Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

The winner of the WWE Royal Rumble, Triple H, opened up 6/5 was supported into 4/5 during the week then the price disintegrated into 1/6 as the show was starting. Make of that what you will.

I nearly put it up as a max bet at coral at 1/4 late last night.  Most firms were 1/20.  You are basically betting on an injury happening during the show to alter the script and someone else win at that late stage.   Must have 'suiting to lay' for coral to still be 1/4 that close to the show - giving it away greening up all their mug cash on certain losers! lolz!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  Afternoon coral loltraders!  Nice to see you still think you will never go skint laying a short one.  The oldest sayings are the best.

Injuries do happen in these shows and force the script to be changed from time to time during the show but very rarely.  I think the undertaker got chinned at 1/33 in one of these once because of an injury.  Royal rumble is probably the one pay per view where there is the least chance of an injury to the scripted winner by the very nature of the event.  30 men in a ring and very little contact/impact compared to normal 1 on 1 bouts. 

[TightEnd]

i have only been watching highlights from Melbourne

the QF draws

Women's quarter-final draw

Serena Williams (USA) (1) v Maria Sharapova (Rus) (5)

Agnieszka Radwanska (Pol) (4) v Carla Suarez Navarro (Esp) (10)

Angelique Kerber (Ger) (7) v Victoria Azarenka (Blr) (14)

Johanna Konta (GB) v Shuai Zhang (Chn)

Men's quarter-final draw

Novak Djokovic (Srb) (1) v Kei Nishikori (Jpn) (7)

Roger Federer (Sui) (3) v Tomas Berdych (Cze) (6)

Gaels Monfils (Fra) (23) v Milos Raonic (Can) (13)

David Ferrer (Esp) ( 8 ) v Andy Murray (GB) (2)


looking at the sides of the draws away from Serena and Djok e/w markets are top 2 1/3

could Raonic at 14/1 win his half, and pay 9/2+ to reach the final? (put the same question another way, how has Murray looked?)

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/australian-open/mens/winner

in the women's

is Azarenka the good thing to win her half that the price implies?

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/australian-open/womens/winner

if not, who wins that half?

[Tal]

Ding Liren drew yesterday in Wijk aan Zee as expected. Caruana lost to Navara, which is good news for us.

Click to see full-size image.

Our man plays Mamedyarov with the Black pieces today.

Question for you, then: which footballer is watching the action while Magnus Carlsen wanders past?

He was in the Dutch world cup squad

Wetman? or similar Ajax i think

Joël Veltman of Ajax it is. Dutch centre half.

[horseplayer]

darn close but no cigar!

[Bad Beat]

 Hello everyone,

 Just thought I'd pop in to say happy birthday. It definitely seemed like a good idea for a thread four years ago but it is fairly amazing that it's lasted so long. Sorry I don't contribute anymore but I decided a long time ago that life is too short for haters and luckily for you I wasn't here last year when I was betting a lot of losers.

 I will say that I learned a lot along the way and that when Fred works it's a really good thing...if you ask any arber they will tell you they win from bookmakers and lose to Betfair. That tells you all you need to know about the value of ones guy's opinion when pitched against the opinion of a large bunch of the smartest punters in the country. If this place remains a group of smart punters then everyone will win.

 If I may suggest a bet I will. It's a very rare football suggestion from me. Sadly you'll have to figure out why it's a good bet as I'm just rushing out to play poker.


 West Ham at Liverpool in the FA Cup on Saturday is a great bet. Suggest £50 at 4/1 with Baldy, Unfair Sportsbook, the horrors in Gib and the Irish idiots.

 Wish you all well and rest assured that when you are greening-up, talking about greening-up or refusing to bet +ev bets just because they are multiples I am being cross, even if I haven't even read that you are doing that.

nc

[bunnydas8888]

Here you go:

one of the best episodes ever

[TightEnd]

The thread should be like the Queen. two birthdays a year

anyway, that one was straightforward

West Ham Liverpool v West Ham Winner
4/1
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Returns: £250.00


i am assuming its first choice liverpool team tomorrow night, the kids saturday in the fa cup and first choice team next tuesday at leicester?

that might be aprt of the rationale

[arbboy]

Or just West ham are a better team than Lolapool!

[TightEnd]

Or just West ham are a better team than Lolapool!

Liverpool.

[Tal]

Here you go:

one of the best episodes ever

It's in my top ten for sure. May even be in my top five.

"I can't buy that. Only rich guys with big salaries like me can afford that. Guys like me...

......I'm a guy like me!"


Marge: you took a new job in a strange town without discussing it with your family?

Homer: of course not! I would never do that!  ...Why not?

[horseplayer]

few days old now but this is a good read

http://www.independent.co.uk/sport/football/news-and-comment/liam-ridgewell-interview-defender-on-portland-brighton-and-being-a-lego-legend-a6826461.html

[OverTheBorder]

I remember Doobs mentioning the Jump perhaps sarcastically. Anyone any ideas on format if athletic prowess of social media following are more important?

I understand Mark Francis is very competent on the slopes. He also has 375k on Twitter which probably beats the rest of them. Only downside is he might deliberately lose to math his public personna. Can't figure out if there is a bet there or not.

[OverTheBorder]

Whilst we missed the start price I can't have Scott 2nd Fav to Tiff in CBB. No way an American with less than 100k on Twitter beats Scotty T unless he literally goes bananas. Rest are no channers. I wouldn't lay Scott much above evens. 2/1 seems pretty generous with PP/365/Betfred

Back to high brow. Sorry for derail.

[Doobs]

I remember Doobs mentioning the Jump perhaps sarcastically. Anyone any ideas on format if athletic prowess of social media following are more important?

I understand Mark Francis is very competent on the slopes. He also has 375k on Twitter which probably beats the rest of them. Only downside is he might deliberately lose to math his public personna. Can't figure out if there is a bet there or not.

I did spend a couple of hours the other night.

Beth Tweddle looks a crazy price.

Skiers are Mark francis, Dean Cain and Tamara.  I can't get close to best prices on any.  Sarah Harding could be interesting, seems to be loving it on Twitter and is probably crazy enough to do the big jumps.  I have backed her at 20/1, but think any of the three mentioned are good if you can get best prices.  

[Marky147]

Whilst we missed the start price I can't have Scott 2nd Fav to Tiff in CBB. No way an American with less than 100k on Twitter beats Scotty T unless he literally goes bananas. Rest are no channers. I wouldn't lay Scott much above evens. 2/1 seems pretty generous with PP/365/Betfred

Back to high brow. Sorry for derail.

I'd prefer to back him if he did go bananas.