and Smalling are really very similar and might be competing for one place. If I was Roy I'd take both and no reserve right back I think, but little chance he doesn't take 8 defenders.

Reserve reserve keeper. I think Fraser Forster should and will get it at 4/7. Any arguing here? Butland and Ruddy not exactly pushing for places.

Up front we have two class playings in Rooney and Sturridge, and not much else. Welbeck is best priced 1/5 and looks a certainty. Who is the fourth guy? Lambert is 6/4, Caroll 15/8. I've had a bet on Conor Wickham today at 40's (now been cut to 25s). Bang in form, big lump, young, chance to score a few more before the season's out to press his claims. Defo a vacancy here.

Midfield is really hard to put together. Gerrard is captain. Sterling, Wilshere, Lallana, Milner all very short and look certain (not sure why with Milner but there u go, tries hard, never lets anyone down etc). Wilshere is always injured so poss a vacancy there. The Ox is 1/2, looks a bet to me, fit, looks very good, can play in a few positions. Barkley, Henderson and Lamps all similarly priced. That's nine already, only gonna be eight places max, u could argue should be six if we play 4-3-3, tho Sterling would probs count as a forward in that case. Carrick and Townsend are both priced odds on, I don't see how u get them all in.

I'd be surprised if we can't name 21 or 22 of the 23 right now....can u put accas on of all the certs? I don't really get why Hart is 1/50 and Jags 1/7. Surely they're both dead certs if fit. Is Jags 7 times more likely to get injured?

I picked my squad and got 277.5...are they related contingencies?

Glad to see the first bet can go in the winners column.

The NBA have just released a statement stating Washington Wizards Forward Nene will be banned for Game 4 against the Chicago Bulls after incident with Jimmy Butler in Game 3.

http://nba.si.com/2014/04/26/nene-suspended-wizards-bulls-jimmy-butler/

Nene was ruled out for 6 weeks towards the end of February and during that period the replacement was Trevor Booker. I have been having a quick look at the games that Booker featured in during that time and its fair to say its not a like for like replacement. Booker doesn't have the same presence on Offence and Defense that Nene does. There definitely appears to be some high scores from both sides during that period too though.

If we are to assume the handicappers will adjust the match line and the total points line by the appropriate amount, is it better to be looking to exploit the over/under on specifics players? Jimmy Butlers line has generally been 15.5 I think and Noahs 13.5, I cant remember looking at Boozers line during the playoffs and don’t have a way of finding the lines set for these things from previous games unfortunately. Or maybe looking at some of the other Washington Wizards players who will now have to pick up the slack if they are to get something out of the game.

I’m not sure if there is a bet here and I will try and spend some further time looking into the fixtures during March to see if I can see anything. Hope some people with more NBA knowledge than myself can put the information to good use.

Game is 6pm 27th April

Thanks Kev, that looks an interesting angle.

We have a few really smart NBA-heads here, am sure they will have some views on this by tomorrow.

Nene's been really hot in this series, well the first two games they won anyway, but in general I don't think him going down makes too much diff. Firstly it's no surprise he got a suspension, so the time to bet may well have been while watching live. Booker is a much diff player, so think you're right the extra slack will be taken up by others. Brad Beal has really come of age in this series, I've been over on him the last couple of games, wouldn't be surprised to see him get more shots. Also John Wall is the undoubted star yet he's not been shooting much, so imagine he will take more.

Noah is interesting, he's been a one-man team to get the Bulls where they are but he's been a little off his game. Would love to see him take advantage of less work at the defensive end...he's never gonna score many less than 13, but I went over on 365 in the last game in their combo of points/assists/rebounds which I think is too low (even tho I lost). Might be one for u, as he can get 25 without scoring a point.

Not sure there's massive value anywhere tho, as Nene isn't that big a deal despite playing well at the mo...

Billy Hill have a 10/1 special on Suarez/Aguero/Wickham to all score any time tomoro, good home for any free bet u have

I see Bobby1 recommended u watch the film Two For The Money the other day as it's about sports betting. On similar lines, I think u should set the Sky+ for Showgirls tonight, 11.25 on Channel 4, all set in Vegas and featuring a number of your favourite sights

get well soon tighty

Sent £50 on Stars, cheers for doing the leg work

Hi Doobs, u want stars of bank tx for my £50? Just let me know...

Anyone going to show us some love and tell us what Dubai's World Cup bet is?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jackson_Mart%C3%ADnez



e/w top goalscorer world cup £50 e/w 100-1 Betway e/w 1/4 1,2,34

i expected dubai to post the reasoning this morning, i don't know it!

Like this....tho surely we should be having an interest in Fred at 33s?

In for 50, also have no idea what it is but it sounds like gambling

Wolves have been crushing lately and are a class apart to the rest on League One. Am hoping Poshies land Orient in the play-offs, as they're a softer touch than Preston or Rotherham. Would not be backing the Os to win this at 3/1 tbh.

Who we hoping MK Dons get?

Hurts! Still, the 5/2 Sam Baldock goes a long way to repairing the damage.

Who's sam baldock? All I know is I'm on the bet of the century!!

What's the sit rep with these? Are they in form?

we are in the first round of the play offs

8 teams in each conference, the QFs

brooklyn are 1-0 up in a best of seven series

chicago are 1-0 down in their series

http://www.nba.com/ go to scores and schedules for further details

not sure about the bulls being tipped up on fred tbh, not on my watch.

their best player came into the season after a year out with knee knack, and promptly re-knacked himself. They then traded their third best player away, England's Luol Deng, and have made do without.

Joachim Noah in your pic, son of former French Open winner Yannick and his wife, a Swedish model, has been awesome tho, best passing big man around. Both me and argueboy think the bulls or nets might cause a shock, but while the nets have started off winning away and looking good in the playoffs, the bulls lost at home and are under it

Wolves have been crushing lately and are a class apart to the rest on League One. Am hoping Poshies land Orient in the play-offs, as they're a softer touch than Preston or Rotherham. Would not be backing the Os to win this at 3/1 tbh.

Who we hoping MK Dons get?

I stopped reading at the fella called Clowney. Max bet?

Confirm Chompy said this before the kick

Blame VIKHTAR

Humilitah to aftertimeaaaa. Good range