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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13444718 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #127650 on: May 01, 2017, 09:20:06 AM »

Fleetwood failed to win their last game. a disappointing end to a fluke bet

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #127651 on: May 01, 2017, 10:09:30 AM »

Afternoon Tighty.

Tonight in superleague Hull host Warrington. It is a hard game to fathom out who will win this as both teams have been the epitome of inconsistent. However, Hull have the most creative player on the pitch in Albert Kelly, and I think he will swing it Hull's way. One area that I know Warrington are weak in is their centre defence. Hull have an elusive runner at outside centre in C Tuimavave  and I like his chances of scoring a try tonight.

Suggets £20 C Tuimavave to score a try @ 2-1 with Paddys or 15/8 with betfred




Done for fred with Paddys if required

Hi Nick,

You placed that in good faith, so I'll take it personally. (For me, not Fred).

IOU £20, & I'll settle in the morning if it goes south, you OK with that?


Morning Nick,

Sorry, forgot all about this over the weekend, but have sent it across to you by Bank TX this morning.
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« Reply #127652 on: May 01, 2017, 10:11:28 AM »


Settlement Day

Morning all.

If Fred owes you anything for bets placed in April, let me know please & I'll get it sorted tout de suite.
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« Reply #127653 on: May 01, 2017, 10:17:20 AM »

End of April 2017

Year to Date Profit of £1489.42
ROI of 21.7%

January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00
April -£250.39 (Burton,and settling losing ante post football)

Top Sports NFL +£690 Horses +£586 Darts +£371
Worst sports Golf -£104 Tennis -£80 Football -£49

Overall since Jan 25th, 2012

Profit of £14,697.68
ROI of 7.68%

6298 settled bets

Top 5 sports

Football £5648 at 12%
Horses £2848 at 5.6%
NFL £1867 at 15%
Misc £1828 at 22%
Motor Sport £1296 at 17%

Bottom 5 sports

Boxing -£573
RU -£482
Basketball -£313
Snooker -£245
Dogs  -£194

Outstanding Bets £969

these can be seen at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=34

Thanks Rich.

Don't think we can complain too much at a loss of £250 on the month, a bit of -variance - if that is what it was - will do us no harm at all.

We were a but unforch on that Fleetwood bet in the end, but it was a fluke bet anyway, so again, no complaints there.

Many thanks to everyone who has contributed, we seem to be going along nicely these days.
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« Reply #127654 on: May 01, 2017, 11:26:03 AM »

Fred was £1600+ on top 3 sports but only lost £49 on football how did we end up losing £250?
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« Reply #127655 on: May 01, 2017, 11:27:29 AM »

Fred was £1600+ on top 3 sports but only lost £49 on football how did we end up losing £250?

Apples and pears.

One is a 4 monthly figure, the other is monthly.  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #127656 on: May 01, 2017, 11:32:46 AM »

Fred was £1600+ on top 3 sports but only lost £49 on football how did we end up losing £250?

As Doobs notes, you are comparing different things.


Year to Date Profit of £1489.42

ROI of 21.7%

January £625.50
February £382.31
March £732.00


April -£250.39 (Burton,and settling losing ante post football)


We dropped £250 in April, but overall are currently £1,500 ahead for 2017, including April's £250 loss.
« Last Edit: May 01, 2017, 11:34:45 AM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #127657 on: May 01, 2017, 12:21:05 PM »

Fred was £1600+ on top 3 sports but only lost £49 on football how did we end up losing £250?

Apples and pears.

One is a 4 monthly figure, the other is monthly. 
yep see that now thought it was all monthly
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« Reply #127658 on: May 01, 2017, 07:19:56 PM »

I've 100 quid of Fred's still,I'll ship over to tikay so we are squared up. And if anything comes up for 365 I'll still put on if I see it in time
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« Reply #127659 on: May 01, 2017, 08:49:22 PM »


Spectacular goal by Liverpool's Emre Can, and one the headline pun writers for the red tops will have some fun with tomorrow.
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« Reply #127660 on: May 02, 2017, 09:59:28 AM »

The IPL Top 4 is beginning to take shape, clear of the bottom 4

 Click to see full-size image.


the other day SRH beat KKR thanks to Warner's 126 then MI won again yesterday

the important thing here is for KKR to get in the top 2

the first game in the play offs sees 1 play 2, the winner going directly to the final while the loser plays the winner of 3 v 4 and has two more games on the path to winning it

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« Reply #127661 on: May 02, 2017, 02:58:40 PM »

For the small few with Sj, I tipped up Narine to have the best economy rate in the ipl game today between rpsg and kkr, and another tipster has followed me in. He specialises in that market so that's usually a positive. Its 11/4 but I think anything over 2's is more than fair : http://www.bettingkingdom.co.uk/betting-tips/cricket/IPL/RSPG-v-KKR-Best-Economy-Rate-Sunil-Narine/79967

https://m.oddschecker.com/m/cricket/ipl/rising-pune-supergiants-v-kolkata-knight-riders/most-economical-bowler



just seen this came in.....excellent work nelberg  thumbs up
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« Reply #127662 on: May 02, 2017, 03:15:34 PM »

One to keep an eye for the General Election

The Eastbourne seat was won by the Conservatives in 2015 after being held by a popular Lib Dem MP

Lib Dems lost as several thousand voted UKIP instead of LIb Dem, but was seen as an alternative vote after Lib Dems jumped into bed with the Cons.

Can see the Lib Dems regaining this seat and should be favs, but ShY currently price it at 8/11 Cons and Evens Lib dems - Lib Dems a bet at this price for however many pennies shy lt you.
I haven't looked elsewhere but basically Lib Dem should be fav in the betting imo

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/eastbourne/winning-party

Results

Conservative    20,934 total votes taken.

Liberal Democrat    20,201 total votes taken.

UKIP     6,139 total votes taken.

Labour      4,143 total votes taken.

Green Party      1,351 total votes taken.

Independent   139 total votes taken.


« Last Edit: May 02, 2017, 03:19:46 PM by vegaslover » Logged
TightEnd
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« Reply #127663 on: May 02, 2017, 03:21:57 PM »

FYI

"Sitting MP: Caroline Ansell (Con)
Prediction: Conservative hold

Stephen Lloyd is restanding again despite saying he wouldn’t. But he’s a strong opponent for the Conservatives and should not be underestimated. However, the Leave vote in this constituency was substantial and it is likely Caroline Ansell will eat into the UKIP vote. This is the kind of seat where Theresa May herself may determine the result."

http://iaindale.com/posts/2017/04/30/general-election-2017-seat-by-seat-predictions-29-east-sussex

The lib dems here have the problem many potential lib dem seat gains have. if UKIP is losing tranches of votes to the Conservatives (brexit achieved, job done,no farage, nuttall isn't an asset etc) as all the signs suggest, it prevents the LDs gaining where they would have done in a "standard election" (all local tactical voting reasons aside, if there are any)
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« Reply #127664 on: May 02, 2017, 03:26:34 PM »

Last election all the ukip gains come from lib dem losses. Think tactical voting may also come into play.
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