Tips for Tikay

[Micko]

Another fantastic shout Chompy, even got on a few weeks ago when he tipped him on another forum

Also stuck with Adz chelters nap when it ran on Friday and duly obliged at 14's.

Cheers guys, two shrewd judges

[arbboy]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-season-relegation

Thoughts on these prices?  Someone quotes on here that Watford had won 19 out of 20 games against bottom 10 teams in Championship this year.  Not sure who and whether that is right but if it is then they clearly struggled against top half sides in the championship which doesn't bode well for next season's step up in class.

Even money seems a big price to me they go back down next season.

[TightEnd]

Ballance out, Root bet wins

[tikay]

Ballance OUT for 23.

So our Root bet is home and hosed, well done Hector and Tighty, if I recall correctly.

[DMorgan]

Watford 20 wins, 1 draw 1 loss vs bottom half.

7 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses vs top half

[tikay]

Can do £20 at 4/1 with boyles for labour plus a tenner on bostwick at 9/1 with paddy if needed?

can you do bostwick for now please? i will do the other tenner elsewhere

thanks

Bostwick is booked. £10 at 9/1

Appreciated Mark, thank you.

[TightEnd]

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/next-season-relegation

Thoughts on these prices?  Someone quotes on here that Watford had won 19 out of 20 games against bottom 10 teams in Championship this year.  Not sure who and whether that is right but if it is then they clearly struggled against top half sides in the championship which doesn't bode well for next season's step up in class.

Even money seems a big price to me they go back down next season.

yes it was a stat that i saw that i found interesting

a) we don't know who is going down

b) we don't know who is winning the play offs

c) watford in co-ownership with udinese and granada...no idea what the team will look like..i expect it will be a different model of strengthening compared to most promoted teams who under FFP cannot throw gazillions at it without significant off-field revenue (this was my mistake last off seasonw ith leicester) to be in the opposite column to the costs of doing so....

wait and see....

[tikay]

Tighty,

Did you do the Labour bet?

[TightEnd]

Tighty,

Did you do the Labour bet?

your bets (1)

Single - Next General Election Constituency Betting

PC - Ceredigion

Odds: 6/4

1 lines at £13.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £13.00

Potential Return:£32.50

Time : 3/5/2015-13:44

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000922

£20.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Uk General Election 2015
Most Seats
   Labour    4/1    
Total stake   £ 20.00
Estimated return   £ 100.00
Full stake   £ 20.00
Full estimated return   £ 100.00

I actually like the former rather than the latter (which is a value bet in a very uncertain contest) but we were restricted everywhere at 6/4 on it

[arbboy]

Watford 20 wins, 1 draw 1 loss vs bottom half.

7 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses vs top half

Cheers Dan.  They are incredible stats.

[DMorgan]

Typo, 20 wins 3 draws 1 loss

http://www.statto.com/football/stats/england/league-championship/2014-2015/versus-bottom-half

[Chompy]

Liked Legatissimo a lot and don't see any other route Tabor can take with her than Epsom Oaks/Irish Oaks.

If they fancy the Irish 1,000 in between there's enough of a gap between that and Epsom.

Don't see any downside to taking the 11-2 with Hills. Rec £40 for Oaks.

[TightEnd]

Liked Legatissimo a lot and don't see any other route Tabor can take with her than Epsom Oaks/Irish Oaks.

If they fancy the Irish 1,000 in between there's enough of a gap between that and Epsom.

Don't see any downside to taking the 11-2 with Hills. Rec £40 for Oaks.

04 Jun 2015 - 5th Jun 2015 - Investec Oaks - Outright
Tip It

Legatissimo @ 11/2

Stake : £40.00
Estimated Returns : £
260.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001316/F
Total Stake : £40.00

[ripple11]

Troy Deeney is back from injury now getting a run out as sub on Saturday - looks big at 50-1 with Victor to be top scorer.  He's on 3, Assombo on 9, Martin on 8.  The each way at 1/4 for top 4 places looks a decent runner.  Will always play as captain, takes pens, rarely injured and in a team which should score a bundle of goals.  Has scored 20+ in both the last two seasons,

Think we should have a small each way dabble.  £10 ew or something.  Unless he gets injured again, I think it's a good chance he finishes in the top 4.  33-1 and shorter elsewhere.
 

BUMPED.

Perfectly predicted, not bad for a 50/1 shot, thanks Dung.

Great spot Dung 

[TheDazzler]

Ant, what do you think of Palace beating Man Utd next week?
http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/crystal-palace-v-man-utd/winner
4/1 is available at Tote and BetFred if anybody can get on those but these prices are contracting.
Palace actually have a better away record than at home and that might be that their set up with quick wingers suits a counter attacking style more. I think United will play into that as they'll presumably boss possession and be pushed up the pitch, ripe for turnovers with their back to front lack of pace.
Interestingly both teams have lost their last 3 games, both without scoring, both losing 1-0 away to Chelsea with the other 2 defeats very surprising ones and both coming after impressive runs beforehand.
I was thinking Palace might be about 5/2 so I'm having a small nibble at 7/2.
If Fred can get 4/1, I'd recommend. 7/2? I'd wait for Ant maybe.