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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 14852052 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #103095 on: June 22, 2015, 02:54:29 PM »

Tighty, should we be backing Norway to beat England in the women's world cup tonight? There are 2 bits in the racing post suggesting to back Norway and it seems the sort of market that British bookies would be too short on England. Norway got a 1 -1 draw with tournament favourites Germany in the group stage. Just under 2-1 is around for Norway.

up to you

i've seen snatches of WWC games, but find it quite a difficult watch to get enthused about

in the first game against France we were terrible.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/womens-international/world-cup/norway-women-v-england-women/winner
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« Reply #103096 on: June 22, 2015, 03:07:32 PM »

Great week chaps although I personally feel a bit guilty making money off some great tips.Would like to contribute more but my knowledge is limited to Luton town and the Cincy bengals who are both consistently inconsistent.
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« Reply #103097 on: June 22, 2015, 03:08:10 PM »

Jordan Spieth to beat Tiger Woods total of 14 majors can be backed at 16/1.

It's 33/1 if you think he can beat Jack Nicklaus' 18 majors.

Jordan is 21. Possibly 15 years at the top ahead of him

Looks unlikely to have any of the extra-curricular foibles that stopped Tiger's run past 14 in its tracks

Against that fields are very competitive now. Rory is young and there are others coming through

is 16/1 any sort of value whatsoever?
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« Reply #103098 on: June 22, 2015, 03:18:32 PM »

I struggle to watch men's football, yet alone women's. However, I like the betting angle of this match so I suggest £15 on Norway tonight and I will make an effort to watch it tonight.
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« Reply #103099 on: June 22, 2015, 03:24:09 PM »

Jordan Spieth to beat Tiger Woods total of 14 majors can be backed at 16/1.

It's 33/1 if you think he can beat Jack Nicklaus' 18 majors.

Jordan is 21. Possibly 15 years at the top ahead of him

Looks unlikely to have any of the extra-curricular foibles that stopped Tiger's run past 14 in its tracks

Against that fields are very competitive now. Rory is young and there are others coming through

is 16/1 any sort of value whatsoever?

A bet that in the very best case scenario you'll be waiting probably 15 years to collect?  Although I think Tikay is always complaining we don't have enough in the forward book, isn't he? Inflation will likely wipe out a lot of value. And bet placement time, the day after him winning a major, is the nut worst time to bet.
Max bet! Smiley
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« Reply #103100 on: June 22, 2015, 03:24:18 PM »

Jordan Spieth to beat Tiger Woods total of 14 majors can be backed at 16/1.

It's 33/1 if you think he can beat Jack Nicklaus' 18 majors.

Jordan is 21. Possibly 15 years at the top ahead of him

Looks unlikely to have any of the extra-curricular foibles that stopped Tiger's run past 14 in its tracks

Against that fields are very competitive now. Rory is young and there are others coming through

is 16/1 any sort of value whatsoever?

Not sure Tikay will be happy with you putting bets on that pay out in 15 years.  He gets grouchy if you put them on for 12 months.  No idea if it is value, but it seems a tough ask.  Tiger seemed much more dominant when he started.  Jordan isn't even viewed as the best in the World right now (Rory is shorter odds for both remaininbg majorsl and is World number 1). But Jordan does appear to be very clean living.  He'd have to win 1 a year and that seems very tough even after yesterday and we don't have much visibility on the new Jordans and Rories coming through.

It does feel better value than the 20/1 to win the grand slam this year (you get 7/1 the open and PGA, and they aren't that related).   There is no way I'd remember who it was I put the bet on with in 15 years, and not sure I can rely on bookie systems to pay out either.  There is a reasonable chance I'd be dead by then, and I am not Tokay's age.  I'd just stick to backing individual tournaments in the circumstances.  

No idea on the women's football.  It feels like there was an opportunity there for somebody who was prepared to sit through the matches.  England are ranked 6 places higher.  If you look at the stats (I didn't watch), Norway were nearly as bad vs Germany as we were vs France.  Feels to be a bit of a flip.   Has anybody watched the matches here?

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« Reply #103101 on: June 22, 2015, 03:27:20 PM »

Jordan Spieth to beat Tiger Woods total of 14 majors can be backed at 16/1.

It's 33/1 if you think he can beat Jack Nicklaus' 18 majors.

Jordan is 21. Possibly 15 years at the top ahead of him

Looks unlikely to have any of the extra-curricular foibles that stopped Tiger's run past 14 in its tracks

Against that fields are very competitive now. Rory is young and there are others coming through

is 16/1 any sort of value whatsoever?

Not sure Tikay will be happy with you putting bets on that pay out in 15 years.  He gets grouchy if you put them on for 12 months.  No idea if it is value, but it seems a tough ask.  Tiger seemed much more dominant when he started.  Jordan isn't even viewed as the best in the World right now (Rory is shorter odds for both remaininbg majorsl and is World number 1). But Jordan does appear to be very clean living.  He'd have to win 1 a year and that seems very tough even after yesterday and we don't have much visibility on the new Jordans and Rories coming through.

It does feel better value than the 20/1 to win the grand slam this year (you get 7/1 the open and PGA, and they aren't that related).   There is no way I'd remember who it was I put the bet on with in 15 years, and not sure I can rely on bookie systems to pay out either.  There is a reasonable chance I'd be dead by then, and I am not Tokay's age.  I'd just stick to backing individual tournaments in the circumstances. 

No idea on the women's football.  It feels like there was an opportunity there for somebody who was prepared to sit through the matches.  England are ranked 6 places higher.  If you look at the stats (I didn't watch), Norway were nearly as bad vs Germany as we were vs France.  Feels to be a bit of a flip.   Has anybody watched the matches here?



the 16/1 was just me thinking out loud, not for TfT

Waiting for another 13 majors may test the TfT mortality prognoses
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« Reply #103102 on: June 22, 2015, 03:31:02 PM »

Tighty, should we be backing Norway to beat England in the women's world cup tonight? There are 2 bits in the racing post suggesting to back Norway and it seems the sort of market that British bookies would be too short on England. Norway got a 1 -1 draw with tournament favourites Germany in the group stage. Just under 2-1 is around for Norway.

up to you

i've seen snatches of WWC games, but find it quite a difficult watch to get enthused about

in the first game against France we were terrible.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/womens-international/world-cup/norway-women-v-england-women/winner


I have always wanted to genuinely funk against us(England) when the opposition look a good bet.

If it was mens footy, I would be dithering. This seems the perfect oppo!!
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« Reply #103103 on: June 22, 2015, 04:17:28 PM »

hector you have £15 at 2.9 888sport Norway women tonight

can't seem to c and p off it

(giving betv/hills accounts etc a hiatus after last week!)
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« Reply #103104 on: June 22, 2015, 04:32:29 PM »

Tighty or any of the Cricket crew any view on Top Aussie wicket taker in the ashes?

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/ashes/test/top-australia-bowler

Really like the Hazelwood bet (9/2 at seems out of line), but feel most have Johnson in as favourite when it has to be a possibility he won't actually start the first test?
Anyone one got any views on Hazelwood's potential in the series.

He seems to generate genuine pace (90 mph +), will be well suited to English conditions and is likely to get the ball to move both ways, this boy is a real talent.
Worry's no big tour experience, ball type (?), could Harris and or Johnson start ahead of him, how will adapt to English conditions.

Any views appreciated.
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« Reply #103105 on: June 22, 2015, 04:41:58 PM »

the line up is likely to be

six batsmen
haddin
lyon
3 quicks

unless cardiff comes up green, which it shouldn't. as we have said before you are not gonig to prepare somethign too sporting against this aussie pace attack

johnson, starc, hazlewood, harris, siddle for 3 spots

lets say for now if they are all fit siddle misses out as he did in the west indies

3 for 4 spots

hazlewood did well in the west indies, is the man in possession

but harris was brilliant on the last ashes tour, over 20 wickets and has been over here for a few weeks playing with the academy side getting match fit

i think you have to pencil johnson and starc in for now so its hazlewood v harris for third seamer

my problem is that johnson and starc aside can we say that any of the other three are going to play all five tests? might they be rotated?

the answer to that is no we can't be sure and yes they might rotate

that makes the aussie top bowler market quite tricky at the moment to me

i personally wouldn't have johnson favourite but do feel he is almost certain to start the first test
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« Reply #103106 on: June 22, 2015, 04:56:47 PM »

With Doobs, whoever offered that 20-1 about a Jordy Slam should be embarrassed. They're effectively making him 7/4 to win the PGA.

Tiger had no competition when he was mopping up and went a few years starting sub 2-1 for every major. Jordan is some way off that and won't even be shorter than Rory at St Andrews.

I'm no golf expert but am definitely looking at having a chunk on Rory for the Open. He was crushing it in Oosty's year until the wind killed him.
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« Reply #103107 on: June 22, 2015, 05:11:33 PM »

the line up is likely to be

six batsmen
haddin
lyon
3 quicks

unless cardiff comes up green, which it shouldn't. as we have said before you are not gonig to prepare somethign too sporting against this aussie pace attack

johnson, starc, hazlewood, harris, siddle for 3 spots

lets say for now if they are all fit siddle misses out as he did in the west indies

3 for 4 spots

hazlewood did well in the west indies, is the man in possession

but harris was brilliant on the last ashes tour, over 20 wickets and has been over here for a few weeks playing with the academy side getting match fit

i think you have to pencil johnson and starc in for now so its hazlewood v harris for third seamer

my problem is that johnson and starc aside can we say that any of the other three are going to play all five tests? might they be rotated?

the answer to that is no we can't be sure and yes they might rotate

that makes the aussie top bowler market quite tricky at the moment to me

i personally wouldn't have johnson favourite but do feel he is almost certain to start the first test

I think the only bowler who is guaranteed to start all the tests is Starc.  I think he's a spot of value at 3-1 personally if my thinking is correct?  Any of the others could be rotated imo.
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« Reply #103108 on: June 22, 2015, 06:03:50 PM »

(sorry, more stream of consciousness)

i know its the day after the major, but what price would you make jordan for overseas SPOTY? (or specifically what price would you want to back him)

you are up against

messi
serena
novak
ronaldo

to give others at the head of the betting ahead of usain bolt, richie mccaw, suarez, hazard, ageruo, aussie cricketers etc etc


i will pop the market up when you give me prices. no oddschecking!
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« Reply #103109 on: June 22, 2015, 06:13:08 PM »

Wouldn't rule out Rosberg yet, either. This is the BBC, after all.

Single figures for Speith, though, surely? Serena isn't popular enough, the Ashes is on some inaccessible channel everyone has and the footballers haven't done more than normal. Djok prob the best shout
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